# Market Cap Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Market Cap", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Zhou Hang: How Much is SpaceX Really Worth?

Summary: Author Zhou Hang argues that while SpaceX is arguably one of the greatest industrial companies of the past 50 years, its anticipated IPO valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion is likely overvalued by about $1.25 trillion. The analysis acknowledges SpaceX's monumental success in slashing launch costs, achieving near-monopoly in commercial launches, and building the Starlink satellite internet constellation. However, using a projected 2030 revenue of $50-80 billion and applying a generous tech company valuation multiple yields a "reasonable" valuation range of only $500 billion to $1.2 trillion. The $1.25 trillion gap stems from premiums for its long-term vision (e.g., Starship, space-based computing), its status as a U.S. strategic national asset, and retail investor enthusiasm driven by the Elon Musk narrative. The article outlines three post-IPO scenarios: valuation solidification (25% probability), sideways consolidation (50%), or a correction to fundamental value (25%). The probability-weighted expected valuation is $1.3-1.5 trillion, suggesting negative expected returns for buyers at the IPO price. The conclusion cautions investors to separate the company's undeniable greatness from the stock's price, advising against chasing the IPO and to wait for key milestones or a lower entry point.

marsbit20h ago

Zhou Hang: How Much is SpaceX Really Worth?

marsbit20h ago

Crypto Founder Predicts This Altcoin Sweetheart Will Overtake Solana, But How Far Will It Go?

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicts that the altcoin Hyperliquid (HYPE) will surpass Solana in market capitalization before the current market cycle ends. He reiterated his price target of $150 for HYPE, expecting it to be reached by the second half of the year. At the time of his prediction, HYPE was trading below $70 with a $15 billion market cap. It has since rallied to a new all-time high above $73, achieving an $18 billion market cap and becoming the 9th largest cryptocurrency, overtaking Dogecoin. Hayes' forecast implies HYPE's market cap could exceed $48 billion, pushing its price above $100. He attributes the potential growth to the Hyperliquid DEX gaining traction, with up to 99% of fees used to buy and burn HYPE tokens. In a separate challenge, Hayes wagered $100,000 for charity that HYPE will outperform any other top crypto by market cap from now until year-end. Currently, HYPE is the best-performing top 10 crypto year-to-date, up 188%.

bitcoinistYesterday 21:01

Crypto Founder Predicts This Altcoin Sweetheart Will Overtake Solana, But How Far Will It Go?

bitcoinistYesterday 21:01

Which Cryptos Are Best Positioned To Follow The Same Trajectory As Hyperliquid (HYPE)?

The article discusses cryptocurrencies that could potentially follow the remarkable trajectory of Hyperliquid (HYPE), which saw its token surge over 60% in a bear market. It identifies two main competitors in the perpetual decentralized exchange (DEX) space: ASTER, the token of the Aster DEX, and LIT from the Lighter DEX. While ASTER has achieved billions in open interest like Hyperliquid, its token price remains around 70% below its all-time high. Similarly, LIT has also fallen more than 66% from its peak despite some trading volume success. The article suggests these significant declines create speculation for potential recovery rallies similar to HYPE's performance. In contrast, Hyperliquid continues to dominate, holding a $17.3 billion market cap and ranking among the top 10 cryptocurrencies. The search is on for the next token that can defy the bear market and replicate such success.

bitcoinistYesterday 12:02

Which Cryptos Are Best Positioned To Follow The Same Trajectory As Hyperliquid (HYPE)?

bitcoinistYesterday 12:02

Introducing: Global Metrics Suite

Glassnode introduces the Global Metrics Suite, a new framework for analyzing the fragmented cryptocurrency market through aggregated on-chain and market data. It solves the challenge of structural discontinuities in traditional aggregate series by using formally rebalanced baskets (e.g., by market cap) and provides two output types: Raw Aggregates (preserving original units) and Indices (scaled, continuous series for trend comparison). The article demonstrates the value of continuity-adjusted indices through three examples. First, they reveal a significant 2024 surge in small-cap market cap, a rally invisible in raw data where "winners" leave the basket upon crossing a threshold. Second, a global Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) index shows that small-cap sentiment is more stable than raw data suggests, while larger caps exhibit a trend of decreasing profit realization per cycle. Third, an Open Interest index highlights the higher volatility and leverage spikes in mid- and small-cap derivatives, useful for monitoring cascade risks. Four metrics are currently available via API: Total Market Cap, Realized Cap, Median SOPR, and Total Open Interest, each for "All Coins," Large, Mid, and Small Cap baskets. The framework, using weekly rebalancing and equal weighting, brings the continuity discipline of traditional finance indices to multi-asset crypto analytics.

insights.glassnode05/28 15:22

insights.glassnode05/28 15:22

Georgia Teams Up With Tether To Launch National Stablecoin

The government of Georgia has partnered with Tether, the issuer of USDT, to launch GEL₮, a national stablecoin pegged to the Georgian Lari. This initiative aims to integrate the national currency directly onto digital asset infrastructure under a new regulatory framework, designed to align with regulations like the U.S. GENIUS Act. Georgia's prime minister and Tether's CEO highlighted the move as a step toward a more transparent and digitally empowered financial system, building on the country's existing digital asset payment infrastructure. While specific launch details for GEL₮ are pending, the announcement coincides with a period of strong regulatory momentum and growth for stablecoins, whose combined market cap is near an all-time high of approximately $322.7 billion.

bitcoinist05/26 12:01

Georgia Teams Up With Tether To Launch National Stablecoin

bitcoinist05/26 12:01

Hope For Altcoin Season: The Bitcoin Move That Could Kickstart Everything

"Hope For Altcoin Season: The Bitcoin Move That Could Kickstart Everything" analyzes the potential for a new altcoin season. Despite prolonged underperformance against Bitcoin and a low Altcoin Season Index, analysis from Cryptollica suggests altcoin dominance is currently at a long-term floor within a rising channel dating to 2017—a level from which past major altcoin rotations in 2017 and 2021 began. However, a confirmed breakout requires specific signals currently absent: ETH/BTC needs to bottom, and stablecoin liquidity must grow as Bitcoin dominance declines. While not yet showing strength, the current setup is described as a "waiting room" rather than a dead market. If altcoin dominance breaks out to the channel's upper trendline, the total market cap of altcoins outside the top 10 could surge significantly relative to Bitcoin's.

bitcoinist05/23 04:01

Market Analyst Accuses XRP Of Being The Biggest Crypto Scam, What’s Going On?

A market analyst named Ryker has labeled XRP as the biggest scam in crypto, criticizing its high valuation despite what he claims is a lack of utility and ongoing inflation from Ripple's escrow releases. He alleges the team previously inflated the price and used celebrity promotions, particularly in South Korea, leading to significant losses for investors. In contrast, on-chain data shows substantial growth for the XRP Ledger, with a surge in new wallets and leading net flows in the real-world asset (RWA) sector, hinting at a potential price rebound. Currently, XRP is trading around $1.37.

bitcoinist05/22 20:31

Market Analyst Accuses XRP Of Being The Biggest Crypto Scam, What’s Going On?

bitcoinist05/22 20:31

Cross-Border Payment Giant Wise Lands on NASDAQ

Fintech company Wise has successfully listed its A-class shares on the Nasdaq stock exchange under the ticker "WSE," while maintaining its secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange. This move, more of a primary listing transfer to the US than a traditional IPO, reflects Wise's strategic shift to be closer to a key growth market, attract a broader investor base, and support its business evolution. Founded in London by two Estonians to solve personal pain points with costly and opaque international bank transfers, Wise initially grew as TransferWise by offering faster, cheaper, and more transparent currency exchange and cross-border payments. It has since expanded beyond a simple transfer tool into a comprehensive global financial services platform, offering multi-currency accounts, business services, debit cards, and the Wise Platform, which provides its infrastructure to banks and other institutions. Wise's latest fiscal year data highlights its scale: $243 billion in cross-border transaction volume, $39 billion in customer balances, and nearly 19 million customers. The company continues to emphasize its low average fee of 0.52% and fast transaction speeds, with 75% of payments arriving within 20 seconds. The Nasdaq listing aligns with Wise's ambitions in the US market, where it aims to grow its consumer and business user base and, critically, deepen partnerships with American banks through Wise Platform. To further strengthen its US operations, Wise is reportedly seeking a national trust bank charter and a Federal Reserve master account to gain more direct control over USD payment flows. The transition also involved corporate governance discussions, as the move was approved alongside an extension of its dual-class share structure, which grants founders enhanced voting rights. In summary, Wise's Nasdaq debut marks its transition from a disruptive money transfer startup into a major global payments network player. Its future growth will be tested on its ability to scale its platform business, execute its US strategy, and maintain profitability and governance standards under the scrutiny of public markets.

marsbit05/16 01:18

Cross-Border Payment Giant Wise Lands on NASDAQ

marsbit05/16 01:18

Bitcoin Bear Market Would Be Record Shallow If $60,000 Was The Low: Glassnode

Glassnode's analysis indicates the current Bitcoin bear market may be record shallow if the low was $60,000. The firm notes the Relative Unrealized Loss metric, tracking investor paper losses as a percentage of market cap, peaked at only 25% during February's sell-off, significantly lower than historical cycle highs. This level has since declined to around 8%, suggesting a shift from fear to uncertainty rather than the broad capitulation typical of major bottoms. Concurrently, the 30-day change in Bitcoin's Realized Cap has turned positive, signaling renewed capital inflows, though Glassnode cautions this inflow lacks the conviction seen at similar past inflection points. Bitcoin's price has recently consolidated around the $81,300 level.

bitcoinist05/15 14:31

Bitcoin Bear Market Would Be Record Shallow If $60,000 Was The Low: Glassnode

bitcoinist05/15 14:31

Listed and Halted, Surge Over 108% in a Single Day, Is Cerebras Really the 'Next Nvidia'?

Cerebras Systems (CBRS), labeled the "next Nvidia," debuted on the NASDAQ on May 14th, 2025. Its stock price surged over 108% from its $185 IPO price, briefly touching $385 before settling around $311. CEO Andrew Feldman claimed the company's wafer-scale AI chips are "58 times larger and 15-20 times faster" than competitors like Nvidia. The company's core innovation is the Wafer Scale Engine (WSE), a massive, dinner-plate-sized chip designed to avoid the bottlenecks of interconnecting multiple GPUs. Its latest system, the CS-3, offers high-performance computing for AI training and inference. While still a niche player with $5.1 billion in 2025 revenue, Cerebras has secured major contracts, most notably a multi-year, over $20 billion computing deal with OpenAI. This partnership is deep: OpenAI is a major customer, a creditor via a $1 billion loan, and holds warrants that could make it a 10-11% shareholder in Cerebras. Despite the hype, the article argues Cerebras is unlikely to dethrone Nvidia soon. Nvidia's ecosystem (CUDA), vast scale, manufacturing efficiency, and diversified product line present a formidable moat. Cerebras faces high costs, production challenges with its giant chips, and competition from AMD, Google, and others. However, strong demand for AI inference and its key partnerships could support its stock price in the short to medium term. In conclusion, Cerebras is positioned as a high-speed specialist in the AI hardware market, not a broad-market replacement for the current industry leader.

Odaily星球日报05/15 10:34

Listed and Halted, Surge Over 108% in a Single Day, Is Cerebras Really the 'Next Nvidia'?