Bitcoin Breakout Followed A Sharp Cooldown In Profit-Taking: Report

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-01-09Last updated on 2026-01-09

Abstract

A report from Glassnode reveals that Bitcoin's profit realization saw a significant decline in December 2025, dropping to $183.8 million after being above $1 billion for much of Q4. This cooldown in profit-taking, especially among long-term holders, reduced sell-side pressure and allowed the market to stabilize. Subsequently, Bitcoin surged above $94,000 in early 2026. The short-term holder MVRV ratio remained below 1, indicating new investors held unrealized losses. Bitcoin has since rebounded to $90,900 after briefly falling below $90,000.

A report from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed how Bitcoin profit realization saw a reset ahead of the recent price surge.

Bitcoin Realized Profit Has Gone Down Recently

In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Realized Profit of Bitcoin. This on-chain indicator measures the total amount of profit that investors on the BTC network are realizing through their transactions.

The metric works by going through the transfer history of each coin being moved or sold on the network to see what price it was transacted at prior to this. If the last transaction price of the token was less than the spot price it’s now being sold at, then the sale is considered to realize some net gain.

The exact amount of profit involved in the transfer is equal to the difference between the two prices. The Realized Profit sums up this value for all profit transactions on the blockchain.

A counterpart indicator known as the Realized Loss takes care of the sales of the opposite type. That is, the moves involving a cost basis higher than the latest transfer price.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 7-day moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin Realized Profit over the last few years:

The value of the metric seems to have gone down in recent days | Source: Glassnode's The Week Onchain - Week 1, 2026

As displayed in the above graph, the 7-day average Bitcoin Realized Profit was above the $1 billion level for much of the fourth quarter of 2025, with a particularly large spike of nearly $3 billion coming in November that coincided with the cryptocurrency’s bottom.

In December, however, the metric saw a sharp decline to a value of just $183.8 million. “This deceleration in realized gains, particularly among longer-term holders, signalled an exhaustion of distribution-side pressure that had been anchoring price action in the prior quarter,” noted Glassnode.

What followed this cooldown in profit-taking was BTC’s climb above $94,000 during the first week of 2026. “As sell-side intensity eased, the market was able to stabilize, regain composure, and support a renewed upside impulse,” said the analytics firm.

The Realized Profit and Realized Loss deal with the profit/loss being realized by the investors, but what about the unrealized profits or losses? An indicator called the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio contains the information related to that.

In the report, Glassnode has specifically discussed about this indicator for the short-term holders (STHs), representing the low-conviction side of the market (holding time of 155 days or less).

How the STH MVRV has changed in the last few years | Source: Glassnode's The Week Onchain - Week 1, 2026

From the chart, it’s visible that the Bitcoin STH MVRV has been below the 1 level recently, implying that the new market entrants have been holding a net unrealized loss.

BTC Price

Bitcoin fell under $90,000 earlier in the day, but the asset has since rebounded to $90,900.

The trend in the price of the coin over the last five days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView

Trending Cryptos

Related Questions

QWhat does the Bitcoin Realized Profit indicator measure according to the Glassnode report?

AThe Realized Profit indicator measures the total amount of profit that investors on the Bitcoin network are realizing through their transactions by calculating the difference between the current selling price and the price at which each coin was last transacted.

QWhat significant change occurred in the 7-day average Bitcoin Realized Profit in December 2025?

AIn December 2025, the 7-day average Bitcoin Realized Profit saw a sharp decline to a value of just $183.8 million, down from being above $1 billion for much of the fourth quarter.

QWhat was the price movement of Bitcoin experienced following the cooldown in profit-taking?

AFollowing the cooldown in profit-taking, Bitcoin's price climbed above $94,000 during the first week of 2026.

QWhat does a Bitcoin Short-Term Holder (STH) MVRV Ratio below the level of 1 indicate?

AA Bitcoin Short-Term Holder MVRV Ratio below 1 indicates that new market entrants (holders of 155 days or less) are holding a net unrealized loss.

QWhat was Bitcoin's price at the time of the report after rebounding from an intraday low?

AAt the time of the report, Bitcoin had rebounded to $90,900 after falling under $90,000 earlier in the day.

Related Reads

As Consensus Accelerates, What Are Young Investors Betting On?

Title: As Consensus Forms Faster, What Are Young Investors Betting On? In the rapid evolution of tech investment, a new generation of young investors is navigating a landscape where AI, robotics, commercial aerospace, and quantum computing are advancing simultaneously. Traditional investment logic based on financial models is giving way to a need for deep technical understanding and the ability to act before industry consensus forms. An analysis of trends from the "WAIC FUTURE TECH" list of young investment leaders reveals key shifts in focus. The first major trend is the movement of AI from the digital screen into the physical world. Investment is shifting from large language models and chatbots towards embodied AI, robotics, AI hardware, and edge computing. While demonstrations generate excitement, the real challenge lies in achieving scalable, reliable, and cost-effective delivery in complex real-world environments like factories and logistics. Success depends not just on algorithms but on the integration of sensors, actuators, and control systems. Second, the competitive focus for large models is moving beyond raw capability toward building an "intelligence flywheel." The goal is to create self-reinforcing systems where user interaction generates data, improving the model, which in turn enhances the user experience and attracts more engagement. Companies that successfully embed AI into workflows to create these closed-loop systems can build lasting value that isn't easily erased by the next model upgrade. Third, facing a potential bottleneck in high-quality human-generated data, investors are looking at new underlying technologies. Reinforcement learning and self-play, as demonstrated by AlphaGo Zero, offer paths for AI to generate its own experience. Scientific foundation models, which aim to build general AI capabilities for fields like life sciences and materials discovery, represent a non-consensus direction that could unlock new frontiers of knowledge and data. Finally, in deep-tech areas like quantum computing, commercial aerospace, and space-based infrastructure, patient capital is essential. These fields have long, uncertain development and validation cycles involving complex engineering, supply chains, and regulations. Investment here requires a long-term view, focusing on foundational team capabilities and the eventual emergence of market demand, even if commercial returns are distant. Collectively, these trends illustrate how young investors are adapting to a new era. They are learning to make earlier, technically-informed judgments, balance hype with real-world viability, and provide the patient capital needed to build the deep-tech foundations of the future.

marsbit22m ago

As Consensus Accelerates, What Are Young Investors Betting On?

marsbit22m ago

Can Japan Buy Growth with AI? Will the Bond Market Believe It?

Japan's cabinet has introduced the 2026 Basic Policy on Economic and Fiscal Management and Reform, shifting its primary fiscal target. The new framework moves away from the traditional annual primary balance goal and instead prioritizes a stable reduction of the debt-to-GDP ratio. This change is tied to a strategy of increased "responsible proactive fiscal" spending, aiming to boost long-term growth through investments in strategic sectors like AI, semiconductors, energy, and robotics. The government estimates total public and private investment in 62 key technologies could exceed 370 trillion yen by 2040. The market reaction has been mixed and cautious. While equity markets may respond to policy signals, bond markets are focused on fiscal credibility. Concerns center on whether the weakening of the clear primary balance anchor could lead to looser fiscal discipline. If investors doubt that these strategic investments will generate sufficient productivity gains, tax revenue, and nominal growth to outpace rising interest costs, they may demand higher yields on Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs). Recent volatility in the yen and JGB yields, with the 10-year yield briefly reaching 2.9%, reflects this skepticism. The success of this new framework hinges on two factors: whether Japan can achieve a nominal growth rate consistently higher than its long-term interest rates, and whether future budgets demonstrate disciplined control over bond issuance. The government's narrative is that strategic investment is essential to break Japan's cycle of low growth, aging, and labor shortages. However, the bond market will continuously assess the credibility of this plan, pricing the risk that it may represent fiscal expansion rather than a viable growth strategy.

marsbit59m ago

Can Japan Buy Growth with AI? Will the Bond Market Believe It?

marsbit59m ago

Misjudged A-Shares: Resilience, Expectations, and Confidence

China's A-share market recently faced selling pressure, especially in tech sectors, initially triggered by a global tech sell-off that began in South Korea. However, the article argues this is a case of "mistaken injury" and highlights the market's underlying resilience. This resilience stems from three main pillars: **1) Tech Sector Fundamentals:** Unlike Korea's market dominated by a few memory chip stocks, China's tech sector is diversified across computing, communications, electronics, and semiconductors, supported by dual narratives of global AI supply chains and domestic substitution. Core areas like optical modules and fiber optics continue to show strong earnings growth. **2) "National Team" Support:** State-backed institutions and large corporations have made significant market purchases and announced buybacks, providing liquidity and signaling confidence. This is seen as a stabilizing policy signal, often associated with market bottoms. **3) Broader Market Pillars:** Other major sectors are showing endogenous recovery momentum. Consumer stocks benefit from stabilizing CPI and signs of sector recovery (e.g., liquor price hikes). Cyclical sectors like aluminum have high earnings, potential price increases due to tight supply, and low valuations. The financial sector offers stable dividends and low valuations. The conclusion is that the sell-off was driven by external contagion, not a collapse in fundamentals. With strong policy support and recovering momentum across key sectors, the A-share market possesses the toughness to regain stability.

marsbit1h ago

Misjudged A-Shares: Resilience, Expectations, and Confidence

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

972 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片