Partner at Castle Island Ventures: I Don't Regret Spending Eight Years in the Cryptocurrency Space

深潮Dipublikasikan tanggal 2025-12-11Terakhir diperbarui pada 2025-12-11

Abstrak

In a reflective piece, Castle Island Ventures partner Nic Carter responds to an article titled "I Wasted Eight Years of My Life in Crypto," which criticized the industry as a speculative casino that failed to deliver on its original ideals. Carter acknowledges the validity of some critiques, particularly around excessive speculation, meme coins, and the funding of unnecessary blockchain projects. He compares the disillusionment to earlier high-profile exits like Mike Hearn’s, noting a recurring theme: crypto promised decentralization and innovation but often delivered gambling and centralization. Carter outlines five core aspirations of cryptocurrency: restoring sound money, encoding business logic via smart contracts, establishing true digital property rights, improving capital market efficiency, and promoting global financial inclusion. While he remains optimistic about the long-term potential of crypto, he advocates for a "pragmatic optimism" that acknowledges both the real-world utility and the unavoidable speculative excesses. He argues that useful infrastructure is being built despite the noise, and while the revolution may not be as dramatic as some hoped, progress is being made in areas like Bitcoin, stablecoins, and decentralized exchanges. The key, he suggests, is to stay grounded in realistic possibilities rather than utopian ideals.

Written by: Nic Carter, Partner at Castle Island Ventures

Compiled by: AididiaoJP, Foresight News

Ken Chang recently published an article titled "I Wasted Eight Years of My Life in Cryptocurrency," in which he lamented the inherent capital destruction and financial nihilism of this industry.

Crypto enthusiasts often mock such "dramatic exit" articles and gleefully revisit the stories of historical figures like Mike Hearn or Jeff Garzik who made high-profile departures (while never failing to point out how much Bitcoin has risen since they left).

But Ken's article is largely correct. He said:

Cryptocurrency claimed to help decentralize the financial system, and I once believed it deeply, but the truth is, it is just a super system for speculation and gambling, essentially a replica of the current economy. Reality hit me like a truck: I wasn't building a new financial system; I built a casino. A casino that doesn't call itself a casino, yet it is the largest, always-on, multiplayer online casino our generation has ever built.

Ken pointed out that venture capitalists have burned tens of billions of dollars funding various new public chains, and we clearly don't need that many. This is true, although his description of the incentive model is slightly off (VCs are essentially conduits for capital—overall, they only do what limited partners are willing to tolerate). Ken also criticized the proliferation of perpetual and spot DEXs, prediction markets, meme coin launch platforms, etc. Indeed, while you can defend these concepts at an abstract level (except for meme coin launch platforms, which make no sense), it is undeniable that their proliferation is solely because the market incentivizes it, and VCs are willing to pay for it.

Ken said he entered the crypto space with idealistic visions and stars in his eyes. This is familiar to participants in this field: he had libertarian leanings. But in the end, he did not practice libertarian ideals; instead, he built a casino. Specifically, he is best known for his work at Ribbon Finance, a protocol that allows users to deposit assets into vaults and earn yields by systematically selling options.

I don't want to be too harsh, but that's the reality. If it were me, I would also reflect deeply. When the conflict between principles and work became unbearable, Ken reached his pessimistic conclusion: cryptocurrency is a casino, not a revolution.

What struck me deeply was that it reminded me of the article Mike Hearn wrote nearly a decade ago. Hearn wrote:

Why did Bitcoin fail? Because the community behind it failed. It was supposed to be a new type of decentralized currency, without "systemically important institutions," without "too big to fail," but it turned into something worse: a system entirely controlled by a few people. Worse, the network is on the brink of technical collapse. The mechanisms that were supposed to prevent this have failed, so there is little reason to believe Bitcoin can truly be better than the existing financial system.

The details differ, but the argument is the same. Bitcoin/cryptocurrency was supposed to be one thing (decentralized, cypherpunk practice), but it turned into something else (a casino, centralized). Both agree: it ultimately did not prove better than the existing financial system.

The arguments of Hearn and Ken can be summed up in one sentence: cryptocurrency initially had a purpose, but it ultimately went astray. This leads us to ask: What is the purpose of cryptocurrency?

Five Goals of Cryptocurrency

In my view, there are roughly five camps, and they are not mutually exclusive. Personally, I most identify with the first and fifth camps, but I have empathy for all. However, I am not dogmatic about any, not even the hardcore Bitcoin camp.

Restoring Sound Money

This is the original dream, shared by most (though not all) early Bitcoin players. The idea is that, over time, Bitcoin will pose a competitive threat to the monetary privileges of many sovereign states and may even replace fiat currency, bringing us back to a new gold standard-like order. This camp typically views everything else in the crypto space as distractions and scams, merely riding on Bitcoin's coattails. Needless to say, Bitcoin has made limited progress at the sovereign level, but in just 15 years, it has come far enough as an important monetary asset. Those who hold this view often live in a contradiction of disillusionment and hope, with near-delusional expectations that Bitcoin's widespread adoption is just around the corner.

Encoding Business Logic with Smart Contracts

This view is advocated by Vitalik Buterin and most of the Ethereum camp: since we can digitize money, we can express various transactions and contracts in code, making the world more efficient and fair. To Bitcoin fundamentalists, this was once heresy. But it has achieved success in some narrow areas, especially those easily expressed mathematically, such as derivatives.

Making Digital Property Rights Real

This is my summary of the "Web3" or "read-write-own" philosophy. The idea is not without merit: digital property rights should be as real and reliable as physical property rights. However, its practices—NFTs, Web3 social—have either gone completely astray or, to put it politely, are ahead of their time. Despite billions of dollars invested, few now defend this philosophy. But I still believe there is something worth pondering here. I think many of our current internet dilemmas stem from the fact that we do not truly "own" our online identities and spaces, nor can we effectively control with whom we interact and how content is distributed. I believe that one day we will regain sovereignty over our digital property, and blockchain will likely play a role. It's just that this idea is not yet ripe.

Improving Capital Market Efficiency

This is the least ideological of the five goals. Not many people get excited about securities settlement, COBOL, SWIFT systems, or wire transfer windows. But regardless, this is indeed the practical driving force behind a significant part of the cryptocurrency industry. The logic is: the Western financial system is built on an outdated tech stack, extremely difficult to upgrade due to path dependency (no one dares to easily replace core facilities handling trillions of dollars in daily settlements), so it has long needed an update. This update must come from outside the system and adopt a completely new architecture. The value here is mostly reflected in efficiency gains and possible consumer surplus, making it less exciting.

Expanding Global Financial Inclusion

Finally, there are passionate individuals who see cryptocurrency as an inclusive technology, providing low-cost financial infrastructure globally—for some, even their first access to financial services. This means enabling people to self-custody crypto assets (now more commonly stablecoins), access tokenized securities or money market funds, obtain credit cards issued based on crypto wallets or exchange accounts, and be treated equally on the financial internet. This is a very real phenomenon, and its superficial success offers solace to many disillusioned idealists.

Pragmatic Optimism

So, who is right? The idealists or the pessimists? Or is there a third possibility?

I could go on at length about how bubbles always accompany major technological changes, how bubbles actually catalyze the construction of useful infrastructure, and how cryptocurrency is especially speculative precisely because it is financial technology—but that would be somewhat self-consoling.

My real answer is: maintaining pragmatic optimism is the right attitude. Whenever you despair over the cryptocurrency casino, you must hold onto this tightly. Speculation, mania, and capital extraction should be understood as inevitable yet unpleasant side effects of building useful infrastructure. It comes with real human costs, which I do not mean to downplay. The normalization of meme coins, pointless gambling, and financial nihilism among young people is particularly frustrating and socially unhelpful. But this is a (even if negative) side effect inevitably produced by building capital markets on permissionless rails. I see no other way; you must accept it as part of how blockchains operate. And you can choose not to participate.

The key point: cryptocurrency has its goals, and it is entirely normal to harbor ideals about it. It is this purpose that motivates thousands of people to dedicate their careers to this industry.

It's just that it might not be as exciting as you imagined.

The world is unlikely to suddenly fully embrace Bitcoin. NFTs have not revolutionized digital ownership. Capital markets are slowly moving on-chain. Beyond the dollar, we haven't tokenized many assets. No authoritarian regime has fallen because ordinary people hold crypto wallets. Smart contracts are mainly used for derivatives, with little else. To date, the only applications with product-market fit are limited to Bitcoin, stablecoins, DEXs, and prediction markets. Yes, much of the value created may be captured by large companies or eventually returned to consumers in the form of efficiency gains and cost savings.

Therefore, the real challenge is to maintain an optimism rooted in realistic possibilities, rather than indulging in blindly optimistic fantasies. If you believe in a libertarian utopia, the gap between expectations and reality will eventually lead to disillusionment. As for the casino effect, unrestrained token issuance, and rampant speculation, these should be seen as ugly warts on the industry's underbelly—difficult to remove but objectively present. If you believe the costs brought by blockchain outweigh its benefits, then choosing disillusionment is entirely reasonable. But in my view, the current situation is actually better than ever. We have more evidence than ever that we are on the right path.

Just remember that goal.

Kripto yang Sedang Tren

Pertanyaan Terkait

QWhat are the five main goals of cryptocurrency as outlined by Nic Carter?

AThe five main goals are: 1. Restoring sound money. 2. Encoding business logic with smart contracts. 3. Making digital property rights real. 4. Improving capital market efficiency. 5. Expanding global financial inclusion.

QAccording to the author, what is the correct attitude to have towards the cryptocurrency industry?

AThe correct attitude is to maintain pragmatic optimism, accepting the speculative and negative side effects as an unavoidable part of building useful infrastructure on permissionless rails.

QWhat was the core criticism of the cryptocurrency industry made by Ken Chang in his article?

AKen Chang criticized the industry for being a massive, 24/7, multiplayer online casino dedicated to speculation and gambling, rather than the new, decentralized financial system it claimed to be building.

QWhich two cryptocurrency applications does the author identify as having achieved genuine product-market fit so far?

AThe author identifies Bitcoin, stablecoins, DEXs (decentralized exchanges), and prediction markets as the applications that have achieved genuine product-market fit.

QHow does the author characterize the relationship between financial speculation and the development of useful infrastructure in crypto?

AThe author characterizes speculation, manias, and capital extraction as an inevitable and unpleasant but catalytic side effect of building useful infrastructure, analogous to bubbles that accompany major technological transformations.

Bacaan Terkait

Mundur Terhitung: GPT-5.6 – Tinggalkan Khayalan API Tunggal, Iterasi Daya Komputasi Secepat Apa Pun Takkan Lawan Satu Aturan Kepatuhan

Pada pertengahan Juni, tiga peristiwa industri — pembatasan akses Fable 5 karena kepatuhan regulasi, pengumuman open-source GLM-5.2, dan kebocoran tanggal rilis GPT-5.6 — menandai titik balik dalam industri AI global. Logika dasarnya telah berubah: Pertama, **"ketersediaan" kini lebih penting daripada "kemajuan teknis"**, dengan rantai pasok model besar memasuki fase "sistem ganda": model tertutup yang dikontrol dan model open-source lokal. Kedua, **penghalang kompetisi raksasa model tertutup bergeser**. Fokus teknis beralih dari "kecerdasan bahasa" ke "kecerdasan spasial (model dunia)" yang sangat bergantung pada komputasi. Ketiga, menghadapi risiko kepatuhan regulasi lintas batas yang常态, **desain arsitektur "model-agnostic" telah menjadi kebutuhan dasar bagi pengembang aplikasi untuk menjaga keberlanjutan bisnis**. Fable 5 (Anthropic) dibatasi aksesnya bagi non-warga AS hanya 72 jam setelah diluncurkan, menunjukkan bahwa kemajuan teknologi kini berbanding lurus dengan risiko regulasi. Di sisi lain, model open-source seperti GLM-5.2 menawarkan peningkatan kinerja yang stabil dan keunggulan biaya signifikan (hingga 90% lebih murah), sekaligus menjadi cadangan penting untuk manajemen risiko kepatuhan perusahaan global. Sementara itu, GPT-5.6 dikabarkan akan fokus pada "kecerdasan spasial" atau "model dunia", berusaha membangun keunggulan baru di bidang seperti simulasi industri dan robotika yang membutuhkan daya komputasi masif. Kesimpulannya, logika evaluasi infrastruktur AI telah berubah dari sekadar kinerja teknis menjadi pertimbangan gabungan antara kinerja, kepatuhan regulasi, dan stabilitas akses. Bagi pengembang, ketergantungan pada API tertutup tunggal mengandung risiko tinggi. Menerapkan arsitektur "model-agnostic" untuk memungkinkan peralihan cepat ke alternatif open-source lokal telah menjadi prinsip dasar untuk menjaga kelangsungan bisnis.

marsbit38m yang lalu

Mundur Terhitung: GPT-5.6 – Tinggalkan Khayalan API Tunggal, Iterasi Daya Komputasi Secepat Apa Pun Takkan Lawan Satu Aturan Kepatuhan

marsbit38m yang lalu

Perang Subsidi Token "Raksasa AI", Sudah Hampir Selesai?

Perang subsidi token antara raksasa AI seperti Google, OpenAI, dan Anthropic mungkin tidak akan segera berakhir, tetapi sifatnya berbeda dari perang subsidi era internet. Analisis dari SemiAnalysis menunjukkan bahwa harga token saat ini sebenarnya sudah sangat disubsidi, dengan paket berlangganan AI premium bahkan mungkin disubsidi hingga 70 kali lipat dari biaya berlangganannya. Namun, tidak seperti layanan seperti taksi online atau pengiriman makanan, token AI hampir tidak memiliki efek "penguncian" (*lock-in effect*). Pengguna dan pengembang dapat dengan mudah beralih antara model AI karena API yang semakin standar. Ini berarti begitu subsidi dihentikan dan harga dinaikkan, pengguna bisa langsung beralih. Bill Maris dari Google Ventures memprediksi dengan keyakinan 100% bahwa Google, dengan pendapatan iklannya yang besar, bisa memotong harga token hingga 80% sebagai senjata. Bagi OpenAI dan Anthropic yang bergantung pada pendanaan investor, hal ini akan menjadi tekanan bisnis yang berat, terutama setelah mereka masuk bursa dan harus menunjukkan profitabilitas. Dua skenario akhir yang mungkin adalah: 1) skenario monopolistik ala internet di mana satu pemenang muncul dan kemudian menaikkan harga, atau 2) skenario "listrik-air-bahan bakar" di mana token menjadi infrastruktur dasar yang terstandarisasi dengan margin keuntungan yang sangat tipis. Artikel berargumen bahwa skenario kedua lebih mungkin karena kurangnya efek penguncian pada token AI. Kompetisi ini mungkin bukan perang untuk dimenangkan, melainkan permainan tanpa akhir untuk tetap berada di meja permainan. Bagi pengguna, selama perang subsidi ini berlanjut, mereka akan terus menikmati akses ke kemampuan AI canggih dengan biaya yang sangat terjangkau dibandingkan dengan biaya komputasi sebenarnya.

marsbit54m yang lalu

Perang Subsidi Token "Raksasa AI", Sudah Hampir Selesai?

marsbit54m yang lalu

Di Luar Lapangan: Permainan Mengejar Keuntungan di Sekitar Piala Dunia

Di luar lapangan, Piala Dunia bukan hanya festival penggemar sepak bola, tetapi juga jendela langka bagi spekulasi global. Turnamen ini memusatkan perhatian, emosi, identitas, kesenjangan informasi, dan sumber daya langka selama lebih dari sebulan, menciptakan ekosistem spekulasi yang luas. Pasar prediksi seperti Polymarket dan Kalshi mencatat pertumbuhan pesat, dengan volume perdagangan miliaran dolar, menawarkan narasi kekayaan baru dibandingkan taruhan olahraga tradisional yang tetap menjadi tulang punggung dengan basis pengguna yang matang. Pasar saham juga bereaksi, menciptakan "saham konsep" seperti produsen ayam goreng di Korea Selatan yang harganya melonjak terkait acara nonton bareng. Pasar sekunder tiket menjadi arena arbitrase, di mana harga bisa meroket untuk pertandingan tim populer seperti Portugal, sementara tiket lain justru turun. Barang koleksi seperti stiker Panini dan jersey edisi terbatas juga menjadi komoditas spekulasi, dengan harga melambung di platform seperti eBay. Spekulasi lebih liar muncul di crypto melalui ribuan token meme bertema Piala Dunia yang sangat volatil, meski penuh risiko penipuan. Lapisan terakhir adalah bisnis informasi: alat pelacak tiket seperti SeatSidekick dan layanan berlangganan rekomendasi taruhan memanfaatkan permintaan akan data dan keunggulan informasi. Intinya, Piala Dunia telah menjadi eksperimen spekulasi raksasa di mana aliran perhatian dan emosi menciptakan jaringan perdagangan global yang menyelesaikan transaksinya sendiri jauh dari lapangan hijau.

marsbit1j yang lalu

Di Luar Lapangan: Permainan Mengejar Keuntungan di Sekitar Piala Dunia

marsbit1j yang lalu

Bagaimana Codex Menggunakan Komputer? Tiga Pintu Masuk dan Batasan Izin

Cara Codex Menggunakan Komputer: Tiga Pintu Masuk dan Batas Izin Artikel ini menjelaskan tiga cara Codex berinteraksi dengan lingkungan eksternal: Computer Use, Ekstensi Chrome, dan Browser dalam aplikasi. Ketiganya melayani skenario tugas, batas izin, dan tingkat kepercayaan yang berbeda. 1. **Computer Use (@Computer)**: Cakupan terluas, mengontrol aplikasi desktop asli (macOS/Windows), pengaturan sistem, simulator iOS, dan alur kerja lintas aplikasi melalui antarmuka grafis. Cocok untuk proses yang tidak memiliki dukungan API, plugin, atau alat terstruktur. Namun, lebih lambat dan memiliki batas izin terlebar. Harus digunakan dengan pengawasan untuk tindakan sensitif. 2. **Ekstensi Chrome (@Chrome)**: Mengakses status Chrome yang sudah login, termasuk cookies, tab, dan profil. Ideal untuk tugas di Gmail, LinkedIn, Salesforce, dasbor internal, atau penelitian yang memerlukan status login di beberapa situs. Mendukung kontrol multi-tab dan konteks identitas browser. Batas kepercayaan penting: pisahkan tindakan berisiko tinggi seperti mengirim atau membeli. 3. **Browser dalam Aplikasi (@Browser)**: Browser terisolasi di dalam thread Codex, tidak membawa status login atau ekstensi. Sangat cocok untuk pengembangan web, debugging bug visual, memeriksa tata letak responsif, dan memberikan anotasi desain pada halaman lokal atau pratinjau berbasis file. Menciptakan siklus umpan balik yang ketat antara pengeditan kode dan pratinjau. **Prinsip Inti**: Pilih antarmuka operasi yang paling sempit, aman, dan terstruktur untuk tugas tersebut. Prioritaskan plugin atau MCP jika tersedia. Gunakan Computer Use hanya sebagai "mil terakhir" ketika alat terstruktur tidak mencukupi. **Appshots** berfungsi sebagai alat untuk memberikan konteks visual (dengan menangkap jendela depan), bukan sebagai metode kontrol keempat. Dengan mendorong pemilihan alat yang tepat, pendekatan berlapis ini menunjukkan kunci produk AI Agent: membatasi izin secara proporsional berdasarkan tugas spesifik dan mempertahankan hak pengguna untuk meninjau tindakan kritis.

marsbit3j yang lalu

Bagaimana Codex Menggunakan Komputer? Tiga Pintu Masuk dan Batasan Izin

marsbit3j yang lalu

Trading

Spot
Futures

Artikel Populer

Cara Membeli T

Selamat datang di HTX.com! Kami telah membuat pembelian Threshold Network Token (T) menjadi mudah dan nyaman. Ikuti panduan langkah demi langkah kami untuk memulai perjalanan kripto Anda.Langkah 1: Buat Akun HTX AndaGunakan alamat email atau nomor ponsel Anda untuk mendaftar akun gratis di HTX. Rasakan perjalanan pendaftaran yang mudah dan buka semua fitur.Dapatkan Akun SayaLangkah 2: Buka Beli Kripto, lalu Pilih Metode Pembayaran AndaKartu Kredit/Debit: Gunakan Visa atau Mastercard Anda untuk membeli Threshold Network Token (T) secara instan.Saldo: Gunakan dana dari saldo akun HTX Anda untuk melakukan trading dengan lancar.Pihak Ketiga: Kami telah menambahkan metode pembayaran populer seperti Google Pay dan Apple Pay untuk meningkatkan kenyamanan.P2P: Lakukan trading langsung dengan pengguna lain di HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): Kami menawarkan layanan yang dibuat khusus dan kurs yang kompetitif bagi para trader.Langkah 3: Simpan Threshold Network Token (T) AndaSetelah melakukan pembelian, simpan Threshold Network Token (T) di akun HTX Anda. Selain itu, Anda dapat mengirimkannya ke tempat lain melalui transfer blockchain atau menggunakannya untuk memperdagangkan mata uang kripto lainnya.Langkah 4: Lakukan trading Threshold Network Token (T)Lakukan trading Threshold Network Token (T) dengan mudah di pasar spot HTX. Cukup akses akun Anda, pilih pasangan perdagangan, jalankan trading, lalu pantau secara real-time. Kami menawarkan pengalaman yang ramah pengguna baik untuk pemula maupun trader berpengalaman.

896 Total TayanganDipublikasikan pada 2024.12.10Diperbarui pada 2026.06.02

Cara Membeli T

Diskusi

Selamat datang di Komunitas HTX. Di sini, Anda bisa terus mendapatkan informasi terbaru tentang perkembangan platform terkini dan mendapatkan akses ke wawasan pasar profesional. Pendapat pengguna mengenai harga T (T) disajikan di bawah ini.

活动图片