简析 AI Agent 各类“标的”投资逻辑

链捕手Published on 2025-01-09Last updated on 2025-01-09

作者:Haotian

 

简单分享下 AI Agent 各类别「标的」投资思考逻辑:

1)单体 AI:用户感知强,应用场景垂直,产品验证周期短,但天花板有限,投资必须要建立在体验应用的前提之上,比如出现一些新策略分析单体 AI,听别人吹嘘再多,也敌不过实操一次;比如: $AIXBT $LUNA ; 

2)框架和标准:技术门槛较高,愿景和目标宏大,市场(开发者)采用程度很关键,而且天花板非常高,投资要基于对于项目技术品相、创始人背景、叙事逻辑、应用落地等实际综合考察;比如: $arc 、 $REI 、 $swarms 、 $GAME ;

3)Launchpad 平台:Tokenomics 完善,生态协同效应强,会催生正向飞轮效应,但一旦长时间没有爆款会严重损害市场预期,建议考虑在市场热度高,创新频繁更替时,上涨通道跟,集体下跌时应选择观望。比如:#Virtual、 $MetaV ;

4) DeFi 交易类 AI Agent:Agent 落地到 Crypto 的 Endgame 形态,想象空间极大,但意图甄别匹配、Solver 执行、交易结果准确性等都存在不确定性,因此务必先体验再判断是否跟进;比如: $BUZZ 、 $POLY 、  $GRIFT 、 $NEUR ;

5)创意特色类 AI Agent:创意本身的可持续性决定一切,用户粘性高,有 IP 价值属性,但前期的势能往往会影响后期的市场预期高度,比较考验团队持续的更新迭代能力;比如:  $SPORE 、 $ZAILGO ;

6)叙事导向型 AI Agent:需要关注项目团队背景是否正派,能否持续推出迭代性更新,白皮书的计划能否能逐渐落地等,最关键是能否在一轮叙事中持续站稳龙头地位;比如: #ai16z $Focai ;

7)商业组织推进型 AI Agent:比较考验 to B 端项目资源面的覆盖,产品和策略的推进程度,以及持续刷新的新 Milestone 想象空间,当然实际的平台数据指标等也很关键;比如:#ZEREBRO 、 #GRIFFAIN 、 $SNAI 、 $fxn

8)AI 元宇宙系列 AI Agent 平台:AI Agent 推进 3D 建模和元宇宙应用场景确实有优势,但商业愿景天花板过高,硬件依赖较大,产品周期长,需关注项目持续的迭代和落地情况,尤其是「实用性」价值的显现;比如: $HYPER 、 $AVA

9)AI Platform 平台系列:无论做数据、算法、算力以及推理微调、DePIN 等都「消费级」市场,都需要引入一个庞大的需求端市场,毫无疑问 AI Agent 就是一个待潜力爆发潜力市场,因此如何接轨 AI Agent 很关键;比如: @hyperbolic_labs 、@weRoamxyz、@din_lol_ 、@nillionnetwork;

注:以上仅为 AI Agent 不完整类别总结,其中例举 Ticker 仅供研究学习参考,不作为投资建议,DYOR!

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