解析 daos.fun:ai16z 的爆火能否再造 pump.fun 神话?

链捕手Published on 2024-10-28Last updated on 2024-10-28

作者:Azuma,Odaily星球日报

 

解析daos.fun:ai16z的爆火能否再造pump.fun神话?

ai16z 的崛起已带动了 meme 基金启动平台 daos.fun 的热度攀升。

协议原理

daos.fun 的定位是一个基于 Solana 的 meme “基金”启动平台,且基于该平台启动的“基金”将以 DAO 的形式运作,并发行相应的 DAO 代币(比如 ai16z 就是该“基金”的 DAO 代币)。

daos.fun 的运作方式仿效了常规基金的启动方式,可分为三个阶段:募资、运行、赎回。

募资阶段

首先是募资阶段,在该阶段“基金”的发起人(daos.fun 将其称为“创作者”,当前只有经过审查的“创作者”才可以发起“基金”)可设定一个目标的募资金额(以 SOL 为单位),并有一周时间来向市场公开募资。你可以将此阶段理解为“基金” DAO 代币的募资阶段。

募资启动后,如果失败 SOL 将可被赎回(提前赎回会有 10% 折损),成功的话则将进入下一阶段,即运行阶段。

解析daos.fun:ai16z的爆火能否再造pump.fun神话?

示例:上图中 Niggafolio 基金正处于募资阶段,希望筹资 30 SOL,暂时仅获得 2.12 SOL,进度约 7% 。

运行阶段

接下来就是“基金”的运行阶段,在此阶段“基金”的发起人(即“创作者”)可使用募来的 SOL 在 Solana 上自由投资各种 meme 代币。在此阶段,DAO 代币的市值将根据该“基金”的实时持仓变化而波动(Odaily 注:并非完全绑定,事实上绝大多数 DAO 代币的市值目前都处于溢价状态,此时相应的 DAO 代币也可在市场上公开交易。

解析daos.fun:ai16z的爆火能否再造pump.fun神话?

示例:ai16z 基金的持仓总额约为 80 万美元,但该 DAO 代币的市值因市场热潮而暂报 4700 万美元,溢价明显。

需要注意的是,daos.fun 对所有 DAO 代币的价格曲线的下行空间进行了限制,这意味着只有当 DAO 代币的实时市值大于该“基金”的初始募资金额时,DAO 代币的持有者才可随时出售变现,否则就需要等待第三阶段(赎回)。

解析daos.fun:ai16z的爆火能否再造pump.fun神话?

赎回阶段

“基金”运行到期后,DAO 钱包将被冻结,并将 SOL 的利润分配回代币持有者。此时,投资者可以通过销毁 DAO 代币来兑换该“基金”的底层资产 —— 如果市值一直高于初始募资金额,可以随时通过卖出套现。

解析daos.fun:ai16z的爆火能否再造pump.fun神话?

示例:募资时需设定时限,比如 ai 16 z 为 1 年,截至 2025 年 10 月 25 日。

效用解析

简而言之,daos.fun 就是在以一种纯链上的模式来仿效基金的运作机制,让苦于 PVP 的散户可以将资金委托给更专业的交易员(当然也可能更烂),其盈亏则完全由 DAO 代币的涨跌形式呈现。

该平台启动于今年 9 月,但此前热度并不突出,直到 ai16z 的意外爆火才更多的被市场所关注。相较于更为成熟的 pump.fun,该平台目前的体验状况相对较大,开发略显粗糙,许多用户都曾反应过界面卡顿的问题。

Alliance 联合创始人 Imran Khan 对 daos.fun 给出了相当高的评价:“该平台为那些苦于 PVP 的散户提供了更多工具,以对抗狙击者、夹子以及经验丰富的投资者。具体而言,daos.fun 可以将规模较小的散户们聚集在一起,让他们支持那些拥有经验优势的高阶玩家;与此同时高阶玩家也可以获取更多资本,以与竞争对手的 PVP。现在每天都有 5000 到 10000 个代币出现,daos.fun 将成为流动性的黑洞,且只会变得越来越大。”

解析daos.fun:ai16z的爆火能否再造pump.fun神话?

中文区 KOL Timo(原推文很详实,建议直接阅读)亦于个人 X 提到了“daos.fun 可以部分解决散户在这个赌场内 p 不过聪明钱的困境”,但同时也强调了两层风险:一是“所谓的 meme 基金经理是否能帮助散户赢钱,仍存在不确定性”,二是“当持仓透明化后,基金经理原本奏效的策略可能会失效”。

解析daos.fun:ai16z的爆火能否再造pump.fun神话?

除了 ai16z,还有哪些代币?

由于 daos.fun 对“基金”的发起人设置了审查机制,故当前该平台上的代币总量并不多。

除去仍处于募资状态的几支“基金”外,当前共有 22 个基金 DAO 代币已可在公开市场进行交易,除去大家相对熟悉的 ai16z 之外,还有模仿知名基金红杉(Sequoia)的 Sequoai,以及其他多个名字本身就有一定 meme 色彩的“基金”。

解析daos.fun:ai16z的爆火能否再造pump.fun神话?

不过,除了已经跑出来的 ai16z 之外,当前 daos.fun 之上的其他“基金” DAO 代币的市值普遍偏低,市值排名第二的 kotopia 仅有 80 万美元出头,这还是因为该“基金”本就募集了 4206 枚 SOL(当前平台最高额),且大部分 SOL 仍未打出去(仍持有 4008 SOL)。

解析daos.fun:ai16z的爆火能否再造pump.fun神话?

此外需要注意的是,在市值已经较低的基础上,目前绝大部分的“基金” DAO 代币仍存在明显溢价,前文曾提到了 ai16z 的持仓情况,下图则可以看到,当前 DAO 代币市值为 37.8 万美元的 Sequoai 持仓总价值近为 11509 美元。

解析daos.fun:ai16z的爆火能否再造pump.fun神话?

笔者昨晚也试探着极小仓位买入了一些 DAO 代币观察,今早起床已普遍腰斩……对于有意参与 daos.fun 的用户而言,除了需注意相应“基金”的发起人质量之外,请务必注意溢价风险。

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