加密货币周一继续“血崩”,部分代币已跌回10月闪崩低点,“比特币的机构需求7个月来首次低于挖矿速度”

华尔街日报Published on 2025-11-04Last updated on 2025-11-04

在10月历史性的去杠杆事件阴影下,加密货币市场正面临新一轮抛售压力,一项关键指标显示,大型机构投资者的需求正在减弱,加剧了市场的谨慎情绪。

周一,加密货币市场持续承压,比特币价格跌破107000美元。更广泛的山寨币市场表现更为疲软,部分代币价格已跌回10月闪崩期间的低点,当时数百亿美元的杠杆头寸被清算。

一个值得警惕的信号是,据Capriole Investments创始人Charles Edwards称,比特币的机构需求七个月来首次滑落至新币挖矿速度之下。这一转变暗示大型买家可能正在退缩,并与其他市场活动共同指向了整个加密货币市场的避险基调。

市场情绪谨慎,机构需求降温

比特币周一一度下跌4.3%至105300美元附近,虽然自去年12月以来仍上涨约14%,但其近期表现明显乏力。与此同时,追踪前100大数字资产中后50种表现的MarketVector指数连续第三个交易日下跌,跌幅高达8.8%,今年以来该指数已下跌约60%。

市场参与者表示,距离10月份那场抹去约190亿美元多头头寸的剧烈震荡已过去三周,但其“后遗症”仍在持续。加密货币交易与做市公司Selini Capital的首席执行官Jordi Alexander表示,加密市场正处于10月清算冲击后的“宿醉阶段”。他认为,重建被摧毁的资本基础需要时间,投资者情绪依然谨慎。

Alexander补充说,“市场必须首先证明一个令人信服的价格底部即将形成,然后才能重新尝试向上突破”。在他看来,在价格找到支撑的明确信号出现前,投资者不会轻易入场。

除了市场情绪脆弱,一项关键的技术指标也亮起了红灯。Capriole Investments的Charles Edwards指出,大型机构对比特币的需求已经放缓,这是七个月来首次低于新币的产出速度。这一数据表明,此前推动市场上涨的关键力量之一可能正在减弱。

抛压另有来源?获利了结与“沉睡”比特币被激活

对于此轮下跌,并非所有人都将其完全归咎于10月的市场冲击。

CoinShares的数字资产分析师Matthew Kimmell将此轮回调形容为“有些令人费解”。他认为,尽管市场“仍在经历清算事件的一些反响”,但其他因素同样值得关注。

Kimmell指出,通过比特币的公开交易记录可以发现,一些此前长期静止的钱包已被激活。“这些代币已经开始移动,很可能正在重新进入市场,为市场提供了一些抛售压力,投资者正在获利了结,”他表示,“这是我正在持续监控的事情。”

Teucrium ETFs的董事总经理Jake Hanley也认为,价格走低的原因是“人们正在获利了结”。他指出,当前的技术图景显示出一个分化的市场。“自夏季以来,以比特币为首的价格一直在走低,而XRP自仲夏以来也明显趋于下行,”Hanley说,“在这一过程中,价格本身就在告诉你,人们正在兑现利润。”

风险提示及免责条款
市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

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