Are the "Magnificent Seven" No Longer Enough? SpaceX IPO Attracts Retail Frenzy, Wall Street Serves Up the "AI Tech Ten"

marsbitPublished on 2026-06-16Last updated on 2026-06-16

Abstract

The article discusses a potential shift in Wall Street's categorization of major tech stocks, driven by SpaceX's highly successful IPO. On its first day of trading, SpaceX attracted $117 million in net purchases from retail investors, accounting for 56% of all U.S. retail stock buys that day. This surge has prompted research firm Vanda to propose a new group called the "FAB 10" (Frontier AI & Big Tech 10). This concept suggests replacing the long-standing "Magnificent Seven" with ten companies believed to define the next decade of AI and technology. The proposed FAB 10 would include the original seven giants plus SpaceX and the yet-to-be-public AI firms OpenAI and Anthropic, both anticipated to go public later this year with valuations potentially reaching trillions. This contrasts with another proposed grouping, Bank of America's "AI Big 10," which adds semiconductor companies like Broadcom, AMD, and Micron to the core seven, focusing more on hardware. The divergence highlights different bets on the future drivers of tech growth. Analysts note that the massive influx of retail money into new listings like SpaceX might divert capital from other hot sectors, such as chip stocks, and warn that high valuations across the tech sector may indicate bubble risks.

Author: Claude, TechFlow Deep Tide

Deep Tide TechFlow Introduction:SpaceX's debut on Friday attracted $117 million in net retail purchases, accounting for 56% of the total U.S. retail stock buying that day. Based on this, research firm Vanda proposed the new "FAB 10" concept, advocating for replacing the long-standing "Magnificent Seven" with a frontier AI and tech top ten, including SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic. The latter two are not yet public, but are expected to list later this year with valuations potentially exceeding a trillion dollars each.

SpaceX's market debut is rewriting the way Wall Street labels tech stocks.

According to a report released by Vanda Research last Sunday, cited by Cailian Press, the frenzy among retail investors for SpaceX's IPO last Friday was a huge success, sparking discussions in the market about redefining the entire tech industry. Prior to this, this fundraising round of approximately $75 billion was already the largest IPO on record. SpaceX priced its shares at $135 each, giving it a valuation of about $1.75 trillion, placing it among the world's ten most valuable publicly listed companies.

On SpaceX's Debut, Retail Buying Constituted 56% of the Day's Entire Market

Vanda's data quantifies this frenzy. The report stated that SpaceX attracted $117 million in net retail purchases on its first trading day, accounting for 56% of the total retail stock buying across the entire U.S. market that day.

This figure only reflects secondary market buying on the first day and does not include funds from retail investors who participated in the IPO allocation through brokers. Separate data indicates that retail investors ultimately received about 20% of the allocation in this $75 billion offering, above average; hedge funds got 10%, while long-term institutional investors took 70%.

The concentrated bets by retail investors are further channeling capital towards a handful of mega-cap tech companies. Vanda believes these companies are not only dominating stock market performance but are also driving the entire wave of tech investment.

Vanda: Replace the "Magnificent Seven" with the "FAB 10"

It is based on this judgment that Vanda proposed a new classification framework.

"If markets were dominated by the 'Magnificent Seven' over the past few years, then last Friday might be the clearest signal yet that investors are starting to focus on what we call the 'FAB 10'," Vanda wrote in the report. FAB 10 is short for Frontier AI & Big Tech 10, referring to the ten frontier AI and big tech giants.

According to Vanda's definition, the FAB 10 adds SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic to the original seven giants. The latter two are not yet public, but the market expects them to enter the capital market later this year, with valuations potentially reaching hundreds of billions or even trillions of dollars.

Vanda's reasoning is straightforward: these companies collectively represent the direction of the AI and tech industry for the next decade.

The Same Concept, But Bank of America's Version is Different

Vanda is not the only player packaging mega-cap tech stocks into a new index.

Bank of America's chief strategist, Michael Hartnett, previously proposed an "AI Big 10" portfolio in his "Guide to the Investment Universe." The difference from the FAB 10 lies in the stock selection: BofA's version is the Magnificent Seven plus Broadcom, AMD, and Micron, leaning more towards semiconductor hardware, while Vanda is betting on unlisted AI model companies and SpaceX.

The divergence between the two lists is essentially a different bet on "who defines the next ten years." One side favors the chipmakers, the other favors the model builders and rocket launchers.

Retail Floods into SpaceX, Chip Stocks May Suffer Capital Drain

The other side of the new concept is the redistribution of capital.

Vanda researchers noted that the fervor for SpaceX may be drawing funds away from other hot sectors, especially previously soaring chip stocks, which may be losing favor with retail investors. In other words, even within the FAB 10, favor might not be evenly spread; the capital-attracting effect of new entrants could come at the cost of pullbacks for older members.

However, analysts also caution that valuations across the tech sector are already showing signs of froth. SpaceX's IPO at a $1.75 trillion valuation itself is built on optimistic expectations for AI infrastructure. How long this optimism can last remains for the market to answer.

Related Questions

QWhat is the concept of 'FAB 10' proposed by Vanda Research, and which companies does it include?

AThe concept of 'FAB 10' (Frontier AI & Big Tech 10), proposed by Vanda Research, is a new classification framework aiming to replace the long-standing 'Magnificent Seven.' It includes the original seven tech giants (like Apple, Microsoft, etc.) and adds SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic. These ten companies are seen as representing the direction of the AI and tech industry for the next decade.

QHow did retail investors contribute to SpaceX's IPO debut, and what was their market share?

AAccording to Vanda Research, on SpaceX's first day of trading, retail investors made a net purchase of $117 million, which accounted for 56% of all retail stock buying in the U.S. market that day. In the overall $75 billion IPO, retail investors ultimately received about 20% of the allocated shares, which is higher than the average allocation.

QWhat is the difference between Vanda's 'FAB 10' and Bank of America's 'AI Big 10' list?

AThe key difference lies in the selected companies. Vanda's 'FAB 10' includes the Magnificent Seven plus SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, focusing on AI models and space tech. Bank of America's 'AI Big 10' includes the Magnificent Seven plus Broadcom, AMD, and Micron, with a stronger emphasis on semiconductor hardware companies.

QWhat potential market impact does Vanda suggest the rise of 'FAB 10' might have?

AVanda suggests that the influx of capital into new members like SpaceX could draw funds away from other hot sectors. Specifically, semiconductor stocks, which previously experienced significant gains, might lose favor with retail investors. This indicates a potential redistribution of capital within the tech sector, where new entrants' success might come at the expense of older members' performance.

QWhat was SpaceX's valuation at its IPO, and what caution do analysts express regarding this?

ASpaceX went public with a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion at a share price of $135, making it one of the top ten most valuable publicly traded companies globally. Analysts caution that this valuation, built on optimistic expectations for AI infrastructure, shows signs of a bubble in the overall tech sector, and its sustainability remains to be tested by the market.

Related Reads

Dalio's Latest Warning: Don't Get Carried Away by AI, Real Returns on US Stocks in the Next 5-10 Years Could Be -5% to -10%

Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, warns investors against excessive concentration in AI stocks. He argues the current market, dominated by a few AI giants, mirrors historical patterns where revolutionary new technologies lead to high risk, volatility, and uncertainty. While acknowledging AI's transformative potential, Dalio emphasizes that most investors fail at this stage of the cycle by over-concentrating in a handful of leading companies. He cites inherent risks: companies cannot accurately forecast investment needs or external shocks (e.g., monetary policy, geopolitics, taxes), face potential disruption from future technologies and international competition (notably from China), and experience significant price swings. Dalio's core advice is diversification, calling it his "Holy Grail of Investing." He presents a mathematical case that a well-diversified portfolio of 15-20 uncorrelated, good bets offers a superior risk-adjusted return compared to a concentrated position. Dalio also offers a cautious outlook, suggesting U.S. stocks may deliver real returns of -5% to -10% over the next 5-10 years based on valuation and bubble indicators. He concludes that in the face of high uncertainty, the prudent strategy is not to avoid betting entirely, but to avoid large, concentrated bets where one lacks sufficient informational edge. Instead, investors should build a strategically balanced, diversified portfolio.

marsbit20m ago

Dalio's Latest Warning: Don't Get Carried Away by AI, Real Returns on US Stocks in the Next 5-10 Years Could Be -5% to -10%

marsbit20m ago

Rain Valuation Approaches $20 Billion: The Battle for U-Cards Extends to Rewards Systems

Rain, a stablecoin payments infrastructure company, is shifting the competitive focus for U Cards from simple issuance to user retention and repeated usage. On June 15, Rain launched "Rain Rewards," an embedded loyalty program capability within its card-issuing infrastructure. This allows partner businesses—like fintech platforms and neobanks—to configure branded loyalty points, earning rules, redemptions, and merchant promotions directly within their card products. The system, built from the 2025 acquisition of Uptop, ensures points are only issued upon final transaction settlement, preventing liabilities from refunds. Trials, such as with Avalanche Card, reportedly boosted spending by 25% among enrolled users. Founded by Farooq Malik and Charles Yoo-Naut, Rain evolved from a tool for managing Web3 company expenses into a full-stack enterprise platform. It is a Principal Member of Visa and Mastercard, enabling partners to issue stablecoin-backed cards and wallets while leveraging traditional payment networks. Notably, the popular U Card Plasma One is issued by Rain under Visa's authority. Rain also integrates with Visa's stablecoin settlement pilot, using USDC for network settlement. Rain's rapid funding reflects growing institutional interest in stablecoin payment infrastructure. It raised a $245 million Series A in March 2025, a $58 million Series B in August 2025, and a $250 million Series C in January of this year, reaching a $19.5 billion valuation. Annualized transaction volume exceeds $3 billion, serving over 200 partners including Western Union and Nuvei. Beyond cards, Rain is expanding into programmable payments. Its June 2026 "Agent Control Layer" allows businesses to set spending rules—like merchant categories, amounts, and frequency—for AI agents before transactions occur. This positions Rain not as a single product but as an operating system for stablecoin payments, handling everything from card issuance and wallet management to rewards, on/off-ramps, and automated compliance. The goal is to enable seamless, often invisible, real-world spending of on-chain assets.

Foresight News23m ago

Rain Valuation Approaches $20 Billion: The Battle for U-Cards Extends to Rewards Systems

Foresight News23m ago

Google TPU Shipments Revised Up by 50%

Recent industry research indicates a significant upward revision in the shipments of Google's TPU (Tensor Processing Unit) chips. Previous expectations for 2027 were set at around 10 million units, but new estimates now point to 15 million units, a 50% increase. This substantial boost directly translates to higher demand across the entire supporting supply chain. Google's TPU clusters utilize a standardized all-optical interconnect architecture. Consequently, key hardware components are deeply integrated and scaled in fixed ratios with the chips. The 15 million TPU target will drive corresponding demand increases for NPO optical engines (roughly a 1:1 match), 1.6T optical modules, OCS optical switches, high-end server power supplies, fiber optics & MPO connectors, and liquid cooling solutions. Among these, liquid cooling is highlighted as the sector experiencing the most significant transformation and offering the most stable potential for excess returns. As next-generation TPU chips reach power levels where traditional air cooling is insufficient, liquid cooling becomes essential. 2026 is forecasted as the first year of substantial adoption for Google's liquid cooling solutions. This shift, coupled with delivery and capacity bottlenecks faced by incumbent overseas manufacturers, is creating a prime window for domestic Chinese suppliers to enter and secure Google's core supply chain. The market size for Google-specific liquid cooling is projected to potentially triple from a baseline of hundreds of billions to around 300 billion units by 2028. The logic for the fiber optic sector is also being rewritten. Once considered a cyclical commodity tied to telecom operator procurement, fiber is now a strategic and scarce resource for AI Data Centers (AIDC). A severe supply-demand imbalance, driven by the long lead time for preform production (18-24 months) and surging demand from cloud giants, is supporting strong performance. Chinese fiber manufacturers are well-positioned to capture a significant share of global AIDC demand, with exports potentially reaching 200-300 million core kilometers in 2026. Overall, the investment focus within the AI computing industry is shifting from pure "chip performance speculation" towards the more certain incremental growth in computing infrastructure and its supporting ecosystem. The upward revision in Google TPU shipments, along with the potential for further doubling by 2028, is seen as solidifying performance visibility for the entire supporting supply chain over the next two years.

marsbit2h ago

Google TPU Shipments Revised Up by 50%

marsbit2h ago

What Wall Street Really Wants After the Crypto Story Recedes

The tide of speculative crypto narratives has receded, revealing Wall Street's true objective: building a controlled, yield-generating, and compliant financial pipeline on distributed ledgers. They are migrating core functions onto blockchains, not for decentralization, but for efficiency and new revenue streams. Key developments include BlackRock's BUIDL fund, a tokenized treasury fund acting as a foundational reserve asset, and the rise of Securitize, which is going public and partnering with the NYSE to build a 24/7 digital securities trading and settlement system. This signals a major shift of securities clearing to blockchain technology. To make volatile assets like Bitcoin palatable for institutional investors, firms like BlackRock and Goldman Sachs are creating "covered call" ETFs (e.g., BITA). These products systematically sell options on Bitcoin holdings, transforming price volatility into stable monthly income, effectively repackaging crypto as a yield-bearing asset. Stablecoins are being positioned not as speculative tools but as efficient payment rails. Companies like Stripe and Mastercard are integrating them for instant, low-cost merchant settlements and cross-border card payments, respectively. Critically, new legislation like the GENIUS Act shapes them as non-interest-bearing, heavily regulated extensions of the US dollar system. In summary, Wall Street is quietly constructing a parallel, blockchain-based financial infrastructure featuring tokenized traditional assets, structured crypto yields, and programmable dollar pipelines—all under its control and fully integrated with existing regulatory and credit frameworks.

marsbit2h ago

What Wall Street Really Wants After the Crypto Story Recedes

marsbit2h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of S (S) are presented below.

活动图片