# Fed Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Fed", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Breaking News: Full Detailed Rationale and Explanation of the Fed's Interest Rate Decision Released!

As expected, the Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate unchanged at 3.50-3.75 percent, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a rate change. The Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) decision passed with a 9-3 majority vote. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan dissented, voting in favor of a 25 basis point rate hike. This was the first meeting since 2016 where three regional Fed presidents voted against holding rates steady, signaling growing influence among members advocating for tighter monetary policy to combat inflation. The Fed's statement noted that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace despite high uncertainty, partly due to Middle East conflicts. It highlighted that growth in productivity and investment remained strong, employment gains have aligned with labor force growth, and the unemployment rate has remained relatively stable. The Fed also committed to maintaining ample reserves in the banking system. The statement emphasized that inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. It noted that supply shocks, including in the energy sector, are adding to inflationary pressures. The Committee stated it will continue to closely monitor incoming data and risks in pursuit of its price stability goal. The dissenting members argued that the target range for the federal funds rate should have been increased by 25 basis points.

cryptonews.ru07/29 18:36

Breaking News: Full Detailed Rationale and Explanation of the Fed's Interest Rate Decision Released!

cryptonews.ru07/29 18:36

LATEST NEWS: Long-Awaited Fed Interest Rate Decision Announced! Here is Bitcoin's Initial Reaction

The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates unchanged as expected. All attention is now focused on the press conference by new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, scheduled for 21:00. Bitcoin's initial reaction to the rate decision is shown in the provided chart. Chairman Warsh, like his predecessor Jerome Powell, has emphasized controlling inflation, with some investors perceiving his stance as tougher than anticipated. While rate cuts were expected under Trump-appointed Warsh, market expectations for a potential rate hike by year-end have strengthened. Notably, Trump's frequent public criticism of Powell for not cutting rates fast enough has ceased since Warsh took office, despite no major shift in the Fed's decision-making approach. An investment strategist noted significant continuity between the two Fed chairs. *This is not investment advice.

cryptonews.ru07/29 18:26

LATEST NEWS: Long-Awaited Fed Interest Rate Decision Announced! Here is Bitcoin's Initial Reaction

cryptonews.ru07/29 18:26

The Fed's Interest Rate Decision is Inevitable! Former Senior Fed Advisor Reveals His Forecast for Today!

Former Federal Reserve senior advisor John Faust stated he does not expect the Fed to raise interest rates at the FOMC meeting concluding today. He argued the Fed will not try to win credibility by deliberately surprising markets. In his assessment, Faust noted that Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh has used strong rhetoric on restoring price stability but largely failed to share details on how he plans to achieve it. This information gap has led to various market scenarios. However, Faust believes the reality is simpler: Warsh positions himself as a pragmatic, tough-minded policymaker, placing high importance on monetary policy communication while showing flexibility regarding balance sheet reduction. Faust compared Warsh's approach to the "refined intuitive approach" used by former Chairman Alan Greenspan. Faust stated that, unlike strict policy rules, this approach does not yield clear-cut answers on rate decisions. In current conditions, both a 25-basis-point hike and waiting for the next meeting could be reasonably justified. Aligning with market expectations, Faust predicts the Fed will choose to wait today. He believes the benefit of waiting outweighs the negatives, partly because he agrees that deliberately surprising markets to boost credibility is not a valid factor. Faust also argued there is no substantial macroeconomic difference between hiking today and holding steady, as a 25-basis-point move over eight weeks alone is not economically decisive. He emphasized that the important aspect will not be the decision itself, but how it is explained to markets. Warsh has so far advocated forward-looking policy without clear guidance on economic forecasts or the likely rate path. Faust warned that if the Fed does not explicitly state grounds for a hike and opts to wait for more data, markets may misinterpret the decision's meaning. Regardless of today's outcome, how Warsh explains the policy decisions at the meeting and press conference may be the most critical information for investors.

cryptonews.ru07/29 18:02

The Fed's Interest Rate Decision is Inevitable! Former Senior Fed Advisor Reveals His Forecast for Today!

cryptonews.ru07/29 18:02

Ahead of the Interest Rate Decision, Bloomberg Analyst Comments on the Fed's Actions and Bitcoin's Price!

Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart comments on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision and its implications for Bitcoin. While crypto market bulls believe the stage is set for BTC to surpass $70,000, the Fed's rate decisions and future policy threaten these optimistic expectations. Markets are focused on the Fed's moves; though some large institutions like Citadel point to a potential rate hike, the general market expects rates to remain unchanged or a dovish stance. Such moderate or dovish signals could be positive for Bitcoin, but prevailing uncertainty is amplifying market volatility. Meanwhile, crypto ETFs continue to pressure traditional crypto exchanges. Despite market stagnation and periodic corrections, large financial institutions are deepening their involvement, as seen with Morgan Stanley's entry offering very low 0.14% management fees for its spot Ethereum and Solana funds, indicating sustained long-term institutional optimism. Seyffart notes that robo-advisors and portfolio managers are likely to allocate more capital to such low-cost products over time.

cryptonews.ru07/29 17:11

Ahead of the Interest Rate Decision, Bloomberg Analyst Comments on the Fed's Actions and Bitcoin's Price!

cryptonews.ru07/29 17:11

How Will the Fed's Decision Affect Bitcoin? What is the Probability of Its Rise? Answers from Two Analyst Experts!

The impact of the upcoming US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision on Bitcoin may be more limited than in past cycles, according to analysts. While markets anticipate rates will remain unchanged, there is a 31.5% chance of a 25 basis point hike. K33 Research notes Bitcoin is trading sideways with near multi-year low volatility, while the Nasdaq shows strong upward momentum. This has caused the correlation between Bitcoin and the tech-heavy index to drop to its lowest levels in years, suggesting their price movements are diverging. Consequently, K33's Vetle Lunde states the Fed's decision may be less decisive for Bitcoin's price than historically, as low volatility and decoupling from Nasdaq trends could dampen its reaction. Similarly, analyst Michaël van de Poppe predicts Bitcoin's recent recovery will continue post-FOMC meeting, arguing the market has already priced in excessive fear and Bitcoin's resilience supports a continued rally.

cryptonews.ru07/29 14:02

How Will the Fed's Decision Affect Bitcoin? What is the Probability of Its Rise? Answers from Two Analyst Experts!

cryptonews.ru07/29 14:02

Crypto Trading Volumes Approach Three-Year Low

Cryptocurrency trading volumes have plunged, approaching a three-year low in July 2026, according to analysts from K33 Research. The report indicates that average daily spot trading volumes over the past 30 days fell to $2.2 billion, potentially reaching the lowest point since November 2023. Activity in derivatives is also weak, with open interest near multi-year lows. Experts attribute the slump to typical seasonal summer slowdowns, a cautious market mood due to low volatility and lack of clear trends, and a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. The crypto Fear & Greed Index remains at a "fear" level of 29. High oil prices driven by the US-Iran conflict are stoking inflation fears, leading investors to anticipate prolonged high interest rates. This environment reduces liquidity for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen minimal net inflows recently, indicating institutional passivity. Market participants are now focused on upcoming Federal Reserve decisions for potential catalysts. Following the Fed's June decision to maintain rates at 3.5-3.75%, traders are divided on whether a hike will follow. Analysts note that macro factors, particularly Fed policy, have become more significant for Bitcoin's price than its traditional four-year halving cycle.

cryptonews.ru07/29 12:31

Crypto Trading Volumes Approach Three-Year Low

cryptonews.ru07/29 12:31

Bitcoin's $66K Rebound Meets Warsh Moment: This Week's FOMC is the Crypto Market's Baton

Bitcoin Briefly Rebounded to $66,9K, Retreats as Focus Shifts to Fed's FOMC Meeting Bitcoin touched a high of $66,910 last Tuesday but later retreated, with its price movement closely tied to shifting expectations around the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision. The market's attention is firmly on the July FOMC meeting, Chair Warsh's second, where the statement and press conference will set the tone for the September path. CME FedWatch indicates a ~64% probability rates remain unchanged. Institutional flows were mixed. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw their longest inflow streak since May end with net outflows later in the week, while spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a third consecutive week of net inflows. Over 2.52 million ETH is queued for staking, signaling strong structural demand for yield-bearing assets. Corporate holdings showed stability: Tesla maintained its 11,509 BTC position (recording an unrealized loss), while Sarcity (formerly MicroStrategy) held its 843,775 BTC but paused new purchases, boosting its cash reserves. Morgan Stanley filed for spot Ethereum and Solana staking ETFs with a low 0.14% fee, highlighting the growing competition in crypto yield products. The overarching narrative is one of cross-market linkage: crypto prices are increasingly driven by macro signals, with the Fed's guidance acting as a primary short-term directional catalyst.

marsbit07/29 12:01

Bitcoin's $66K Rebound Meets Warsh Moment: This Week's FOMC is the Crypto Market's Baton

marsbit07/29 12:01

Bitcoin Rose to $64,000 as Record Chip Plunge in Korea Left Cryptocurrency Unscathed

Bitcoin rose 1% to around $63,800 on Wednesday, even as Asian stock markets experienced one of their worst periods this year. This marked the second time in a week that the cryptocurrency weathered a sharp downturn in AI-related trading. Ethereum, XRP, and BNB also saw gains, while Hyperliquid's HYPE token fell. The stock market damage was concentrated in chipmakers. South Korea's index plunged 11% following an 11% drop the previous day, a record two-day decline. Shares of SK Hynix fell around 17% despite reporting a 557% surge in quarterly profit, which still missed high expectations. Samsung shares also dropped 12% on Thursday. While cryptocurrencies have recently moved in tandem with these tech stocks, this correlation has broken twice recently. Bitcoin barely weathered a sell-off in major tech stocks last week and rose this week amid the chip slump, suggesting a potential shift worth monitoring, though not yet a proven decoupling. Bitcoin briefly dipped below $63,000 after the U.S. Senate delayed a key crypto market structure bill. Market focus now turns to the Federal Reserve's rate decision, with markets pricing in a low probability of a hike, followed by upcoming PCE inflation data, Q2 GDP figures, and another round of big tech earnings.

cryptonews.ru07/29 10:11

Bitcoin Rose to $64,000 as Record Chip Plunge in Korea Left Cryptocurrency Unscathed

cryptonews.ru07/29 10:11

Kevin Warsch's Fed Decision Nears: Here's Why TD Securities Thinks the Dollar Could Still Fall

The upcoming Federal Reserve decision under Chair Kevin Warsh is widely expected to result in no change to interest rates for the fifth consecutive meeting, with market-implied probability at 95-98%. Bitcoin has already reacted to this uncertainty, briefly dropping before stabilizing near $63,660, extending its July losses. TD Securities argues that despite this consensus, markets are still mispricing the risk of a rate hike. The bank contends that the dollar is poised to fall once the Fed confirms a hold, as current pricing reflects an exaggerated probability of tightening driven by geopolitical risk premiums, not likely Fed action. This potential mispricing represents one of the largest gaps between market expectations and actual Fed policy in a decade. Post-decision, TD forecasts further dollar weakening, expecting a roughly 2% decline by late 2026, as the Fed is seen maintaining rates absent clear evidence of sustained inflation and labor market strength. For Bitcoin, the Fed's tone is critical. A hold accompanied by dovish signals, strong AI investment forecasts, and positive upcoming PCE inflation data could support a move toward $68,000-$70,000. Conversely, unexpectedly hawkish communication risks pushing prices back toward the $58,000-$60,000 range. A weaker dollar, as predicted by TD, could also provide a supportive backdrop for Bitcoin and other risk assets.

cryptonews.ru07/29 08:46

Kevin Warsch's Fed Decision Nears: Here's Why TD Securities Thinks the Dollar Could Still Fall

cryptonews.ru07/29 08:46

Losing the "Anchor": Walsh's Minimalist Communication is Forcing the Market to Price Itself

Losing the "Anchor": Walsh's Minimalist Communication Forces Markets to Self-Price The probability of a rate hike priced into the market ahead of the Thursday meeting is unusually high at 40%. This stems from the new framework under Chairman Walsh, characterized by "data dependence and low communication." Since taking office, Walsh has implemented reforms: drastically shortening statements, removing traditional forward guidance, and emphasizing that statements only provide facts. He has also established working groups to review practices and strongly reiterated a commitment to price stability amid prolonged high inflation. Walsh does not submit a personal dot-plot forecast, urging markets to price based on their own data interpretation rather than reflecting Fed signals. This has removed the traditional "anchor," forcing markets to independently price in the possibility of sudden action in a truly data-driven environment. Consequently, short-term rate volatility and tail risk premiums have increased, as markets pay for protection against a potential sudden hike to reinforce anti-inflation credibility. Specific catalysts supporting this uncertainty include: 1) Iran-related tensions and volatile energy prices raising inflation tail risks, and 2) The new chairman's potential need to establish his anti-inflation credibility with an early, decisive move. In essence, the 40% hike probability reflects the market pricing protection for tail risks under Walsh's new low-guidance framework, compounded by geopolitical and data uncertainties, rather than treating a hike as the base case. The outcome will signal how this new communication paradigm shapes market adaptation. If rates are held steady, focus will shift to September. An unexpected hike would reinforce the "data and credibility first" narrative, prompting a repricing for higher-for-longer rates and tighter financial conditions.

marsbit07/29 07:36

Losing the "Anchor": Walsh's Minimalist Communication is Forcing the Market to Price Itself