Frontier Lab加密市场周报|W29

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-07-20Last updated on 2024-07-20

Abstract

Crypto市场本周处于反弹趋势,板块轮动效应明显。

BTC 及 ETH 本周概况

市场表现

Frontier Lab加密市场周报|W29

Crypto 市场本周处于反弹趋势,板块轮动效应明显。

重点事件

Mtgox 赔付事件

  • 概况:Mtgox 破产赔付已经开始,现已赔付了 5 万余枚 BTC,其地址上还剩余 90344 枚。

  • 分析:随着赔付计划的开始,BTC 价格并未出现大幅波动,在过去一周保持上涨状态,所以投资者对 Mtgox 的利空预期已经“Price in”,Mtgox 赔付事件对市场的影响也在逐渐变小。

特朗普遇刺事件

  • 概况: 2024 年 7 月 14 日,特朗普发表演讲的时候遇到枪手袭击。

  • 分析:特朗普对加密货币行业的态度友好,而且其竞选纲领中的货币政策一栏明确写明要降低美元汇率,促进美元贬值,从而促进出口。因此,市场认为他上台后会开启美联储大放水,增加市场流动性,从而业内投资者非常支持他的竞选成功。在遇刺之后,导致其竞选成功的概率大大增加,从而带动了市场的上涨。

ETH 现货 ETF 的审批预计下周通过

  • 概况:市场将 ETH 现货 ETF 审批通过预期的时间调整到了 7 月 23 日。

  • 分析:本周 ETH/BTC 的汇率对有所上涨,市场的投资者们在押注下周 ETH 现货 ETF 审批会通过。通过之后很有可能灰度会继续上演 BTC 现货 ETF 通过之后持续流出的现象,对 ETH 价格有所影响,这也是下周关注的重点。

美联储预计 9 月份降息

  • 概况:市场已经完全定价美联储将于 9 月份开启第一次降息。

  • 分析:本周美联储主席鲍威尔、理事沃勒、票委威廉姆斯、古尔斯比等接连发表了暗示美联储即将降息的言论,从而市场交易者已经将美联储 9 月降息的概率上升到了 100% ,并且预测今年美联储将至少降息 2 次,风险资产受到提振。

美股开启轮动

  • 概况:科技股七巨头已经出现不同程度的回调,但是三大指数整体上涨,小盘股开始接过市场上涨的接力棒。

  • 分析:美股上涨已经出现了板块轮动,不再由高科技蓝筹股主导大盘上涨,所以美股本次的牛市大概率开始进入了下半场

Altcoin 本周概况

整体表现

Frontier Lab加密市场周报|W29

市场情绪在本周继续处于乐观阶段,相较于上周的 20% 有了大幅的上升,利空因素逐渐的消失,并且伴随着美联储即将降息以及美国大选的各种因素,投资者们逐步恢复了对市场的信心。

虽然 Altcoin 情绪指数有了显著回升,但 Altcoin 价格仍距德国政府抛售前的水平有一定幅度,Altcoin 情绪触及 90% 时容易引发价格回调,所以我们在未来的几周内应该保持谨慎,不宜盲目追高。

涨幅榜概况

过去一周市场代币涨幅前 5 名(未计入交易量过小的代币和 meme 币),数据来源:coinmarketcap

Frontier Lab加密市场周报|W29

涨幅榜并未表现出"板块集中"的特征,上涨代币分散于各个板块,并且涨幅均高于上周,可以看出本周 Altcoin 出现了很高的看涨情绪。

Meme 代币涨幅榜

Frontier Lab加密市场周报|W29

数据来源:coinmarketcap.com

本周大盘出现上升趋势,Meme 赛道重新受到了市场的关注,表现突出,本周涨幅对比上周呈现出大幅上升的特征。

社交媒体热点

根据 LunarCrush 每日增长前五和 Scopechat 中 AI 得分前五的数据得出本周(7.13-7.19)统计数据:

出现次数最多的题材是L1s,上榜代币情况如下(未计入交易量过小的代币和 meme 币):

Frontier Lab加密市场周报|W29

数据来源 lunarcrush 和 Scopechat

题材跟踪

Frontier Lab加密市场周报|W29

数据来源:SoSo Value

从上表中可以看出,按周回报率划分,表现最好的赛道是 Payment,表现最差的是 SocialFi。

Payment 赛道中 XRP 占比最大,达到了 63.53% ,本周 XRP 因与 SEC 的闭门会议,市场猜测其可能与 SEC 和解,导致 XRP 上涨了 26.61% ,从而带动了整个 Payment 赛道上涨。在赛道内占比较大的 BCH、LTC 和 XLM 本周都因为大盘的回暖出现了不错的上涨趋势,从而使得整个 Payment 赛道在所有赛道中的表现最为突出。

SocialFi 赛道中 TON 的占比为 93.41% ,但 TON 本周下跌了 2.01% ,从而导致了 SocialFi 赛道在所有赛道中唯一的处于下跌的赛道。

下周 Crypto 大事件预告

  • 周三(7 月 24 日)加拿大央行利率决议

  • 周四(7 月 25 日)Bitcoin 2024 将于美国纳什维尔举行,期间会邀请特朗普、小罗伯特 肯尼迪、迈克尔 塞勒、斯诺登参加

  • 周五(7 月 26 日)美国 6 月核心 PCE 物价指数;美国 7 月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值;EDCON 2024 ;Solana Hacker House 在班加罗尔举办

下周展望

  • 比特币:Mtgox 事件已经开始赔付,现在地址上还剩下 90344 枚,转出了 5 万余枚,并且德国政府的抛售已经完成,剩下仍需关注的是 Mtgox 赔付之后是否出现砸盘现象,以及美股的走势,下周大概率 BTC 会维持震荡的趋势。

  • 以太坊:以太坊的现货 ETF 又被拖延到了 7 月 23 日,但是大概率会在 7 月 23 日通过,主要关注下周通过之后灰度手中的 ETH 是否会像 BTC 现货 ETF 通过之后出现大量抛售。

  • Altcoin:由于市场上的重大利空因素在不断地减少,投资者即将进入到贪婪水平,尽管本周 Altcoin 已有显著反弹,但仍距下跌前的价格有一定差距,宽幅震荡反弹依然是市场主旋律。

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What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

489 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

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