Bitcoin's ‘bear flag pattern’ targets $67K as BTC spot demand slumps

cointelegraphPublished on 2025-12-09Last updated on 2025-12-09

Abstract

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing bearish signals with analysts warning of a potential drop toward $67,000. A bear flag pattern has formed on the daily chart, and a break below $90,000 could trigger a 25% decline. Weak spot buying, negative cumulative volume delta (CVD), and outflows from Bitcoin ETFs indicate reduced demand and increased selling pressure. While some analysts suggest a possible bottom near $74,000–$77,000, low trading volume and macroeconomic uncertainty are limiting upward momentum. Recent ETF outflows and fading institutional interest suggest continued caution among investors.

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has painted bearish continuation patterns on its daily chart, which may propel BTC to new lows, according to analysts.

Key takeaways:

  • A sharp decline in spot buying and weakening ETF demand suggests that the upside may be limited.

  • Bitcoin’s bear flag pattern on the daily time frame targets $67,000 BTC price.

BTC price could bottom at $66,000

The BTC/USD pair has formed a bear flag on the daily chart, as shown in the figure below. This bear flag formed following Bitcoin’s drop from $107,000 highs on Nov. 11, and the recent rebound was rejected from the flag’s upper boundary around $93,000.

Related: Bitcoin retail inflows to Binance ‘collapse’ to 400 BTC record low in 2025

A daily candlestick close below the flag’s lower boundary at $90,000 may open the way for a drop toward the measured target of the pattern at $67,380, or around the 2021 price top. This would represent a 25% drop from the current price.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

“Indicators (MACD and RSI) were extremely oversold, and this movement allows them to cool off so we can continue our downtrend,” said trader Roman in a Tuesday post on X, referring to Bitcoin’s consolidation inside the flag.

Pseudonymous analyst Colin Talks Crypto said that although a move down would be the expected outcome from the flag’s validation, the $74,000-$77,000 zone “would be the likeliest bottom,” adding:

“I would also expect a powerful rebound if such a level is reached.”

Meanwhile, crypto trader Aaron Dishner said that BTC price is likely to revisit $92,200, then near $98,000 under the upper bear flag line, before continuing the downtrend.

“Volume remains too weak to drive higher highs.”

As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin’s failure to successfully retest the yearly open above $93,000, caused by macroeconomic uncertainty, liquidations and stagnant spot ETF flows, is causing traders to retreat from Bitcoin.

Bitcoin could drop due to weaker demand

Bitcoin’s ability to push past the yearly open above $93,000 appears limited due to the absence of buyers.

Bitcoin’s spot cumulative volume delta (CVD), an indicator that measures the net difference between buying and selling trade volumes, shows net spot buying on exchanges remains negative even after Bitcoin’s recent rebound.

Bitcoin’s Spot CVD weakened from -$40.8 million to -$111.7 million over the last week, “pointing to stronger underlying sell pressure,” Glassnode said in its latest Market Impulse report, adding:

“This sharp drop signals a clear rise in aggressive selling, suggesting softer buyer conviction and a short-term tilt toward bearish sentiment.”
Bitcoin spot CVD. Source: Glassnode

Spot Bitcoin ETF demand slowed down last week, flipping from a $134.2 million inflow to a $707.3 million outflow, the market intelligence provider wrote, adding:

“The shift points to profit-taking or softer institutional demand, reflecting a more cautious tone as investors reassess positioning.”

These investment products experienced another $60 million in outflows on Monday, according to data from Farside Investors.

As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin’s recent rebound could be a bull trap, with some analysts predicting as low as $40,000 over the coming months.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.


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