Full Recap: US-Israel Joint Airstrike on Iran, Retaliatory Actions Impact the Entire Middle East, Prediction Markets Surge Again
On February 28, 2026, the US and Israel launched a large-scale joint military strike, named "Operation Roaring Lion" and "Operation Epic Fury," targeting Iran's nuclear facilities, missile systems, and leadership, with the stated aim of overthrowing the regime. The attack hit multiple locations, including Tehran and Isfahan, reportedly killing at least 200 people. Iranian state media confirmed Supreme Leader Khamenei was killed, though Israeli and Iranian sources gave conflicting reports.
Iran retaliated immediately with missile and drone strikes against Israel and US bases in seven Arab nations, including Bahrain and the UAE. It also announced a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Dubai's Palm Jumeirah was hit by missile debris, causing a fire at the Fairmont Hotel, and the Burj Khalifa was evacuated. Multiple Middle Eastern countries closed their airspace.
The conflict follows months of escalating tensions, including massive anti-government demonstrations in Iran since late 2025 and a breakdown in nuclear negotiations. Prediction markets on Polymarket reacted sharply, with the probability of Khamenei leaving power by March 31 surging to 95%.
Odaily星球日报03/01 14:31
