CryptoQuant Analysts Link Bitcoin Drop to USDT Market Cap Collapse

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-05Last updated on 2026-08-05

Abstract

Analysts at CryptoQuant have linked the recent decline in Bitcoin's price to a significant drop in the market capitalization of the USDT stablecoin. They explain that stablecoins like USDT are a key source of liquidity for the crypto market. A sustained decrease in USDT's supply, which has fallen by nearly $870 million in the past 11 days, equates to capital leaving the ecosystem, reducing demand for assets like Bitcoin. Historically, periods of USDT supply growth have coincided with Bitcoin price rallies, while extended phases of contraction have led to weaker demand, deeper corrections, and bearish market conditions. However, analysts note that past severe declines in USDT supply have often occurred when selling pressure was nearing exhaustion rather than intensifying further. This current trend could therefore be a positive sign that selling pressure is easing and the market may soon enter a bullish cycle. CryptoQuant attributes Bitcoin's weak recovery attempts to a lack of stablecoin liquidity, which prevents the formation of sustained spot demand. For a solid recovery, they argue that USDT's market cap would need to show stable growth over a two-month period. This view aligns with analysis from firms like Wintermute, which sees signs that the crypto market's bear phase may be ending, citing the resilience of major cryptocurrencies amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

However, this could be a good sign that selling pressure on the cryptocurrency market is easing and it will soon enter a bullish cycle phase, analysts suggested.

The rate of reduction is accelerating: over the last 11 days, the supply of $USDT has decreased by almost $870 million. This indicates that the current dynamic is not just an echo of previous investor decisions, but an actively developing trend, CryptoQuant emphasizes.

Analysts have seen a connection between the drop in the market capitalization of $USDT and the decrease in Bitcoin's price. CryptoQuant explained: stablecoins are a key source of liquid funds in the cryptocurrency market, so a trend of decreasing market capitalization can seriously impact the market as a whole. The reduction in $USDT supply is equivalent to money exiting the crypto market. If investors are massively returning $USDT to the issuer in exchange for dollars, the volume of $USDT in circulation falls, as does the demand for Bitcoin:

"Historically, periods of sustained growth in $USDT supply coincided with a strengthening of the Bitcoin price, while prolonged phases of reduction were accompanied by weakening demand, deeper correction, and a worsening overall market environment. However, the most serious declines in the volume of $USDT in the past often coincided with moments when seller pressure was closer to being exhausted than to further intensification."

CryptoQuant asserts that Bitcoin's weak attempts at a price bounce are precisely due to insufficient stablecoin liquidity volume—thus, it's not possible to form sustained spot demand. To climb out of such a hole, it is necessary for the market capitalization of $USDT to start growing steadily over a two-month period, investment specialists concluded.

The cryptocurrency market is showing signs of completing a bear phase, according to analysts at the British company Wintermute. Major cryptocurrencies have managed to maintain resilience amid economic shocks, such as the unchanged lending rates in the USA—and this is a favorable sign, experts say.

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Related Questions

QAccording to the article, what did CryptoQuant analysts link the decline in Bitcoin's price to?

AThey linked it to the collapse in the market capitalization of the stablecoin USDT.

QWhat does a sustained decrease in the supply of USDT indicate, according to the analysis?

AIt indicates capital outflow from the cryptocurrency market, as it is equivalent to investors returning USDT to the issuer for dollars.

QWhat historical pattern is mentioned regarding USDT supply and Bitcoin's price?

AHistorically, periods of steady growth in USDT supply coincided with Bitcoin's price strengthening, while prolonged phases of reduction accompanied weakened demand and market downturns.

QWhat is stated as a necessary condition for Bitcoin to escape its current weak price situation?

AThe market capitalization of USDT needs to start growing steadily for a period of two months.

QWhat positive sign do some analysts see for the crypto market despite the current issues?

AThey see signs that the bear market phase may be ending and that major cryptocurrencies have shown resilience amidst economic turbulence, which is a favorable indicator.

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