比特币 (BTC) 价格强劲反弹:评估可能上涨至 35,000 美元

Tap Chi BitcoinPublished on 2023-05-30Last updated on 2023-05-30

Abstract

收盘价高于 29,000 美元将意味着短期修正已经完成。在这种情况下,价格会立即上涨至 35,000 美元。

比特币 (BTC) 价格在 5 月 25 日大幅上涨,避免了崩盘。价格目前正在突破修正模式。

尽管有突破尝试,但价格更有可能在恢复上升趋势之前回落以完成修正。

每日时间框架的技术分析显示,自 4 月 14 日以来, BTC价格一直在下降的平行通道内交易。

下行平行通道被认为是看涨形态。因此,从中突破是最有可能的情况。

5 月 12 日和 25 日, BTC价格似乎跌破了 26,800 美元的支撑区域和通道中线。但是,它确实在两种情况下都弹出(绿色图标)。

之后,价格果断收复该区域,目前正试图突破通道阻力线。

RSI 给出了一个好坏参半的读数。通过使用 RSI 作为动量指标,交易者可以XEM处于超买或超卖状态,从而决定是增持还是卖出资产。

如果 RSI 高于 50 并呈上升趋势,多头将占据优势。如果读数低于 50,则情况相反。该指标现已收复 50 水平并呈上升趋势,有可能突破通道上方。

BTC/USDT日线图|资料来源: TradingView

艾略特波浪理论和斐波纳契水平表明价格最终将突破通道上方。但是,在突破之前可能会出现另一次下跌。

主要浪的数量表明价格完成了从 2022 年 11 月开始的 5 浪上行运动(白色)。然后,自2023年4月16日以来的下跌是WXY修正结构的一部分。

通过研究长期价格模式和投资者情绪,技术分析师使用艾略特波浪理论来确定趋势的方向。

如果浪数正确,价格将很快完成X浪。之后,它将启动最后的下跌以完成Y浪。

最有可能结束修正的水平是 0.382-0.5 斐波拉契回撤支撑位(白色),即 23,300-25,100 美元。

BTC/USDT日线图|资料来源: TradingView

尽管存在这种短期看跌预测,但收盘价高于 29,000 美元将意味着短期修正已经完成。在这种情况下,价格会立即上涨至 35,000 美元。

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