比特币 “3 的力量” 形态指向特朗普就职日价格达 10.3 万美元

Cointelegraph中文Published on 2025-01-16Last updated on 2025-01-17

Abstract

如果 CPI 利好,我预计比特币价格将达到 101-102,000 美元的区间


比特币图表上出现了一个“3的力量”形态,暗示在当选总统特朗普就职之前,价格将突破10万美元。

比特币 “3 的力量” 形态指向特朗普就职日价格达 10.3 万美元


市场分析

比特币(BTC)价格从1月13日的低点88,900美元上涨了11.50%,在日线图上形成了看涨吞噬形态。该加密资产还突破了95,350美元至96,150美元之间的同等高点(EQs),并成功站稳该区间之上,之前这一区间曾作为阻力位。

Federal Reserve, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis

Bitcoin 四小时图。来源: Cointelegraph/TradingView

在近期出现波段低点后,1月15日利好的消费者价格指数(CPI)数据将比特币价格推至再次试探 10 万美元关口的边缘。然而,一种特定的形态暗示,比特币有可能在特朗普1月20日就任美国总统之前,重新突破并站稳103,000美元以上的高点。


比特币“3的力量”形态暗示将出现突破


1 月 9 日至 13 日期间经历了一段横盘整理后,1 月 13 日比特币在 89000 美元附近出现趋势偏离及流动性清理。不过,比特币跌破 90000 美元的短暂下跌只是短期波动,随后该加密资产价格走高。

Federal Reserve, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis

Bitcoin 四小时图.。来源: Cointelegraph/TradingView这种由三个部分构成的形态通常被称为 “3 的力量” 或 “AMD”。它分为积累、操纵和派发三个阶段。这一概念围绕流动性区间展开,更深入地揭示了机构如何在特定价位与散户进行反向交易。


积累阶段指的是盘整期(1 月 10 日至 13 日之间),在此期间,精明资金或经验丰富的交易员建立头寸,价格呈横盘走势。


操纵阶段意味着一个短暂的时段(例如,1 月 13 日最近的那次流动性清理),此时做市商试图影响价格,诱使散户恐慌抛售,或者套住因新的区间低点而新开仓的空头交易员。


最后,派发阶段是指价格开始朝着与操纵区间相反的方向移动,因为另一端出现了流动性区间。


比特币明显呈现出看涨的 “3 的力量” 形态,其价格在派发阶段出现突破。目前已确立 102,750 美元的波段高点,此处存在外部流动性,在当选总统特朗普就职前,比特币本周有可能再上涨 6.5%。


比特币极端主义者 AlphaBTC 强调了一个类似的价格区间,并指出了下一个流动性“热点区域”。该分析师表示


“10.3 万美元以上是最接近的目标,且会在中期时间框架内形成一个更高的高点(HH)。”


然而,这位比特币交易员补充道,如果未能突破103,000美元,价格可能会回落至80,000美元,因为该区域存在更多的下行流动性。


预期的CPI数据公布推动比特币价格走高


1 月 14 日美国生产者价格指数 (PPI) 低于预期后,由于数据表明通胀可能反弹,股票和加密货币等风险资产出现缓解性反弹。


核心CPI数据为3.5%,低于预期的3.8%。同样,1月15日CPI数据升至2.9%,符合预期。因此,市场普遍预计比特币将保持上涨趋势,并在未来几天内突破 10 万美元。


然而,加密货币评论员 Momin Saqib 认为,无论美国的宏观经济数据如何,比特币将在几周内创下历史新高。Saqib 表示


“如果 CPI 利好,我预计比特币价格将达到 101-102,000 美元的区间”

本文仅供一般信息参考,并不构成法律或投资建议。文中表达的观点、想法和意见仅代表作者个人观点,并不一定反映或代表 Cointelegraph 的观点和立场。

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727 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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