# Fed Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Fed", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Goldman Sachs Stakes a Clear Position: This Is the Largest Capital Demand Cycle in Human History, and the Fed Is Just an Observer

Goldman Sachs argues that the world is entering the most capital-intensive investment cycle in history, driven by concurrent massive demands from AI infrastructure, reindustrialization, defense reinvestment, power grid rebuilding, supply chain realignment, and sovereign debt financing. This structural competition for capital is pushing its cost higher, fundamentally altering investment paradigms. Goldman's Mark Wilson states that the Federal Reserve is merely a "passenger, not the driver" in this shift, with rising yields rooted in these real economy demands rather than just monetary policy. While major indices appeared calm in July, underlying market movements were historic, featuring extreme stock dispersion and a severe momentum factor crash, leading to significant de-risking by fund managers. Wilson cautions against expecting a quick reversal in August, citing ongoing digestion of higher rates, disrupted risk models, and typically muted market performance ahead of US midterm elections. Corporate fundamentals remain robust with strong earnings, though growth rates are peaking in the US while accelerating in Europe. Notably, hyperscale cloud companies like Amazon and Microsoft are announcing staggering capital expenditure projections for 2027-2028, justified by explosive AI-related revenue growth and high returns. Amazon revealed its AI revenue run-rate exceeds $25 billion, growing triple-digits annually, and expressed confidence that AWS could become a trillion-dollar revenue business. The report concludes that a transitional period is underway, marked by a growing tension between aggressively investing private tech giants and increasingly capital-constrained sovereign governments. The AI super-cycle continues, with August likely being a consolidation phase.

marsbit08/03 09:46

Goldman Sachs Stakes a Clear Position: This Is the Largest Capital Demand Cycle in Human History, and the Fed Is Just an Observer

marsbit08/03 09:46

Analyst Assesses Bitcoin's Prospects After Investor Selling Wave

The beginning of August saw Bitcoin under significant selling pressure, with retail investors offloading around 32,000 BTC at a loss over several days, according to Bitbanker analyst Andrey Poroshin. He noted that while short-term investors are selling emotionally, long-term holders are accumulating, potentially laying the groundwork for the next upward cycle. The crypto market's focus this week is on key U.S. macroeconomic data, including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the Non-Farm Payrolls report. Strong data could indicate economic resilience but might also reduce expectations for a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut, acting as a headwind for risk assets like Bitcoin. Poroshin stated Bitcoin's fundamental backdrop remains mixed, pressured by high U.S. interest rates and retail sales. The cryptocurrency is currently trading below the estimated $73,000–$75,000 production cost for most U.S. miners, a rare situation that historically attracts long-term buyers. Technically, sellers maintain control. The analyst's base case for the near term is a decline towards the $60,000–$61,500 range, a strong demand zone from which a technical rebound could form. Separately, a Russian deputy finance minister announced that unqualified investors in Russia will soon be permitted to legally purchase Bitcoin, Ethereum, and major stablecoins, with an annual limit of 300,000 rubles per intermediary.

cryptonews.ru08/03 09:35

Analyst Assesses Bitcoin's Prospects After Investor Selling Wave

cryptonews.ru08/03 09:35

Will the Fed Definitely Raise Interest Rates in September? How Will Crypto and U.S. Stocks Withstand the Pressure?

The market's expectation for a September Fed rate hike surged dramatically in early August, jumping from under 50% to over 80% within a week. This shift followed a contentious July FOMC meeting, where a 9-3 vote to hold rates revealed growing dissent from hawkish members advocating for an immediate hike to combat persistent inflation. The primary catalyst for this repricing is rising oil prices, driven by renewed geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, which threaten global supply. Energy costs directly influence inflation metrics, making the upcoming July CPI report (due August 12th) a critical data point. If it shows inflation reaccelerating, the probability of a September hike will solidify. For Bitcoin and crypto assets, this is typically bearish news. Bitcoin continues to behave as a high-beta, liquidity-sensitive risk asset. A rate hike raises the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets and could drive capital toward money markets, pressuring crypto prices in the short term. However, historical patterns suggest that if a hike is perceived as the end of a tightening cycle rather than the start, any negative price impact may be brief. U.S. stocks, particularly crypto-linked equities like Coinbase and growth-oriented tech stocks, are also vulnerable. Higher rates increase discount rates in valuation models, putting pressure on high-multiple companies. This coincides with a pivotal tech earnings season where investor focus has shifted from massive AI capital expenditure to tangible revenue and cash flow generation. Companies with negative cash flow and weak growth narratives could face heightened volatility if borrowing costs rise in September. In summary, a September Fed hike has evolved into a mainstream market scenario. Key factors to watch are oil prices, the July CPI report, and Fed communications, which will determine the final decision and its impact on volatile crypto and equity markets.

marsbit08/03 02:10

Will the Fed Definitely Raise Interest Rates in September? How Will Crypto and U.S. Stocks Withstand the Pressure?

marsbit08/03 02:10

Will the Federal Reserve Definitely Raise Interest Rates in September? How Will Cryptocurrencies and US Stocks Bear the Pressure?

In early August 2024, market expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike surged dramatically, from below 50% to over 80%, driven by renewed inflation concerns. This shift followed a contentious July FOMC meeting where a 9-3 vote to hold rates revealed a growing hawkish faction advocating for an immediate hike, citing prolonged above-target inflation. The key catalyst is escalating conflict near the Strait of Hormuz, which has pushed oil prices up approximately 20% in July, threatening to reignite inflation. The next critical data point is the July CPI report on August 12th; a hot reading could solidify hike expectations. For crypto assets, particularly Bitcoin, this represents near-term pressure. Bitcoin continues to exhibit high-beta, risk-on characteristics, making it sensitive to tightening liquidity and higher opportunity costs. However, historical precedent suggests that if a hike is perceived as the cycle's end rather than its start, the negative impact may be brief, with markets quickly pivoting to anticipate future rate cuts. U.S. stocks, especially crypto-linked equities like Coinbase and high-valuation tech stocks, face amplified volatility. Higher rates increase discount rates in valuation models, pressuring growth stocks. This coincides with a pivotal tech earnings season where investor focus has shifted from massive AI capital expenditures to demonstrable revenue and cash flow generation. Companies with negative cash flows and weak growth narratives could see severe pressure if a September hike materializes, as financing costs would rise. Key indicators to watch include oil prices, upcoming inflation data, and Fed commentary at events like the Jackson Hole symposium.

Odaily星球日报08/03 02:06

Will the Federal Reserve Definitely Raise Interest Rates in September? How Will Cryptocurrencies and US Stocks Bear the Pressure?

Odaily星球日报08/03 02:06

Why Bitcoin Holds Above $64,000 After Fed's Hard Pause

**Bitcoin Stabilizes Near $64,000 Following Hawkish Fed Pause** The cryptocurrency market, led by Bitcoin, remained stable around $64,000 despite a volatile reaction to the latest U.S. Federal Reserve meeting. The Fed paused interest rates but signaled a hawkish stance, with three committee members voting for an increase—the highest dissent since 2016. This limits risk appetite but hasn't triggered panic selling. Key market highlights include Bitcoin ETFs seeing a net inflow of $32.1 million, breaking a streak of outflows, while Ethereum ETFs experienced outflows of $18.65 million. Liquidations affected about 90,000 traders. Technically, Bitcoin finds support around $63,000-$63,500, with major resistance near $66,000. While its price is about 49% below its all-time high, institutional demand via ETFs and the absence of mass capitulation support a potential recovery scenario in the second half of the year. Major altcoins showed mixed movements, with Solana attracting capital while Ethereum faced selling pressure despite strong on-chain metrics like a growing staking queue. Regulatory news took a pause as the U.S. Senate delayed the CLARITY Act vote until at least autumn. For the final trading day of July, U.S. inflation and consumer spending data will be crucial. Bitcoin's key levels to watch are $63,000 support and $66,000 resistance. Sustained ETF inflows and Bitcoin holding above $63,000 are seen as positive signs for a potential market recovery later in the year.

cryptonews.ru08/02 11:48

Why Bitcoin Holds Above $64,000 After Fed's Hard Pause

cryptonews.ru08/02 11:48

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

Financial analyst Andrey Poroshin has provided a new forecast for Bitcoin's price dynamics in August. Poroshin, an analyst at the Bitbanker exchange, expects the cryptocurrency market to experience a downturn this month, with prices retesting the $60,000 level due to a lack of supportive macroeconomic catalysts. He noted that the recent US Federal Reserve decision to hold interest rates did not significantly impact the market, while inflation remains above the 2% target. Poroshin stated that Bitcoin is ending July under pressure from moderate volatility and a lack of new macroeconomic stimuli, leading to continued market caution. According to his base scenario, Bitcoin will drop to a range of $60,000 to $62,000 before recovering to $70,000. He pointed out that even $70,000 remains below the cost of mining in the US, which has prompted some miners to shift towards AI data center operations. Poroshin cited the winding down of BitMEX's operations as a potential catalyst for a price rebound, suggesting the exit of weaker players often coincides with market reversals and reduced short-term selling pressure. He believes Bitcoin is currently less susceptible to geopolitical shocks, such as the Iran-US conflict, and does not expect significant market changes in August related to the pending CLARITY Act. Looking ahead, Poroshin forecasts that September will bring more active price fluctuations driven by potential Fed rate decisions and possible discussions or approval of the CLARITY Act.

cryptonews.ru08/02 11:06

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

cryptonews.ru08/02 11:06

A Major Change at the Fed? Report: Wash Considers Reducing Frequency of Policy Meetings, Breaking 40-Year Precedent

The Federal Reserve Chairman is considering reducing the number of regular Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings held each year, a potential major shift from the current practice of eight meetings annually that has been in place since 1981. According to a report, the proposal was discussed internally, with possible details finalized ahead of the September meeting. This change would mean fewer formal opportunities to vote on interest rates and could diminish the Fed's ability to respond to economic data while reducing market access to policy signals, marking a reversal of the central bank's long-term trend towards greater transparency. While the 1935 Banking Act sets a legal minimum of four meetings per year, historical meeting frequency has varied. The move aligns with the Chairman's broader agenda of institutional reform since taking office, which includes revising communication practices and data usage. An internal memo from 1988 had previously concluded that the eight-meeting schedule remained appropriate. If implemented, this reduction in meetings would significantly reshape the Fed's operational rhythm and its interaction with financial markets.

marsbit08/01 03:35

A Major Change at the Fed? Report: Wash Considers Reducing Frequency of Policy Meetings, Breaking 40-Year Precedent

marsbit08/01 03:35

Weekly Selection丨Epic Stock Market Volatility, Changxin Tech's IPO Reshapes Storage Landscape, Saylor Aims to Re-Anchor STRC Around September 8th

PANews Weekly Digest: Market Turmoil, Tech Breakthroughs, and Crypto Developments. The week saw significant volatility across global markets. South Korea's KOSPI index experienced extreme turbulence, including multiple trading halts, largely driven by sharp declines in AI hardware stocks like SK Hynix. In contrast, China's Changxin Xinqiao (CXC) achieved a landmark IPO with a market cap surpassing 4 trillion yuan, marking a major success for the domestic DRAM industry after a decade of losses. In the crypto and Web3 space, several key narratives emerged. AI is driving demand for new infrastructure, with projects like AI agent wallets and programmable payments gaining traction, attracting interest from firms like Coinbase. The Bitcoin mining sector is pivoting, with companies like MARA focusing on energy management as electricity becomes a core AI-era asset. Meanwhile, the RWA (Real World Assets) sector faces a "utilization puzzle," with hundreds of billions in on-chain assets remaining dormant. Notable market movements included a historic single-day surge of over 17% for the KOSPI index and a significant migration of $16.5 billion in staked ETH within the Lido ecosystem. Michael Saylor announced a target to re-peg the STRC stablecoin around September 8th. Other highlights include discussions on Ethereum's ambitious 2030 roadmap for scaling and privacy, analysis showing high protocol revenues not always translating to token price gains, and warnings from Citi about potential extreme commodity price shocks by late 2026.

marsbit08/01 01:46

Weekly Selection丨Epic Stock Market Volatility, Changxin Tech's IPO Reshapes Storage Landscape, Saylor Aims to Re-Anchor STRC Around September 8th

marsbit08/01 01:46

Bitcoin traders lose $100 million due to a $3,000 BTC price drop in 12 hours

On the last day of July, Bitcoin experienced a sharp sell-off, losing nearly $3,000 in 12 hours of volatile trading and dropping to a two-week low. This reversal erased gains from the previous day, reducing Bitcoin's monthly gain from nearly 10% to 4.5% and cutting its market capitalization from $1.3 trillion to $1.26 trillion. The price action was particularly brutal in the derivatives market, where $100 million in long positions were liquidated—over four times the amount from the day before. Total leveraged liquidations across crypto reached nearly $360 million. Initially, Bitcoin's momentum was supported by the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady. However, market sentiment deteriorated due to stalled progress in the U.S. Senate on the CLARITY Act, a key crypto regulatory bill. With the Senate Majority Leader yet to schedule a vote and the bill lacking the necessary 60 votes, prediction markets have slashed its chances of passing by 2026 to about 30%, down from over 80% in February. Analysts warn this regulatory uncertainty hampers the market's potential for long-term growth.

cryptonews.ru07/31 20:43

Bitcoin traders lose $100 million due to a $3,000 BTC price drop in 12 hours

cryptonews.ru07/31 20:43

Inside the Fed, Hawkish Sentiments Strengthen: Three Members Explain Why They Want an Interest Rate Hike!

Although the U.S. Federal Reserve held interest rates steady as expected in July, several officials dissented, advocating for an increase. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack argued that high inflation is likely persistent and won't spontaneously fall to the 2% target, warning that delays could necessitate more aggressive future hikes. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari emphasized the risk of inflation becoming entrenched, favoring a gradual tightening approach. He suggested small, preemptive steps would allow the Fed to better manage the economic impact compared to waiting and potentially needing harsher measures later. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan also supported a rate hike, stressing the need for immediate action to address high inflation. All three officials had similarly opposed the decision to pause rate hikes at the Fed's April meeting.

cryptonews.ru07/31 19:50

Inside the Fed, Hawkish Sentiments Strengthen: Three Members Explain Why They Want an Interest Rate Hike!