Pourquoi les investisseurs particuliers ont-ils du mal à échapper au cycle de pertes du trading à haute fréquence ?

比推Published on 2025-12-09Last updated on 2025-12-09

Abstract

Les investisseurs particuliers échouent dans le trading à haute fréquence car ils opèrent sans avantage informationnel face aux institutions, possédant des données exclusives (flux d'ordres, liquidités, positions des market makers). L’auteur, ancien trader compulsif, témoigne : ses pertes catastrophiques survenaient après des gains, par incapacité à s’arrêter. La solution ? Réduire radicalement la fréquence des trades (quelques fois par trimestre), capitaliser sur les tendances majeures, puis se retirer du marché. Le vrai succès ne consiste pas à gagner, mais à préserver ses gains. Les jeunes traders, influencés par les réseaux sociaux, confondent discipline et système gagnant, ignorant qu’ils participent à un casino déguisé. Seuls 1% des traders particuliers conservent leurs profits à long terme.

Auteur: Pickle Cat

Compilation: Deep Tide TechFlow

Titre original: Les investisseurs particuliers qui perdent de l'argent tradent, ceux qui en gagnent se reposent

Vous voulez arrêter de perdre de l'argent sur le marché des cryptomonnaies ? Arrêtez d'abord votre trading intrajournalier !

Car pour l'investisseur ordinaire, le trading intrajournalier est structurellement une "arnaque".

Cet article est long, mais si vous prenez 120 secondes pour le lire, je vous garantis que dans quelques années, vous vous remercierez.

Je trade depuis mon adolescence.

J'ai connu des victoires qui me faisaient me sentir comme "Batman", et des échecs douloureux qui m'ont brisé intérieurement et dont je me remets encore.

J'ai essayé toutes les stratégies de trading qu'un investisseur ordinaire peut trouver.

Pendant toute une année, je me suis même adonné au trading intrajournalier, pensant que cela me permettre finalement de renverser la vapeur, mais j'ai échoué si lamentablement que cela me pique encore à chaque souvenir.

Mon tableau de profits et pertes (PNL) était si mauvais que le plan d'achat automatique de Bitcoin que j'avais mis en place pour ma grand-mère rapportait plus d'argent que moi.

Plus tard, je suis devenu un trader swing à faible fréquence, ajustant rarement mes positions. Après une prise de bénéfices, je sortais du marché et je faisais une pause dans le trading.

Ce n'est qu'à ce moment-là que ma vie a commencé à s'améliorer et que tout est devenu clair.

Je ne suis pas un saint. J'écris cela pour sauver ce moi plus jeune, stupide, naïf et impulsif.

Premièrement, en tant que trader intrajournalier ordinaire, vous tradez à haute fréquence sans avantage informationnel (pas de flux d'ordres réel, pas de carte de liquidité claire, pas d'information sur les positions des market makers, pas d'avantage d'exécution, rien).

Si vous ne tradez que quelques fois par trimestre, vous pourriez peut-être survivre.

Mais si vous tradez plus de 10 fois par semaine ?

Même si vous avez la plus grande "discipline" et les meilleures compétences en "gestion des risques" du monde, les mathématiques finiront par vous faire perdre lamentablement.

La raison pour laquelle les investisseurs ordinaires échouent n'est pas qu'ils ne gagnent jamais, c'est qu'ils n'arrêtent jamais. Le seul résultat possible du trading à haute fréquence est : la ruine.

C'est aussi pourquoi je me suis mis en place un "système de punition" : si je dépasse la limite de trades par trimestre, je suis puni.

Chaque perte importante que j'ai subie est survenue après une grande victoire, en continuant à trader au lieu de m'arrêter à temps.

Et toutes mes grandes victoires (celles où j'ai réellement conservé l'argent longtemps) sont survenues parce que j'ai saisi une forte tendance, puis j'ai choisi de me reposer et de me calmer.

Ce schéma est si évident que ça en est douloureux.

"Gagner" ce n'est pas soudainement gagner beaucoup d'argent. Vraiment "gagner", c'est être capable de conserver cet argent, et ne pas tout reperdre l'année suivante.

Maintenant, je vois des adolescents de 14 ans sur TikTok se prétendant traders intrajournaliers, traçant quelques lignes sur TradingView, pensant qu'en achetant le cours d'un "gourou" ou en rejoignant un groupe Discord, ils maîtrisent un système de trading exécutable quotidiennement.

Cela me rend malade. S'ils savaient qu'ils jouent, ça ne me dérangerait pas, au moins ils sauraient qu'ils participent à un jeu.

Mais la mode actuelle du trading intrajournalier est plus importante que la fièvre des "ICO" de 2016 et 2017. Et nous savons tous comment cela s'est terminé.

Les gens sous-estiment la difficulté du trading et surestiment gravement leurs propres capacités.

Le problème n'est pas seulement mathématique. Oui, plus vous tradez fréquemment, moins vous vous arrêtez, plus il est difficile de réaliser des bénéfices durables.

Le vrai problème est que les jeunes traders ordinaires croient sincèrement qu'avec de la "discipline" et de la "gestion des risques", ils ne jouent pas du tout. Ils pensent que le trading intrajournalier est une "compétence" qui peut être exécutée comme une habitude quotidienne.

Cela ne s'applique pas seulement au trading intrajournalier de cryptomonnaies, mais aussi au marché boursier américain et à presque tous les autres marchés.

Le trading à haute fréquence est réservé aux institutions.

Prenons le marché boursier américain comme exemple.

Savez-vous ce que les traders institutionnels ne regardent absolument pas ? Les graphiques en chandeliers et TradingView.

Ils utilisent le terminal Bloomberg, qui contient des données que les investisseurs ordinaires ne verront jamais.

Bien sûr, vous le savez peut-être déjà. Mais les jeunes de 14 à 18 ans ne le savent pas. Ils pensent que leurs indicateurs sont les outils que tous les traders utilisent.

C'est là que réside le vrai danger.

Si vous savez que vous jouez, au moins une partie de vous saura quand s'arrêter.

Mais une fois que vous croyez qu'il s'agit d'un "système", vous ne vous arrêtez jamais.

Vous continuerez à cliquer jusqu'à ce que le marché vous ait vidé.

Le trading intrajournalier : Un casino déguisé en café

C'est vraiment comme un casino déguisé.

Quand vous entrez à Las Vegas ou à Macao, vous savez dans quel type d'endroit vous êtes. Vous voyez les lumières, les tables de jeu, les croupiers, le bruit. Votre cerveau réalise immédiatement : c'est du jeu.

Mais le trading intrajournalier d'aujourd'hui, c'est comme un casino déguisé en café.

Les nouveaux traders entrent, pensant venir "apprendre une compétence", sans savoir qu'ils sont assis à une table de jeu spécialement conçue pour les vider lentement.

Alors ils ne s'arrêtent pas.

C'est là l'essence de toute la tragédie, pas les pertes elles-mêmes.

Ce qui est vraiment triste, c'est qu'ils croient vraiment ne pas jouer, et c'est cette croyance qui les fait continuer jusqu'à tout perdre.

Quant à ceux qui semblent "gagner de l'argent" parmi les traders ordinaires (comme moi autrefois)... Honnêtement, la plupart d'entre eux ont simplement profité d'une bonne tendance.

Ils ont eu de la chance au bon moment, et, avec un peu de discipline acquise grâce aux "leçons" des pertes précédentes, ils ont finalement appris à s'arrêter après avoir gagné.

Même ainsi, ces chanceux représentent moins d'un pour cent de tous les traders ordinaires.

Gagner de l'argent en tradant n'est en fait pas difficile, ce qui est vraiment difficile, c'est de conserver cet argent.

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Lien original:https://www.bitpush.news/articles/7594262

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