Цена Solana (SOL) приближается к $250, но продажи угрожают ралли

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-02-16Last updated on 2025-09-17

Solana продолжает расти, приближаясь к важной отметке в $250. Этот уровень считается ключевым для SOL

Однако на пути к этой цели криптовалюта сталкивается с недоверием значительной части держателей.

Ключевые держатели продают Solana

Данные показывают, что долгосрочные держатели начали распродавать накопления. Эти инвесторы играют важную роль в движении Solana: их покупки поддерживают рост, а продажи могут привести к падению.

На момент написания этого анализа продажи долгосрочных держателей достигли шестимесячного максимума, что говорит о снижении уверенности. Это может давить на цену Solana в краткосрочной перспективе, мешая ей закрепиться на уровне $250 и снижая импульс, если продажи продолжатся.

Изменение чистой позиции HODLer Solana
Изменение чистой позиции HODLer Solana. Источник: Glassnode

Тем временем индикатор NUPL для Solana показывает, что криптовалюта еще не достигла точки насыщения. Исторически, движение к порогу Вера-Отрицание на уровне 0,5 часто предвещает разворот, приводя к длительным коррекциям в последующие недели.

Это оставляет Solana возможность для краткосрочного роста, прежде чем начнется период охлаждения.

График NUPL для Solana
График NUPL для Solana. Источник: Glassnode

Цена SOL приближается к критическому уровню

Сейчас Solana торгуется на уровне $235, всего на 6% ниже отметки $250. В выходные SOL пыталась достичь этой цели, но не смогла, однако удержалась выше поддержки в $232.

Если бычий импульс продолжится, Solana получит шанс восстановиться от $232 и протестировать сопротивление на уровне $242. Успешный прорыв, особенно если долгосрочные держатели замедлят продажи, может подтолкнуть SOL к отметке выше $250 в ближайшее время.

Анализ цены Solana
Анализ цены Solana. Источник: TradingView

Однако, если давление продаж со стороны долгосрочных держателей усилится, Solana может столкнуться с трудностями в удержании $232 в качестве поддержки. Это грозит привести к снижению до $221, что подорвет бычий импульс и аннулирует краткосрочные прогнозы роста.

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