Bitcoin buyers need to only ‘survive this phase’ for more gains – Analyst

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-06-25Last updated on 2026-06-25

Abstract

Bitcoin's price recently dipped below $60,000 for the first time since October 2024, attributed to increased selling pressure from large holders. Wallets holding 10-10,000 BTC sold over 45,000 BTC in eight days, increasing market supply. Analyst Kaelo warns a break below the critical $60,000 support could trigger panic selling, but suggests a potential market bottom may form within 3-4 months, offering solid entry opportunities for those who endure. Historical patterns indicate the major bottom could occur 70-110 days after a capitulation event, potentially extending pressure until October or November. Glassnode's analysis notes preliminary signs of bottom formation, but the market remains fragile, with investors facing significant daily losses and traders hedging against further downside.

The price of Bitcoin [BTC] had dropped to $59,280 on the 24th of June. However, Bitcoin was trading at $61,682.01 at the time of writing. Santiment noted that this dip below the $60,000 mark happened for the first time since the 10th of October 2024.

This indicated that selling pressure has increased and that big holders are largely to blame for the drop. Wallets with 10–10,000 bitcoin have sold 45,074 bitcoin in the last eight days.

Due to these whales’ massive sales, the market now has billions of dollars’ worth of Bitcoin, which will raise supply and affect prices if demand cannot keep up with it.

Source: Santiment

Although this distribution by key stakeholders might be the result of portfolio rebalancing, a change in the market outlook, or profit-taking, it also indicates short-term declines in confidence.

‘Solid entry opportunities’ ahead for Bitcoin?

According to analyst Kaelo, Bitcoin will also likely experience a steep drop if it breaks below the critical $60,000 support, which could lead to panic selling and liquidations.

Nonetheless, he thinks that the bear market will probably bottom out in three to four months, offering investors who stick with it excellent accumulation opportunities. In this perspective, even though the upcoming months might be unstable and difficult, he stated,

People who manage to survive this phase have the opportunity to position themselves to be the leaders of the next bull market. Should be a lot of really solid entry opportunities across the board soon enough.

Echoing similar sentiments, another analyst added,

Source: X

All in all, the decline of Bitcoin might not be over, according to another historical signal. Prior cycles showed that the major bottom formed 70–110 days after the final bear market capitulation, which took place approximately 826 days after each halving.

AMBCrypto previously reported that BTC might continue to be under pressure until October or November if the pattern recurs.

Why BTC is still in waiting

Glassnode offered an analysis in a report titled “Waiting for Buyers,” in which they reported that although Bitcoin is still under pressure, there are preliminary indications that the market may be forming a bottom.

According to the analysis, investors are still suffering large losses, as evidenced by the 90-day Net Realized Profit and Loss, which averages -$205 million per day.

Source: Glassnode

While market makers’ long gamma positioning between $60,000 and $64,000 is keeping price swings largely contained around current levels. Additionally, Options market data also indicates that traders are hedging more against further downside.

Although Bitcoin may be approaching the beginning of a bottoming process rather than a new phase of capitulation, the market is still brittle overall.


Final Summary

  • Besides the price drop, whales with 10–10,000 bitcoin have sold 45,074 bitcoin in the last eight days.
  • Investors are also suffering large losses, as evidenced by the 90-day Net Realized Profit and Loss, which averages -$205 million per day.

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Related Questions

QAccording to the analyst Kaelo, what could happen if Bitcoin breaks below the critical $60,000 support level?

AIf Bitcoin breaks below the critical $60,000 support level, it could lead to panic selling and liquidations, likely resulting in a steep drop in price.

QWhat is one reason mentioned for the recent selling pressure from Bitcoin whales (holders of 10-10,000 BTC)?

AThe selling pressure from Bitcoin whales could be the result of portfolio rebalancing, a change in market outlook, or profit-taking, which also indicates short-term declines in confidence.

QBased on historical signals mentioned in the article, when might the major bottom for Bitcoin form after the final bear market capitulation?

ABased on historical cycles, the major bottom forms 70–110 days after the final bear market capitulation, which typically occurs approximately 826 days after each Bitcoin halving event.

QWhat does Glassnode's analysis titled 'Waiting for Buyers' suggest about the current Bitcoin market state?

AGlassnode's analysis suggests that while Bitcoin is still under pressure, there are preliminary indications that the market may be forming a bottom, but it remains brittle overall.

QWhat key metric indicates that Bitcoin investors are currently suffering large daily losses?

AThe 90-day Net Realized Profit and Loss metric, which averages -$205 million per day, indicates that Bitcoin investors are currently suffering large daily losses.

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