VanEck预言:被制裁国家正将比特币推向新高度

marsbitPublished on 2025-05-06Last updated on 2025-05-06

  • 试图规避制裁的国家正在使用比特币
  • VanEck研报指出:这可能助力加密货币收复失地

VanEck最新分析显示,俄罗斯等国的制裁规避行为将推高比特币价值

这家投资管理公司的分析师Matthew Sigel、Patrick Bush和Nathan Frankovitz在周一的报告中提出这一观点。"俄罗斯和委内瑞拉等国已承认比特币在国际贸易中日益重要的作用,"他们写道,"我们认为,由于西方国家过度使用制裁、各国对冲美元风险的需求以及缺乏可信的替代货币,许多国家会将部分国际贸易转向比特币。"

该观点发布之际,自1月以来美国总统特朗普对约90个国家加征关税已导致全球加密货币市场缩水约20%(8000亿美元)。VanEck指出,同期迷因币交易量暴跌93%。股票等其他风险资产也未能幸免——标普500指数自特朗普上任以来下跌约6.6%。

路透社3月报道显示,俄罗斯正使用加密货币与中国和印度进行石油贸易。目前俄罗斯面临美欧全面制裁,虽然主要针对能源领域,但也涵盖加密货币交易所。另据路透社消息,委内瑞拉国有石油公司去年曾计划增加加密货币使用以规避美国制裁。

脱钩趋势

4月比特币曾短暂脱离其他风险资产走势。虽然这种脱钩转瞬即逝,但VanEck认为这预示着比特币向避险资产演进的前景。全球最大资管公司黑岩集团(管理规模11.5万亿美元)持相似观点。

"我们主要将其视为新兴的全球货币替代方案,"黑岩数字资产主管Robbie Mitchnick去年秋季表示,"它是稀缺的、全球性的、去中心化的、非主权资产。这种资产既无特定国家风险,也不存在传统交易对手风险。"

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533 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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