Биткоин может упасть на 20%, предупредили аналитики

investing.ruPublished on 2024-09-03Last updated on 2024-09-03

Happycoin.club - По мнению аналитиков Bitfinex, будущее ведущей криптовалюты в значительной степени зависит от решения по процентной ставке, которое ФРС США примет в этом месяце.

В своём отчёте эксперты объяснили недавний рост биткоина на 32% спекуляциями о «голубиной» позиции ведомства. Однако они отметили, что ожидаемое сейчас снижение ставки может «сильно повлиять как на краткосрочную волатильность BTC, так и на его долгосрочные перспективы».

Снижение на 25 базисных пунктов, вероятно, будет сигнализировать о начале цикла смягчения, который может привести к долгосрочному повышению цены биткоина по мере роста ликвидности и ослабления опасений рецессии, — написали аналитики Bitfinex.

Они также предупредили, что более агрессивное снижение на 50 б.п. может вызвать немедленный скачок цены, за которым последует «коррекция по мере усиления опасений из-за рецессии».

Аналитики ожидают, что после снижения ставки биткоин может столкнуться с падением на 15-20% до $40 000-$50 000. Их прогноз основан в том числе и на том, что сентябрь — исторически неспокойный месяц для флагманского актива. Аналитики отметили, что волатильность биткоина в сочетании с риском массовых продаж на фоне снижения ставки может создать «как риски, так и возможности для трейдеров».

Заседание ФРС США состоится 17 и 18 сентября, и большинство аналитиков ожидают снижения процентной ставки. Однако неясно, насколько значительным будет изменение.

Читайте оригинальную статью на сайте Happycoin.club

Related Reads

The Ethereum Foundation is Dead, The Era of Ethereum's Pluralistic Organizations Has Dawned

The Ethereum Foundation (EF) has announced the dissolution of its Protocol Support Team, marking a significant organizational shift. This move, described as the largest layoff in EF's history with a 20% staff reduction, follows a major internal restructuring announced in late June. The restructuring, which EF framed as necessary to streamline for future challenges, has drawn criticism for its perceived cold execution. Concurrently, several new independent non-profit organizations have emerged, founded by former EF members. These include Ethlabs, a research and development lab, and Ethereum Institutional, which focuses on promoting institutional adoption of Ethereum. Their rise is seen as both filling roles vacated by EF's downsizing and signaling a fragmentation of the Ethereum ecosystem's leadership. Amidst these changes, EF is also integrating advanced AI tools into its security operations. The security team has begun using AI agents to conduct red-team testing, which has already uncovered vulnerabilities in Ethereum's code. While EF states that AI complements rather than replaces human researchers, this technological shift hints at potential future reductions in human-centric roles within the organization. The article posits that these developments—massive layoffs, the exodus of key personnel like former Executive Director Xiaowei Wang, the rise of rival organizations, and AI integration—collectively point to a decline in EF's central authority. Once the undisputed leader of the Ethereum ecosystem, EF now faces questions about its future role, with speculation that it may evolve into more of a symbolic "ecosystem mascot" rather than a driving force for growth and adoption. This organizational turmoil unfolds against a backdrop of ongoing market pressure and community debate over Ethereum's value proposition.

marsbit5m ago

The Ethereum Foundation is Dead, The Era of Ethereum's Pluralistic Organizations Has Dawned

marsbit5m ago

The Ethereum Foundation Has Perished, Long Live a Plurality of Ethereum Organizations

The Ethereum Foundation (EF) has entered a period of significant upheaval, marked by major organizational restructuring and a shift towards a more decentralized leadership model. The EF's Protocol Support Team has officially disbanded, part of what is described as its largest-ever round of layoffs, cutting 20% of its staff. This follows the high-profile resignation of Executive Director Aya Wang and the departure of at least eight senior figures this year. This internal transformation coincides with the rise of new, independent non-profit organizations like Ethlabs and Ethereum Institutional, founded by former EF researchers. These entities aim to take on roles in research, development, and institutional adoption that were previously associated with the EF, signaling a fragmentation of the ecosystem's central guiding body. Simultaneously, the EF's security team is evolving its approach by deploying specialized AI agents to perform red-team testing on the Ethereum network, a process that has already identified real vulnerabilities. While the EF states AI complements rather than replaces human researchers, this technological shift presents further questions about the foundation's future structure and staffing. Criticism of the EF's centralized decision-making and market influence has been growing within the community. Faced with these internal reforms, external competition, and technological changes, the article suggests the Ethereum Foundation may be transitioning from a central leadership role to a more symbolic, "mascot-like" position within a increasingly diversified and complex ecosystem.

Odaily星球日报9m ago

The Ethereum Foundation Has Perished, Long Live a Plurality of Ethereum Organizations

Odaily星球日报9m ago

IP Token Plunges 98%, Is DATA Rebranding the Last-Ditch Effort? Analyzing Story Protocol's Transformation

IP Token Plummets 98%, Is DATA Rebranding a Last Gamble? Analyzing Story Protocol's Pivot **Summary** Story Protocol, having seen its IP token fall approximately 98% from its all-time high, announced a major pivot on June 25, rebranding as the DATA Foundation. The project will shift its focus from IP to AI training data infrastructure, with a corresponding token change from IP to DATA. While the announcement triggered a brief price bounce, the token soon fell back near its lows. This analysis argues that such a fundamental rebrand is not typically a bullish signal, but rather an admission that the original strategy failed. Historically, rebrands fail when not backed by genuine improvements in product, user adoption, or liquidity, as seen in cases like MultiversX (Elrond) and Golem. Merely chasing a new narrative without execution is insufficient. Conversely, successful pivots are defined by on-chain evidence of growth. The transformation of ETHLend into Aave is the prime example, where a surge in Total Value Locked (TVL) and users preceded and drove long-term value. Projects like Polygon and Kaia, despite price declines, show underlying operational strength. Story’s pivot, announced just two weeks after its token hit a record low, risks being perceived as a last-ditch marketing effort. Leadership changes—with founder Seung Yoon Lee moving to an advisory role—further close the chapter on the original vision. For the DATA rebrand to succeed, it must demonstrably improve the token's relative strength against the market, boost on-chain liquidity/volume, and generate real user growth and settlement revenue from its new AI data narrative. Without such tangible results, Story will likely join the list of failed rebrands.

Foresight News53m ago

IP Token Plunges 98%, Is DATA Rebranding the Last-Ditch Effort? Analyzing Story Protocol's Transformation

Foresight News53m ago

Trading

Spot
活动图片