Mapping The Bitcoin Bottom: Here’s How Low Price Could Go Before It Recovers

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-02-24Last updated on 2026-02-24

Abstract

A crypto analyst, Jussy, warns that Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a bearish trend similar to its 2022 cycle and may not have reached its final bottom. The analysis compares the current market structure to 2022, where a double top formation and a subsequent bear flag pattern preceded a major breakdown. Following an identical pattern in 2025, Bitcoin formed a double top above $120,000, broke down sharply, and is now in a consolidation phase resembling the 2022 bear flag. The analyst predicts a further decline of approximately 38% from the $74,320 support level, potentially driving the price down to around $46,199. The final projected bottom is an even deeper low of $28,301 before any meaningful recovery can begin.

Bitcoin (BTC) could be gearing up for further losses, as a crypto analyst has issued a severely foreboding forecast. According to his analysis, Bitcoin’s current structure shows a predominantly bearish trend, with price expected to reach a bottom below $30,000 before any potential reversal to the upside.

Bitcoin Repeats 2022 Style Bear Market

Crypto market analyst Jussy has published a new Bitcoin chart analysis on X, warning that the market may not have reached its final bottom yet. The chart compares the current weekly structure to Bitcoin’s 2022 cycle, showing nearly identical price behaviour following a double top formation and a bear flag that led to a major breakdown.

In 2022, Bitcoin first printed a double top near the upper resistance zone above $60,000. It was then rejected from the rounded top structure, reversing into a sustained downside trend. After this, the price experienced a sharp breakdown, followed by a three-week consolidation phase that developed into a bear flag pattern.

That consolidation acted as a brief pause before a bearish continuation, with BTC ultimately collapsing by another 38.96% from the bear flag range. Consequently, the final leg down erased roughly $11,095, carrying the price into a long-term support zone where the market finally hit a bottom and began to stabilize ahead of a recovery.

Source: X

Interestingly, Jussy argues that the current Bitcoin cycle is now reproducing the same bear market structure seen in 2022 almost perfectly. The right side of the chart shows that BTC formed a similar double-top pattern above the $120,000 region in 2025, only to roll over and break down sharply. This correction pushed the price below the key horizontal level near $74,321, which previously acted as support.

Following this drop, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase that closely resembled the 2022 bear flag. The structure slopes downward, reflecting a major price compression following the first large wick to the downside. According to Jussy, Bitcoin is now in the third week of this consolidation window, the same point in time where the 2022 market transitioned into its final price crash.

The Bottom Target

Using the same percentage decline from the 2022 breakdown, Jussy has predicted how low the Bitcoin price could fall before it attempts a notable recovery. His chart suggests that BTC has already begun its descent from the bear flag pattern, initially crashing below the $100,000 region and now trading near $65,000.

Now, the analyst projects another corrective move of approximately 38% from the former support level around $74,320, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price down to roughly $46,199. The blue line below this zone in the price chart represents Bitcoin’s final downside target. Jussy predicts an even deeper decline to $28,301, marking BTC’s price bottom before any meaningful recovery takes hold.

BTC fails to reclaim $70,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QAccording to analyst Jussy, what is the primary trend shown by Bitcoin's current structure?

AAccording to analyst Jussy, Bitcoin's current structure shows a predominantly bearish trend.

QWhich past market cycle is the analyst comparing the current Bitcoin price action to?

AThe analyst is comparing the current Bitcoin price action to the 2022 bear market cycle.

QWhat specific pattern did Bitcoin form in 2025 that is similar to its 2022 behavior?

AIn 2025, Bitcoin formed a similar double-top pattern above the $120,000 region.

QWhat is the first, more conservative price target predicted by the analyst for the Bitcoin bottom?

AThe first, more conservative price target predicted for the Bitcoin bottom is approximately $46,199.

QWhat is the deeper, final downside target price that Jussy predicts Bitcoin could fall to?

AThe deeper, final downside target price that Jussy predicts is $28,301.

Related Reads

How Difficult is Chip Making? A Division Error Costs 475 Million Dollars

How Hard Is It to Make a Chip? A Division Error Cost $475 Million Chip expert Shi Kan, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Sciences and a popular tech creator, explains the immense challenges of chip development. Chips are foundational to modern technology, but their creation is extraordinarily difficult. The journey from sand to a functional chip involves complex design and manufacturing, but a critical bottleneck is verification—ensuring the design works flawlessly before costly production. A single, undetected bug can have catastrophic consequences, as illustrated by the infamous 1994 Intel Pentium FDIV bug. A flaw in the floating-point division unit forced a recall costing $475 million. Unlike software, chips cannot be easily patched after manufacture, making "first-time success" paramount. However, industry surveys show only 24% of chip projects achieve this; over three-quarters require at least one costly re-spin due to design flaws. Verification has thus become the dominant phase, consuming up to 70% of the design cycle. The core challenge is a "verification impossible triangle" between high performance, good debuggability, and low cost. Exhaustively verifying a modern CPU core could take 15,000 years with software simulation, or 30 years with advanced hardware emulation—timeframes utterly impractical for development. Despite being essential, verification is often seen as unglamorous "dirty work," receiving less academic attention than fields like AI. Shi and his team are tackling this by developing an agile verification research framework called ENCORE, based on FPGA technology, to improve verification efficiency and debug capability. Beyond research, Shi engages in public science communication through long-form video content, aiming to demystify chip technology, AI, and computer science. He argues for the value of pursuing "hard and long-term" endeavors, whether in the meticulous world of chip verification or in creating substantive educational content, believing such sustained effort is likely the right path forward.

marsbit12m ago

How Difficult is Chip Making? A Division Error Costs 475 Million Dollars

marsbit12m ago

Blockchain Has Finally Started to Sail into the Mainstream After 18 Years

Blockchain Finds Its True Path After 18 Years: Becoming the Financial Backbone for AI Agents and Autonomy This analysis explores a pivotal shift in the blockchain and crypto investment landscape, driven by the dominance of AI. Major venture capital firms, including Variant, Paradigm, Haun Ventures, and YZi Labs, are moving beyond pure "crypto" investment theses. They are expanding their focus to AI, robotics, and frontier tech, signaling that blockchain is no longer seen as a standalone sector but as an underlying infrastructure layer. The core argument is that blockchain's killer application may not be user-facing apps, but rather providing the economic rails for the coming wave of AI agents, autonomous robots, and automated systems. Key capabilities like self-custody wallets, programmable stablecoins for micropayments, on-chain identity, and verifiable smart contracts are positioned as essential for a future where machines conduct economic activity. The recent $1.4 billion investment by Tether (via its venture arm) in German robotics company NEURA Robotics exemplifies this, aiming to embed Tether's wallet tools directly into robots for autonomous transactions. While many "AI + Crypto" projects remain superficial, the article concludes that true value lies where crypto is a necessary component—enabling machine-to-machine payments, agent autonomy, verifiable data provenance, and open financial settlement for the AI era. For crypto venture capital, this convergence with AI represents both an adaptation to shifting capital flows and a potential path to unlocking the large-scale, non-speculative utility the industry has long sought.

marsbit33m ago

Blockchain Has Finally Started to Sail into the Mainstream After 18 Years

marsbit33m ago

Blockchain has finally begun sailing toward the main channel after 18 years

After 18 years of development, blockchain technology is beginning to move from a specialized niche into mainstream adoption, according to a recent industry analysis. The shift is reflected in the changing strategies of major crypto venture capital firms, which are expanding their focus beyond pure "digital ownership" towards broader themes like "autonomy." The report highlights that leading VC firms like Variant, Paradigm, Haun Ventures, and YZi Labs are broadening their investment mandates to include not only crypto but also artificial intelligence (AI), robotics, biotech, and other frontier technologies. This reflects a recognition that the isolated "crypto investment" narrative is losing appeal to limited partners (LPs) as capital and attention increasingly flow toward AI and other high-growth tech sectors. A key emerging thesis is that blockchain's most significant future application may not be as a consumer-facing product, but as the underlying economic and settlement infrastructure for the AI era. As AI agents and autonomous systems become more prevalent, they will require programmable, global, and low-cost payment networks (like stablecoins), verifiable digital identities, and secure wallets to manage transactions and assets on behalf of users. The investment by stablecoin issuer Tether into robotics company NEURA, with plans to integrate its wallet technology, is cited as a prime example of this convergence. However, the article cautions that simply labeling projects as "AI + Crypto" is insufficient. True value lies in integrations where blockchain technology is essential—such as enabling machine-to-machine micropayments, verifiable data provenance for AI, or transparent governance for autonomous organizations—rather than being a superficial marketing add-on. In conclusion, while AI currently dominates the tech narrative and capital flows, it may ultimately create the real-world, high-frequency demand that the crypto industry has long sought. For crypto VCs and projects, the path forward is to position blockchain not as a competing sector, but as a critical foundational layer powering autonomy and economic activity in an AI-driven future.

链捕手39m ago

Blockchain has finally begun sailing toward the main channel after 18 years

链捕手39m ago

Y Combinator Co-founder: How to Make a Billion Dollars?

The Y Combinator co-founder argues that becoming a billionaire by founding a successful startup is not only possible but demonstrably achievable without unfair or unethical practices. He disputes a politician's claim to the contrary, using the example of a founder whose company grew at 93% monthly solely through creating a product users loved and recommended. The core mechanism is exponential growth. A conservative 15% monthly growth rate compounds to a 4384x increase over five years, which can easily lead to billion-dollar valuations and founder wealth. The process depends on two key variables: the growth rate and the duration it can be sustained. A high growth rate stems from a great product that users naturally promote, while a long duration requires a large enough market. For aspiring founders, especially young ones, the simplest path is to build something they and their friends genuinely need. Young people's current needs often predict future mass-market trends. He advises against actively "searching" for ideas, as this tends to filter out unconventional but promising ones. Instead, inspiration should come from working on interesting projects with friends, as many iconic companies (e.g., Apple, Facebook) started this way. Ultimately, building a massively valuable startup is not about exploitation but empathy: deeply understanding a user group and building a product that significantly improves their lives. This, powered by exponential growth in a large market, is the legitimate path to immense wealth creation.

Foresight News42m ago

Y Combinator Co-founder: How to Make a Billion Dollars?

Foresight News42m ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

364 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片