XPL kiểm tra vùng cầu $0.08 khi phe gấu ép bán mạnh: Đảo chiều sắp tới?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-02-23Last updated on 2026-02-23

Abstract

XPL đã giảm hơn 12% giá trị vốn hóa chỉ trong 24 giờ, với áp lực bán mạnh đẩy giá về gần vùng hỗ trợ quan trọng 0,08 USD. Mặc dù đây từng là vùng kích hoạt mua trước đó, sức mạnh giảm giá vẫn duy trì khi chỉ số Bull Bear Power (BBP) đạt -0.0148. Dữ liệu Futures cho thấy tâm lý bi quan cực độ khi tỷ lệ tài trợ (Funding Rate) âm sâu ở mức 0.0437%, đồng thời khối lượng giao dịch hàng ngày tăng 38% cho thấy nhiều lệnh bán. Hoạt động mạng lưới cũng suy yếu với số giao dịch giảm 12% trong hai tuần. Nếu giá phá vỡ dưới 0,08 USD, XPL có nguy cơ giảm sâu hơn và thiết lập mức đáy mới.

Vài tuần trước, các chuỗi liên quan đến xu hướng stablecoin đã phát triển mạnh nhưng kể từ đó đã mất đi sự nổi bật. Plasma [XPL] là một trong số đó, với trọng tâm vào thanh toán bằng stablecoin, vốn cũng có sự góp mặt của USDT của Tether.

XPL đã mất hơn 12% tổng vốn hóa thị trường chỉ trong 24 giờ. Mức tăng đột biến 38% về khối lượng giao dịch hàng ngày xác nhận áp lực bán.

Ngoài ra, hệ số luân chuyển của đồng tiền này là 0,436 cho thấy một phần đáng kể vốn hóa đang được giao dịch. Liệu phe bò có thể vào cuộc như trước đây khi giá tiếp cận vùng cầu quan trọng?

XPL tiếp cận vùng cầu quan trọng

Giá XPL tiếp tục giảm trong ngày thứ hai liên tiếp, lên tới 18% sau những thua lỗ trong ngày.

Sức mạnh của phe gấu hiện tại, rõ ràng từ chỉ báo Bull Bear Power với các thanh ngày càng tăng về kích thước, đang đẩy giá về phía vùng $0,08.

Theo chỉ báo Market Structure Break và OB Probability, vùng $0,08 là vùng cầu quan trọng. Ban đầu, XPL đã bật tăng trở lại từ vùng này và đẩy giá vượt trên $0,10.

Mặc dù việc giảm xuống vùng $0,08 có thể kích hoạt phe bò mua vào, nhưng sức mạnh của phe gấu vẫn còn hiện diện rõ rệt. Trên thực tế, nó đã tăng lên sau mỗi lần đóng nến, với BBP ở mức âm 0,0148.

Giá trị này chỉ bằng một nửa so với mức mà phe gấu mạnh nhất trong tháng Hai đã đạt được.

Đợt giảm giá này khiến một đợt phục hồi tiềm năng ở mức $0,08 trở nên khó khăn trong các điều kiện hiện tại. Có lẽ, tâm lý bi quan trong giới giao dịch và hoạt động chuỗi thấp đã khuếch đại các khoản lỗ.

Nhà giao dịch Hợp đồng Tương lai Perpetual của XPL ở trạng thái cực kỳ bi quan

Nhìn vào dữ liệu Hợp đồng Tương lai Perpetual cho XPL, các nhà giao dịch tỏ ra bi quan. Tỷ lệ Tài trợ Tính theo OI đã giảm mạnh vào vùng âm, chạm mức 0,0437%.

Dữ liệu cho thấy thị trường đang tập trung quá mức vào phe bán, một dấu hiệu của bán tháo hoảng loạn. Hơn nữa, những vị thế bán khống này đang trả tiền cho phe mua để giữ các vị thế của họ mở cũng như mở thêm các lệnh bán.

Đợt giảm mạnh này có thể đồng nghĩa với rủi ro giảm giá thêm, đặc biệt nếu phe bò không vào cuộc. Việc phá vỡ dưới $0,08 sẽ tạo ra mức thấp mới cho altcoin này, vượt qua mức thấp hiện tại là $0,0709.

Hoạt động giảm mạnh trong hai tuần

Hoạt động mạng lưới của XPL cũng diễn biến theo hành động giá. Trong hai tuần qua, số lượng giao dịch đã giảm hơn 12%, từ 416,5K xuống 365,9K.

Nhưng từ góc độ hàng ngày, các giao dịch tăng 4,28%, trong khi tổng phí giao dịch tăng 56%. Đợt tăng đột biến về hoạt động này có lẽ là từ các nhà giao dịch đang bán token.

Trong khi đó, số lượng giao dịch tích lũy của nó đạt 155,76 triệu với tốc độ 4,5 TPS. Nhìn chung, hầu hết các chỉ số của XPL đều yếu, bao gồm cả hành động giá, vốn đang tiếp cận một vùng cầu quan trọng.


Tóm tắt cuối cùng

  • XPL mất 12% khi Tỷ lệ Tài trợ Tính theo OI chuyển sang màu đỏ và hoạt động giảm mạnh.
  • Giá XPL đang tiếp cận vùng cầu ở mức $0,08, nhưng sức mạnh giảm giá vẫn không suy giảm.

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