Post-Mortem of the Venus THE Attack: How to Profit in a Fleeting Window?

marsbitDipublikasikan tanggal 2026-03-16Terakhir diperbarui pada 2026-03-16

Abstrak

Approximately two hours ago, Venus Protocol's THE token was exploited using a classic Mango Markets-style price manipulation attack. The attacker targeted THE, a low-liquidity collateral asset, by depositing it, borrowing other assets, and using those to buy more THE, artificially inflating its price. Once the time-weighted average oracle updated, the inflated price allowed further leveraged borrowing. To bypass THE's borrowing cap, the attacker performed a "donation attack" by transferring THE directly to the vTHE contract, increasing the recognized collateral value. After the first manipulation phase, THE's price stabilized around $0.50. The attacker attempted to further amplify gains by continuing to buy THE, but mounting sell pressure limited price increases and pushed their health factor near 1.0, risking liquidation. The collateral, nominally valued around $30M, had extremely low liquidity, making large-scale liquidation at inflated prices impossible. Recognizing the situation, the writer opened a short position on THE with high leverage, anticipating a price collapse due to overvaluation, illiquidity, and forced selling. After liquidation, THE price plummeted to ~$0.24, below its pre-attack level, resulting in a ~$15K profit for the writer. Venus Protocol was left with ~$2M in bad debt. The attacker likely gained little or lost funds, though may have profited from off-chain positions. The event highlights that nominal collateral value in DeFi does not equal realizabl...

Two hours ago, VenuV's THE token was hit with a classic Mango Markets-style price manipulation attack.

The attacker targeted the low-liquidity collateral THE:

· First, collateralized THE

· Borrowed other assets

· Used the borrowed assets to buy more THE

· Pushed THE price higher

· Waited for the time-weighted average oracle price to update, then obtained higher collateral value and continued the cycle of borrowing.

Due to THE's extremely poor on-chain liquidity, its price was driven from $0.27 to nearly $5. The oracle price subsequently updated to around $0.5 (time-weighted average), giving the attacker room to further amplify leverage.

More critically, THE itself has a supply cap.


Normally, this would limit the attacker's ability to expand their position. But they used a classic old trick to bypass it: the Compound fork donation attack. After depositing a large amount of THE, they directly transferred THE to the vTHE contract, "donating" to further inflate the collateral value recognized by the system and break through the cap.

Attack transaction: 0x4f477e941c12bbf32a58dc12db7bb0cb4d31d41ff25b2457e6af3c15d7f5663f

After the first wave of the attack, THE's price stabilized around $0.5.

At this point, the attacker could have walked away with the borrowed assets. But they clearly wanted to maximize profits, so they continued to use the borrowed assets to buy THE, attempting another pump.

The problem arose: Although the price was abnormally high, selling pressure from the market became extremely intense. The attacker kept buying but could barely push the price higher. Eventually, they almost exhausted their borrowing capacity, and their position's health factor dropped close to 1, nearing liquidation.

By then, the situation was very clear: The attacker's collateral, including their pre-prepared assets and THE bought during the attack, had a nominal value of about 30M. But the core issue with this collateral was—there was simply not enough liquidity to absorb it. Once liquidation began, this THE would be dumped onto the market. And no one in the market could possibly absorb such a large volume at these inflated prices.

So what did I do?

When liquidation started, I directly opened a short position on THE. And this was a position where relatively higher leverage could be applied.

The reason was simple: High valuation, low liquidity, massive passive selling pressure, no buyers.

The outcome was unsurprising: After the liquidation ended, THE's price fell all the way back to around $0.24, even lower than the pre-attack price, because original holders also sold during the process.

I closed my short position here, profiting about 15K.

In the end, Venus was left with about 2M in bad debt.

As for how much the attacker actually profited, I haven't done a complete analysis; but judging from the operations of some addresses, they likely made little to no profit, or even blew themselves up. However, the attacker might still have profited from off-chain perp positions (just like our operation).

Venus's ~2M bad debt address: https://debank.com/profile/0x1a35bd28efd46cfc46c2136f878777d69ae16231

This incident once again demonstrates:


In DeFi, "nominal collateral value" does not equal "liquidation value". When the collateral itself lacks liquidity, the system sees 30M, but the market might only be able to realize a fraction of that.

In 2023, I published a paper titled 'Unmasking Role-Play Attack Strategies in Exploiting Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Systems' which provides a detailed mathematical model of this type of attack. Interested readers can refer to: https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3605768.3623545

Pertanyaan Terkait

QWhat was the core strategy used by the attacker in the Venus THE exploit?

AThe attacker used a price manipulation strategy similar to the Mango Markets attack. They deposited the low-liquidity collateral THE, borrowed other assets, used those assets to buy more THE to drive its price up, waited for the time-weighted average oracle price to update to reflect the inflated value, and then repeated the cycle to gain higher borrowing power.

QHow did the attacker bypass the supply cap limitation on THE?

AThe attacker used a 'donation attack' by directly transferring THE tokens to the vTHE contract after a large deposit. This 'donation' artificially increased the total supply recognized by the system, allowing them to further inflate the collateral value and bypass the supply cap.

QWhy did the author of the article decide to open a short position on THE?

AThe author opened a short position because the attacker's collateral (THE tokens) had an extremely high nominal value but very low liquidity. They anticipated that once liquidation began, the massive sell pressure from the forced selling of these tokens would cause the price to crash dramatically, as there would be no market to absorb such a large volume at the inflated price.

QWhat was the final outcome for the attacker and the Venus protocol?

AThe attacker likely made little to no profit and may have even lost money from their on-chain maneuvers, though they might have profited from off-chain perpetual positions. The Venus protocol was left with approximately $2 million in bad debt.

QWhat key DeFi concept does this event highlight according to the article?

AThe event highlights that 'nominal collateral value' is not the same as 'liquidation value.' When collateral itself lacks sufficient liquidity, the value the system calculates can be vastly higher than the amount the market can actually realize during a liquidation event.

Bacaan Terkait

Pendiri BitMEX Arthur Hayes Sebut Tanggal: "Jika Gelembung AI Pecah, Bitcoin Bisa Capai 1 Juta Dolar!" Ini Detailnya

Pendiri BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, menyatakan bahwa Bitcoin dapat mengalami lonjakan harga bersejarah jika gelembung finansial yang menurutnya terbentuk di sektor kecerdasan buatan (AI) pecah. Menurut Hayes, potensi pecahnya gelembung AI sekitar tahun 2028 dapat memicu kondisi ekonomi yang mendorong harga Bitcoin melampaui $1 juta. Hayes menjelaskan bahwa risiko sebenarnya di sektor AI bukan pada perusahaan teknologi itu sendiri, melainkan pada gelembung di pasar properti dan kredit. Pembangunan pusat data AI yang cepat saat ini pada dasarnya merupakan bentuk pengembangan dan pembiayaan properti. Jika pinjaman besar untuk pembangunan pusat data dan infrastruktur energi yang diperlukan tidak dilunasi dalam beberapa tahun ke depan, hal ini dapat memberikan tekanan serius pada sistem keuangan dan berpotensi berkembang menjadi krisis kredit mirip krisis keuangan global 2008. Dalam skenario yang diprediksi terjadi antara 2026 dan 2028, bank dan lembaga keuangan dapat menghadapi risiko kredit terkait investasi AI. Pemerintah mungkin kembali menerapkan kebijakan moneter besar-besaran untuk menyelamatkan ekonomi. Hayes berpendapat bahwa pemerintah AS dapat meluncurkan program pencetakan uang yang bahkan lebih besar daripada saat krisis 2008 untuk menyelamatkan bank dan perusahaan AI. Hal ini akan melemahkan daya beli dolar AS dan mendorong investor ke aset alternatif seperti Bitcoin, yang akan berfungsi sebagai penyimpan nilai yang memperhitungkan depresiasi mata uang dan gangguan alokasi modal. Meski ada aliran modal investor ke sektor AI yang memberikan tekanan pada Bitcoin, Hayes mencatat bahwa BTC telah membentuk basis kuat di kisaran $60.000-$70.000. Dia memperkirakan, dalam skenario terburuk, Bitcoin mungkin turun ke sekitar $50.000 sebelum kembali tren naik.

cryptonews.ru43m yang lalu

Pendiri BitMEX Arthur Hayes Sebut Tanggal: "Jika Gelembung AI Pecah, Bitcoin Bisa Capai 1 Juta Dolar!" Ini Detailnya

cryptonews.ru43m yang lalu

AS dan Inggris Majukan Aturan Stablecoin Sementara GENIUS Act Masuk Tahap Implementasi

Amerika Serikat dan Inggris meningkatkan upaya mengatur stablecoin seiring penyempurnaan regulasi aset digital. Pada 8 Juli, delegasi Departemen Keuangan AS dan HM Treasury Inggris bertemu di London dalam Kelompok Kerja Regulasi Keuangan ke-13. Pertemuan dihadiri oleh perwakilan bank sentral dan regulator seperti Bank of England, FCA, Federal Reserve, SEC, CFTC, FDIC, dan OCC. Fokusnya adalah menyelaraskan prinsip regulasi, tanpa mengajukan aturan baru. Pertemuan membahas pembaruan implementasi GENIUS Act AS, yang memperkenalkan kerangka federal untuk stablecoin pembayaran dan reformasi pasar aset digital. Regulator Inggris membagikan kemajuan Strategi Digital Pasar Keuangan Grosir dan penunjukan Champion Pasar Digital Grosir. Diskusi juga mencakup tokenisasi, inovasi pembayaran, dan Peta Jalan Pembayaran Lintas Batas G20. Kedua negara berkomitmen pada pengembangan aset digital yang bertanggung jawab, perlindungan konsumen, stabilitas keuangan, serta mendukung stablecoin yang didukung penuh aset likuid. Sementara Inggris masih menyusun regulasi stablecoin, Bank of England telah melakukan beberapa perubahan berdasarkan konsultasi industri. Bank menghapus batas kepemilikan stablecoin per pengguna dan menerapkan batas sementara penerbitan stablecoin sistemik sebesar £40 miliar per tahun. Proporsi aset yang harus disimpan sebagai deposit non-bunga di bank sentral juga diturunkan dari 40% menjadi 30%, memungkinkan 70% cadangan dipegang dalam obligasi pemerintah Inggris. Perubahan ini mendekatkan Inggris pada pendekatan regulasi stablecoin transatlantik yang baru.

TheNewsCrypto48m yang lalu

AS dan Inggris Majukan Aturan Stablecoin Sementara GENIUS Act Masuk Tahap Implementasi

TheNewsCrypto48m yang lalu

Membahas Penangkapan Nilai L1 dari Dua Proposal Solana

Artikel ini membahas penangkapan nilai L1 melalui dua proposal Solana, SIMD 550 dan SIMD 553, dengan menekankan perlunya kerangka valuasi yang ketat untuk aset kripto, seperti halnya teori penilaian saham tradisional. Penulis menganalogikan token L1 dengan ekuitas perusahaan, di mana nilainya berasal dari klaim atas pendapatan masa depan, baik melalui pembakaran biaya (mirip buyback) atau distribusi ke staker (mirip dividen). Imbalan staking dari inflasi bukanlah pendapatan bersih bagi semua pemegang token. Kualitas pendapatan jaringan blockchain sangat penting; pendapatan harus berkelanjutan dan dapat dipertahankan, bukan hanya berasal dari aktivitas spekulatif sementara. Artikel juga mengusulkan model akuntansi standar untuk L1, yang memisahkan pendapatan, biaya, dan total pasokan token, serupa dengan analisis ekuitas. Model ini bertujuan menghindari kesalahan umum, seperti memperlakukan imbalan inflasi sebagai biaya tanpa memperhitungkan penerbitan token baru. Selanjutnya, dibahas hubungan antara biaya, elastisitas permintaan, dan pendapatan. Menaikkan biaya dapat meningkatkan pendapatan jika permintaan tidak elastis, tetapi riset menunjukkan elastisitas harga permintaan gas di Ethereum sekitar 0.6-0.8. Sistem tarif seragam dinilai kurang optimal; penulis menyarankan model biaya yang lebih berbeda, seperti biaya proporsional berdasarkan nilai transaksi, untuk lebih efektif menangkap nilai dari pengguna dengan kesediaan bayar lebih tinggi.

marsbit1j yang lalu

Membahas Penangkapan Nilai L1 dari Dua Proposal Solana

marsbit1j yang lalu

Meme Coin Senilai $60 Juta Melorot 65% dalam Satu Menit, FOMO Lagi-Lagi Dipertanyakan

Token meme $CATE di Solana, yang sempat meroket dari kapitalisasi pasar $20 juta menjadi lebih dari $80 juta dalam sekitar seminggu, mengalami flash crash 65% hanya dalam satu menit. Penyebab utama yang diduga adalah akun X-nya diblokir dan platform trading fomo mengalami downtime, membuat banyak pengguna tidak bisa bertransaksi. $CATE sangat bergantung pada dukungan dari influencer fomo bernama Poorgoat, yang memiliki lebih dari 200 ribu pengikut dan profit besar dari token ini. Namun, token ini dinilai tidak memiliki narasi fundamental kuat, hanya mengikuti tren "saudara kucing" dari Dogecoin, dan bahkan diklarifikasi tidak terkait oleh pemilik Doge. Flash crash ini memicu kontroversi besar terhadap fomo. Komunitas mempertanyakan apakah downtime yang tepat waktu memungkinkan pihak tertentu melakukan "exit" sementara pengguna lain terjebak. Lebih dari 60% pemegang $CATE berasal dari fomo, memperbesar dampaknya. Seorang trader populer di fomo, MarcellxMarcell, diduga telah "jual di puncak" sebelum crash, menambah kecurigaan. Fomo menjelaskan downtime disebabkan lonjakan pengguna, tetapi banyak yang tidak menerima mengingat volume perdagangan saat crash relatif kecil dan platform telah mendapatkan pendanaan besar. Insiden ini menyoroti risiko tinggi dan realitas brutal di pasar meme coin saat ini, di mana token yang dianggap "organik" pun memiliki batas atas pertumbuhan dan sangat rentan terhadap manipulasi serta ketergantungan pada platform dan influencer tertentu.

marsbit1j yang lalu

Meme Coin Senilai $60 Juta Melorot 65% dalam Satu Menit, FOMO Lagi-Lagi Dipertanyakan

marsbit1j yang lalu

Trading

Spot
活动图片