# Fed Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Fed", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

SHIB Burn Rate Increases by 439% Following Destruction of 10 Million Tokens

Over the past 24 hours, 10.68 million SHIB tokens were burned, causing the daily burn rate to surge by 439.79%. This adds to over 173 million tokens burned in the past week and more than 3.36 billion over the last 30 days, with the monthly burn rate increasing by over 2,811%. The total burned SHIB now exceeds 410.84 trillion across 21,502 transactions. Despite most cryptocurrencies showing modest gains last week, SHIB's price fell by 1.26% in 24 hours and 7.38% over the week. Market participants are watching for a potential upward trend, as the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates steady again in August. A key market indicator is the sharp decline in Tether's (USDT) market capitalization, which has dropped by nearly $4 billion over 60 days, approaching historical lows. Since stablecoins like USDT are a primary source of liquidity, such deep drawdowns have historically signaled that seller pressure may be nearing exhaustion rather than intensifying further.

cryptonews.ru08/10 11:25

SHIB Burn Rate Increases by 439% Following Destruction of 10 Million Tokens

cryptonews.ru08/10 11:25

Bitcoin Started the Week with a Rise Above $65,000, But It Could Be Under Threat

Bitcoin started the week by rising above $65,000, adding nearly 3% for the week. The upcoming US inflation data for July is a key event, with weak employment figures released the previous Friday easing concerns about the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates. Ethereum traded around $1919 with a weekly gain of 2.8%. BNB rose 0.3% to $603, up 3.5% for the week. Solana showed the strongest performance, rising 1.1% on the day to over $77 and 5.3% over seven days. XRP was the only major token to decline, falling 0.4% to $1.03 and 4% for the week. Hyperliquid's HYPE also fell 1% to $54 but maintained a 3% weekly gain. Stocks set the tone, with the MSCI All Country World Index rising 0.1%—its seventh gain in eight sessions. Oil moved in the opposite direction; Brent crude rose 1% to $84.40 per barrel, extending gains over 5% in three sessions as Iran rejected talks with the US, making a resumption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz seem unattainable. The HCN AI Analyst tool evaluates Bitcoin's prospects for the week as neutral with a moderate bias towards growth. The base scenario targets $66,079 (a 1.7% increase), with a 25% probability of a bullish rise to $67,378. The main risk is a drop to $63,658 if demand weakens.

cryptonews.ru08/10 11:19

Bitcoin Started the Week with a Rise Above $65,000, But It Could Be Under Threat

cryptonews.ru08/10 11:19

Arthur Hayes Warns Bitcoin Could Drop to $50,000 Before Reaching $1 Million

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and CIO of Maelstrom, argues that the multi-trillion dollar AI infrastructure boom resembles a real estate credit bubble more than a traditional tech sector expansion. He compares its financing to the 2008 financial crisis, warning that a potential AI credit collapse could trigger massive government liquidity injections. Hayes believes this eventual flood of money, surpassing 2008 levels, will ultimately propel Bitcoin to $1 million. Hayes identifies hyperscalers building AI data centers as central to this bubble, financing real estate filled with rapidly depreciating hardware. He notes the Fed's own reports highlight AI as a top short-term risk. Banks continue lending due to favorable yield spreads, but Hayes predicts capital flowing into AI has drained liquidity from Bitcoin, causing its price to stall between $60,000-$70,000, with a potential drop to $50,000. He forecasts the AI bubble's peak for mid-to-late 2020s, with data center capex growth slowing from mid-2027. When excessive lending leads to losses, Hayes expects policymakers to inject unprecedented liquidity into the financial system. Unlike past crises, Bitcoin now exists to absorb this capital, driving its historic rise toward $1 million.

cryptonews.ru08/10 11:05

Arthur Hayes Warns Bitcoin Could Drop to $50,000 Before Reaching $1 Million

cryptonews.ru08/10 11:05

Bets on a Fed Rate Hike are Falling, While the Probability of Rates Holding Steady in September Takes the Lead

Market expectations for a September Federal Reserve interest rate decision have shifted significantly, now strongly favoring a pause. According to leading prediction markets, the probability of the Fed holding rates steady is at 63% (Polymarket) and 65% (Kalshi), while the CME FedWatch Tool shows a tighter race at 55.6%. Collectively, these markets have seen over $25 million in bets on the outcome, with the chance of a pause roughly 30 percentage points higher than a hike. This represents a major reversal from just over a week ago when the CME tool indicated a 67% chance of a quarter-point hike. The shift accelerated following a weak July jobs report, which showed a loss of 23,000 non-farm payrolls. The consensus now is that September is essentially a two-way contest between a pause and a 25-basis-point increase, with a rate cut deemed highly unlikely. Despite the clear tilt toward a pause, a significant gap remains between the prediction markets and the CME futures, with the latter being the most "hawkish." All indicators remain sensitive to upcoming data, particularly the Consumer Price Index report. Stronger-than-expected inflation could quickly boost the odds of a hike, while moderate data would likely solidify market expectations for the Fed to hold its current target range of 3.50%-3.75% at its September 15-16 meeting.

cryptonews.ru08/09 20:08

Bets on a Fed Rate Hike are Falling, While the Probability of Rates Holding Steady in September Takes the Lead

cryptonews.ru08/09 20:08

Bitcoin's Half-Rally Lifts Its Value Above $65,000 Resistance

On August 7, shortly before the release of U.S. employment data, Bitcoin surged past the $65,000 resistance level, reaching a daily high of $65,311. Ethereum traded around $1,903, with other major cryptocurrencies showing modest gains. The subsequent employment report was much weaker than expected, showing a loss of 23,000 non-farm jobs in July versus an anticipated gain of 83,000. The unemployment rate dipped to 4.1%. Stock futures reacted positively as traders interpreted the weak data as reducing the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 1.2%, S&P 500 futures gained 0.5%, and Dow futures were up 160 points. This rally followed a market dip on August 6, driven by rising oil prices which pushed the Dow down over 460 points. On August 7, oil prices reversed, with WTI and Brent crude falling. Precious metals saw stronger gains, with gold rising 1% and silver up over 4% in 24 hours. The HCN Stablecoin Index stood at 69, signaling a "Cautious" market. This indicates significant liquidity is held in stablecoins, suggesting reduced risk appetite as the market awaits its next directional move. A rise above 75 would signal a stronger "Risk-Off" shift, while a drop below 60 would indicate waning caution.

cryptonews.ru08/07 23:51

Bitcoin's Half-Rally Lifts Its Value Above $65,000 Resistance

cryptonews.ru08/07 23:51

The person closest to the Federal Reserve commented on US non-farm payroll data!

The U.S. non-farm sector lost 23,000 jobs in July, indicating the labor market has not yet stabilized following four months of positive growth, although the unemployment rate edged down to 4.1%. Following the weak jobs data, Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos, known for his close ties to Federal Reserve policy, stated that interpreting the July employment report will be a complex task for the Fed. According to Timiraos, the new data showing the labor market is no longer improving could reduce the need for the Fed to raise interest rates next month. However, the most critical factor determining the direction of the interest rate decision will be inflation data. He noted that market focus will remain on inflation, especially as unemployment continues to fall, with rising or falling price pressures likely to shape the Fed's approach to interest rate policy. Therefore, moderate inflation data could strengthen the argument for the Fed to leave rates unchanged. Specifically, two consecutive months of moderate inflation could be interpreted as a sign that slowing price pressures are becoming a more pronounced trend, not a temporary fluctuation. Conversely, positive inflation data could force the Fed to reconsider its current inflation forecasts and increase the likelihood of a rate hike. Timiraos added that if inflation proves to be high, forecasts of reaching inflation targets without changing interest rates could be questioned by more Fed officials. In such a scenario, support for a rate hike among policymakers could increase.

cryptonews.ru08/07 17:51

The person closest to the Federal Reserve commented on US non-farm payroll data!

cryptonews.ru08/07 17:51

LATEST NEWS: US Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate Data Released! What Was Bitcoin's (BTC) Initial Reaction?

Global markets and Bitcoin investors are focused on key U.S. employment data, as it influences Federal Reserve monetary policy. Strong job figures could signal economic resilience, supporting expectations of sustained high interest rates or tighter policy. This scenario typically strengthens the dollar and bond yields while pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin. The latest data for July has been released. Non-farm payrolls came in at -23k, significantly missing the expected 85k and the previous 57k. The unemployment rate was reported at 4.1%, slightly better than the expected and prior 4.2%. Following the release, Bitcoin's price showed a reaction (as depicted in an accompanying chart). This analysis is not an investment recommendation.

cryptonews.ru08/07 12:50

LATEST NEWS: US Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate Data Released! What Was Bitcoin's (BTC) Initial Reaction?

cryptonews.ru08/07 12:50

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is ready to support a rate hike at the September meeting, according to available data

According to reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is prepared to support an interest rate hike at the September meeting if upcoming inflation data remains high. Market expectations for a rate increase have strengthened, with futures indicating roughly a 57% probability of a 25 basis point rise. The report notes a recent sharp sell-off in U.S. Treasuries, driving long-term borrowing costs to multi-year highs. Some investors attribute this volatility not only to energy prices and inflation risks but also to Chairman Warsh's concise communication style, which they believe has undermined confidence in the Fed's inflation control. While Warsh acknowledges early communication missteps, such as failing to sufficiently emphasize commitment to price stability, he intends to maintain his data-focused approach, urging markets to concentrate on economic indicators rather than Fed guidance. This stance contrasts with predecessors and places him at odds with President Donald Trump, who reportedly favors rate cuts and has frequently contacted the Chairman on the matter.

cryptonews.ru08/07 07:06

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is ready to support a rate hike at the September meeting, according to available data

cryptonews.ru08/07 07:06

Market Cautious Ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls and U.S.-Iran Deal, Memory Chip Stocks Lead U.S. Market Decline, Western Digital Drops 13%, Crude Oil Strengthens

U.S. markets closed lower amid pre-nonfarm payrolls caution and heightened geopolitical tensions. Renewed Middle East risks, specifically a reported stringent draft agreement for the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian military action nearby, drove crude oil prices sharply higher. Brent crude surged over 5% to near $83.50/barrel, reigniting inflation concerns and boosting expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes. Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year up 5 basis points to 4.66%, further pressured by a large $25 billion corporate bond issuance from Google. The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq Composite all declined, with the Dow falling over 0.8%. Storage chip stocks led losses after disappointing earnings forecasts, with Western Digital plunging more than 13%. Other notable decliners included AppLovin and Datadog following weak results or guidance. The "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks showed mixed performance, slightly masking broader market weakness. Trading activity was subdued ahead of Friday's key nonfarm payrolls report. The dollar strengthened alongside yields, while gold was flat after an intraday spike. European equities, however, edged higher, with the STOXX 600 hitting a new record close.

marsbit08/07 00:52

Market Cautious Ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls and U.S.-Iran Deal, Memory Chip Stocks Lead U.S. Market Decline, Western Digital Drops 13%, Crude Oil Strengthens

marsbit08/07 00:52

Report: Warsh Prepared to Raise Interest Rates in September if Inflation Data Remains Strong in Coming Weeks

Report: Fed Chair Walsh Prepared to Hike Rates in September If Upcoming Inflation Data Stays Strong According to a Financial Times report, Federal Reserve Chair Walsh is prepared to raise interest rates at the September policy meeting if inflation data in the coming weeks remains hot and market expectations for a hike increase. Following this news, short-term US Treasury yields rose. Walsh has adhered to a pared-back communication strategy despite recent market volatility and criticism that his limited guidance has weakened the Fed's inflation-fighting credibility. Sources close to his thinking acknowledge some communication missteps since he took office but insist these won't derail his overall reform agenda. His most significant policy shift has been drastically reducing forward guidance, a practice he has long criticized for boxing in policymakers. Futures markets now price in roughly a 55% chance of a 25-basis-point rate increase in September. Sources indicate that while Walsh has raised the possibility of using balance sheet reduction to tighten policy, interest rates remain the primary tool for now. The Fed's preferred inflation gauge was at 3.7% in June. Walsh is expected to deliver his first major speech at the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium, seen as a key opportunity to clarify his policy framework and address perceived shortcomings in his messaging.

marsbit08/06 13:16

Report: Warsh Prepared to Raise Interest Rates in September if Inflation Data Remains Strong in Coming Weeks