# Fed Policy Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Fed Policy", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

QCP Capital Report: Why Bitcoin is Stuck at $80,000 Awaiting US Inflation Data

QCP Capital's report analyzes how stronger-than-expected U.S. August employment data shifted market focus from economic cooling to inflation and the Fed's rate path. Bitcoin struggled to hold above $82,000, settling near $79,300, while Ethereum faced resistance at $2,500. Despite a significant $770 million net inflow into spot Bitcoin ETFs from September 1-4, particularly a $730.8 million influx on Wednesday, market volatility remained low, indicating a wait-and-see stance ahead of key inflation data. Key technical levels are identified: Bitcoin resistance at $80,000-$82,000, support at $77,000-$78,000; Ethereum resistance at $2,500-$2,550, support at $2,400-$2,425. The upcoming Producer Price Index (PPI) and, crucially, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases will be the main test for market expectations regarding a potential September Fed rate adjustment. Political events like the CLARITY Act Senate vote and the FOMC meeting conclusion are also noted. The market is in a holding pattern, with ETF demand providing underlying support but technical resistance capping upside momentum. The inflation data, especially the CPI, will likely determine whether the current ranges hold or a directional revaluation begins. The report draws a parallel to May 2024, when high inflation data pushed Bitcoin below $78,000, highlighting how the market's interpretation of inflation data has shifted from viewing crypto as an inflation hedge to a signal for potential monetary tightening.

cryptonews.ru09/07 14:21

QCP Capital Report: Why Bitcoin is Stuck at $80,000 Awaiting US Inflation Data

cryptonews.ru09/07 14:21

Early Bull Market or Late Bear Market: Experts' Opinions from Wu Blockchain

The Bitcoin market has recently rebounded by 40% from its local low, surpassing $81,000. In a Wu Blockchain podcast, two experts debated whether this signals an early bull market or a late bear market phase. Didier argues the market is in the early stages of a bull cycle. He cites Bitcoin's recovery above its 200-day moving average and widespread market under-positioning—with low Bitcoin allocations and significant short positions—as classic early-cycle signs. He believes the bull market structure is already forming. Griffin Ardern is more cautious, viewing the market as in a mid-to-late bear cycle. He emphasizes U.S. dollar liquidity as the key variable, dependent on whether the Federal Reserve engages in policies resembling "Operation Twist" to support the bond market, which would weaken the dollar and boost risk assets like Bitcoin. He attributes the recent surge partly to a short squeeze in a low-activity market. The discussion also covers U.S. fiscal policy, with Griffin noting concerns over the growing share of short-term U.S. debt fueling volatility and a "dollar debasement" trade benefiting Bitcoin and gold. Didier explains potential "private QE" maneuvers and analyzes MicroStrategy's (MSTR) complex capital structure, including its STRC perpetual preferred shares, which act as a funding tool less risky than debt. Regarding sector competition, Didier believes the crowded AI trade might see some capital rotate into under-positioned crypto, while Griffin notes AI has drawn talent away, though blockchain's long-term value as financial infrastructure remains intact. The analysis concludes that while technical factors like short squeezes are driving recent moves, the broader trend hinges on macroeconomic policy decisions concerning U.S. debt and dollar liquidity.

cryptonews.ru09/02 22:36

Early Bull Market or Late Bear Market: Experts' Opinions from Wu Blockchain

cryptonews.ru09/02 22:36

Bitcoin Price Forecast for September 2026: Can BTC Surpass $82,206 to Target $97,278 in September?

Bitcoin Price Forecast for September 2026: Can BTC Break $82,206 to Target $97,278? The forecast for Bitcoin's price in September 2026 remains bullish as BTC holds $76,871, with $82,206 being the immediate resistance to break. A weekly close above $82,206 could propel BTC towards the $97,278 Fibonacci extension level, while losing $76,871 would open the path down to $73,891. The broader bull market support band lies between $69,843 and $70,302; a weekly close below this range would weaken the cyclical bottom argument. Key levels include resistance at $82,206 (Fibonacci 1.0 extension) and $97,278 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension), with supports at $76,988, $73,891, and the $69,843-$70,302 band. Analysts highlight the 50-week moving average as a crucial indicator for confirming a cycle bottom. On-chain data shows whale accumulation of over 39,154 BTC (worth ~$3B) last week, signaling strong institutional interest. Michael Saylor hinted that MicroStrategy may resume its Bitcoin purchases. However, hawkish Fed comments and a single-day ETF outflow of $201.81 million on August 28th introduced some selling pressure. The bullish case for September targets $97,278, contingent on holding the bull market support band and seeing renewed ETF inflows alongside whale accumulation. The bearish scenario risks a drop to $69,843 if BTC fails to hold that support on a weekly close, potentially breaking the historical bottoming pattern and aligning with seasonal weakness.

cryptonews.ru08/31 12:54

Bitcoin Price Forecast for September 2026: Can BTC Surpass $82,206 to Target $97,278 in September?

cryptonews.ru08/31 12:54

Expert Outlines Key Levels for Bitcoin's Movement This Week

Bitcoin started the week after multiple attempts to hold above $80,000, failing to establish it as solid support. According to Kirill Komalenkov, director of strategic communications at Bitbanker, the cryptocurrency's movement will depend on upcoming US macroeconomic data and Federal Reserve policy expectations. Following failed attempts above $80k, the market returned to the $77,000–79,000 range. The nearest resistance zone is $80,000–81,500, and a confident break could signal further upward movement. If sustained above this level, the next target is $83,000–85,000, seen as the potential upper boundary for the week. Key support lies at $75,000–76,000. A break below could lead to a decline toward $72,000–73,000, with a potential drop to $70,000 if external conditions worsen. The base range for the week is $74,000–83,000, but high volatility could widen it to $70,000–85,000. Bitcoin's dynamics are heavily influenced by US financial markets and Fed expectations, with the regulator's hawkish stance and persistent inflation limiting risk appetite. However, demand from US investors provides support. Upcoming US labor market data will be crucial: weak figures could boost hopes for less monetary tightening and aid Bitcoin's push above $80,000, while strong data combined with inflation could pressure the crypto market. Sustained movement toward $85,000 requires a combination of factors: holding above $80,000–81,500, continued institutional demand, and reduced fears of further Fed tightening. Until these conditions are met, Bitcoin is likely to trade in a wide, volatile range, with $85,000 as an upper test under favorable conditions and $70,000 as a lower boundary in a stress scenario.

cryptonews.ru08/31 10:05

Expert Outlines Key Levels for Bitcoin's Movement This Week

cryptonews.ru08/31 10:05

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