SOL逼近关键支撑未平仓合约停滞=默许下跌

金色财经Published on 2025-11-21Last updated on 2025-11-21

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  • 与SOL期货相关的未平仓合约一直停滞在73亿美元左右,表明市场缺乏投机动力。

  • 美国联邦储备委员会将在12月召开的联邦公开市场委员会会议上,没有最新的劳动力市场数据。

  • Solana 的价格回调距离重新测试底部趋势线仅几英寸之遥,而该趋势线在过去曾引发过一波大涨。

Solana区块链的原生加密货币SOL在周四美股交易时段暴跌近2.5%。此前,标普500指数市值蒸发1.5万亿美元,引发大盘回调,SOL也因此承压。此外,用户参与度下降以及衍生品数据显示加密货币交易者兴趣减弱,也给Solana价格带来额外压力。

SOL股价大幅回调,美国就业数据缺失引发市场震荡。

Solana股价在两周内从171.8美元大幅回调至目前的134.2美元,跌幅达22.25%。受此影响,其资产市值暴跌至748亿美元。此次下跌很可能是由于美国宏观经济不确定性引发的更广泛的市场调整所致。 

美国劳工统计局出人意料地宣布,10月份的非农就业报告将不会发布。这意味着美联储在12月联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议召开前,将无法获得每月例行的劳动力市场数据进行分析。下一次就业数据更新预计将在FOMC会议之后发布,这将迫使美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔及其同事在缺乏最新招聘和工资数据的情况下制定政策。 

市场参与者迅速下调了12月降息的可能性,许多人现在预期要么暂停降息,要么最多降息25个基点。高利率持续更长时间会降低无收益投资的吸引力,引发普遍的避险情绪,导致比特币和其他加密货币价格下跌。

Sol 期货

自10月10日那场导致超过8亿美元杠杆头寸被清仓的剧烈抛售以来,Solana期货的未平仓合约量一直未能出现任何实质性反弹。根据Coinglass提供的数据,截至11月20日,未平仓合约量仍徘徊在73亿美元左右。每日价格波动幅度依然温和,仅为1-3%,资金利率接近于零,多空比率也仅略高于1:1,这表明市场信心不足。 

SOL股价上月从230美元暴跌至130美元以下,此后市场持续保持谨慎,目前未平仓合约规模仍维持在73亿美元。由于杠杆率处于数月低位,且ETF资金流入不足,仍有大量新资金在场外观望。

Solana价格回调挑战多年支撑位

Solana股价盘中下跌近2.5%,目前报133.60美元。此次回调伴随着交易量的大幅飙升,表明卖方信心十足,有望推动价格持续回调。 

目前,该代币价格距离重新测试130美元附近期待已久的支撑趋势线仅差4%。自2023年10月以来,这条动态支撑趋势线一直是买家恢复上涨势头的重要区域。 

此前价格从支撑位反弹后,Solana 长期价格上涨趋势出现大幅反弹。因此,如果买家继续守住这一底部,Solana 价格可能引发看涨反转。

索拉纳价格

相反,如果该币跌破底部趋势线,卖方将加强对该资产的控制,从而推动价格长期回调并冲击 100 美元大关。

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