加密 ETF 周报 | 上周美国比特币现货ETF 净流入 27.3 亿美元,SEC 拒绝两家 SOL 现货 ETF 申请

链捕手Published on 2024-12-09Last updated on 2024-12-09

整理:Fairy,ChainCatcher

 

上周加密现货 ETF 表现

美国比特币现货ETF 净流入 27.3 亿美元

上周,美国比特币现货 ETF 净流入 27.3 亿美元,总资产净值达 1127.4 亿美元。彭博社高级分析师 Eric Balchunas 披露,美国现货 ETF 的比特币总持有量已超过中本聪的比特币持仓量,目前持有量超过 110 万枚,成为全球最大持仓,但这些基金成立还不到一年。

贝莱德 IBIT 为流入的主力军,上周净流入 26.3 亿美元,其次为富达 FBTC,净流入 2.62 亿美元。富达 FBTC 的比特币持仓量已突破 20 万枚 BTC。此外,有三只 ETF 未有资金流动,灰度 GBTC 则净流出 3.03 亿美元。

来源:Farside Investors

美国以太坊现货 ETF 净流入 8.36 亿美元

上周,美国以太坊现货 ETF 净流入 8.36 亿美元,创迄今最高单周纪录,总资产净值增至 133.6 亿美元。贝莱德 ETHA 和 富达 FETH 分别流入 5.73 亿美元和 2.96 亿美元。以太坊现货 ETF 总流入额已突破 14 亿美元。

12 月 4 日以太坊现货 ETF 交易额达 10.7 亿美元,创下历史第二高纪录。12 月 5 日以太坊现货 ETF净流入 4.28 亿美元,创历史最高单日流入。

来源:Farside Investors

香港比特币现货 ETF 净流出 50.89 枚比特币

上周,香港比特币现货 ETF 净流出 50.89 枚比特币,资产净值达 4.739 亿美元。12 月 5 日比特币现货 ETF单日总成交额达 5682 万美元,创历史新高。

香港以太坊现货 ETF 净流入 619.38 枚以太坊,以太坊持有总量达 1.58 万枚,资产净值达 6170 万美元。

数据:SoSoValue

加密现货 ETF 期权表现

截止 12 月 6 日,美国比特币现货 ETF 期权名义总成交额达到  12.1 亿美元,名义总成交多空比为 2.04。这表明在期权市场中,买方的交易活动略高于卖方,反映出投资者对比特币现货ETF的看涨情绪较为浓厚。截止 12 月 5日美国比特币现货 ETF 期权名义总持仓额达 74.6 亿美元,名义总持仓多空比达 2.07。

此外,隐含波动率为 64.14%,表明市场对于比特币现货ETF未来价格波动的预期仍然较高。

数据:SoSoValue

上周加密 ETF 的动态一览

SEC 拒绝两家 SOL 现货 ETF 申请

据 FOX Business 记者 Eleanor Terrett 称,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)已通知至少两家 SOL 现货 ETF 的申请机构,其提交的 19b4 文件将被拒绝。消息人士透露,在现任政府执政期间,SEC 可能不会批准任何新的加密货币 ETF申请。

当前拟议的 Solana ETF 均排除质押奖励,发行人遵循以太坊 ETF 先例

灰度投资与纽约证券交易所(NYSE)近日向 SEC 提交了 Solana ETF 的 19b-4 文件。截至目前,主要加密 ETF 发行商中,仅贝莱德、富达、ProShares 和 Ark 尚未申请 Solana ETF。值得关注的是,所有现有 Solana ETF 提案均排除质押奖励。

这是受 SEC 指导的影响。发行人遵循以太坊 ETF 的先例,排除质押奖励以避免质押可能被视为证券,以及质押资产面临的罚没风险。尽管如此,发行人认为,这些产品为投资者提供合规的 Solana 敞口,仍具吸引力。

灰度寻求将其 Solana 信托基金转换为现货 ETF 并在纽交所上市

灰度正寻求将其管理的 1.34 亿美元 Solana 信托基金(GSOL)转换为现货 ETF,并在纽约证券交易所 Arca 上市。周二,交易所已提交相关的 19b-4 文件,标志着灰度成为第五家申请 Solana ETF 的资产管理公司。

资管公司 REX Financial 推出加密股票收益 ETF

资产管理公司 REX Financial 近期推出 REX Crypto Equity Premium Income ETF,通过“备兑看涨期权”策略获取加密行业股票的期权溢价收入。该基金投资 BITA 加密货币资产和数字支付指数中的 25 支股票,包括加密挖矿、交易、区块链技术开发等领域。

WisdomTree 向美 SEC 提交 XRP ETF S-1 申请文件

WisdomTree 向 SEC 提交 S-1 文件,申请 WisdomTree XRP Fund。这只 ETF 的投资目标是获得 XRP 的价格敞口,并将在 Cboe BZX 交易所上市,股票代码“TICKER”。纽约梅隆银行将担任基金管理人及过户代理。

灰度等四家资管公司已向美国监管机构申请“规避风险”的比特币 ETF

四家资产管理公司已向美国监管机构提交申请,希望创建投资比特币 ETF,但使用衍生品来尽量减少或完全防范潜在损失。

  • Calamos Investments 已申请了四只管理式场内 ETF。
  • First Trust Portfolios 已申请成立一只 15% 底线 ETF,以及一只缓冲 ETF,旨在防范前 30% 的损失。
  • Innovator ETFs 正在争取推出一款为期三个月、收益率为 10% 的缓冲产品。该公司还申请推出一款为期三个月、收益率为 20% 的管理式场内 ETF,并设定了“参与率” 。
  • Grayscale Investments 还计划推出备兑看涨比特币 ETF,该 ETF 将出售现货比特币 ETF 的看涨期权。这将降低比特币上涨时的潜在价格涨幅,但却能提供定期的溢价收入。

关于加密 ETF 的观点和分析

彭博社分析师:预计 Solana ETF 发行人将在新任 SEC 主席上任后重新提交申请

彭博高级 ETF 分析师 Eric Balchunas 发文表示,由 Gary Gensler 领导的 SEC 拒绝了 Solana ETF 的申请,预计发行人会在新任 SEC 主席 Paul Atkins 上任后重新提交申请。

摩根大通:MicroStrategy 杠杆 ETF 对加密市场的影响正在不断增大

摩根大通在一份研究报告中表示,杠杆式 MicroStrategy (MSTR) ETF 规模的扩大及其吸引的资金流量对该公司股票和加密市场的影响比以前更为明显。该银行表示,这些 ETF 在该股 11 月份近 60%的涨幅中发挥了重要作用。报告称,11 月份流入美国现货比特币(BTC)、现货以太币(ETH)和杠杆式 MicroStrategy ETF 的资金总额达到近 110 亿美元,创下历史新高,其中杠杆式 MSTR ETF 占总额的 34 亿美元,几乎占三分之一。

以 Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou 为首的分析师写道:“这凸显了 MicroStrategy 的杠杆 ETF 通过促进 MicroStrategy 的比特币购买计划在加密货币市场中日益增长的影响力。”

分析师:近期 ETF 投资者正转向纯多头策略,而非执行套利模式

分析师 James Van Straten 表示,自 11 月 20 日以来,CME 的未平仓合约已减少近 3 万枚至 185,485 枚。而同期,美国现货上市 ETF 的净流入资金超过 30 亿美元。这一反常现象表明投资者正转向纯多头策略,而非此前普遍采用的现货-期货套利模式。

James Van Straten 解释称,自今年 1 月 ETF 上市以来,机构投资者主要采用现货-期货套利策略,即同时持有 ETF 多头和期货空头以赚取期差收益。目前 CME 三个月期货年化基差仍维持在 16% 的可观水平,远高于美国 10 年期国债和以太坊质押收益率,但投资者似乎更倾向于通过 ETF 直接押注比特币上涨行情。

伯恩斯坦:以太坊现货 ETF 净流入或将推动 ETH 表现优于其他加密货币

伯恩斯坦在周一的研究报告中表示,以太坊(ETH)今年以来的表现逊色于比特币(BTC),但以太坊 ETF 的资金流入出现反转,或表明这种表现不佳的时期可能已经结束。

周五贝莱德的现货以太坊 ETF 资金流入达 2.5 亿美元,而其现货比特币 ETF 仅流入 1.37 亿美元。这为 ETH 创造了有利的供需动态。

伯恩斯坦指出,质押收益可能是以太坊的另一个推动力。最初的以太坊现货 ETF 没有包括质押收益,这是由于监管限制。

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DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. 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