Solana Price Forecast Hits $110 as Bitwise's BSOL Posts Record Trading Volume

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-25Last updated on 2026-08-25

Abstract

Solana (SOL) price is testing a critical resistance zone between $102-$103, having recently risen above $100 and now trading at $101.36. Technical analysis indicates a bullish but cautious trend, with the Parabolic SAR signaling a bullish short-term trend and the MACD gaining momentum. The price is within a rising wedge pattern, suggesting a potential breakout or sharper pullback. Key bullish factors include sustained, record-high network activity, with Solana processing over 1 billion transactions for the fourth consecutive week. Strong institutional demand is also evident, as Bitwise's Solana ETF (BSOL) recorded its highest-ever daily trading volume of over $108 million, contributing to significant daily inflows into SOL ETFs. However, caution is warranted. A major whale unstaked and transferred over 45,000 SOL, realizing a $3.3 million loss. Additionally, long-dated futures are trading at a discount to spot prices, indicating some long-term trader skepticism. **Price Forecast:** * **Bullish Case (Target: $110):** A confirmed daily close above the $102-$103 wedge resistance, supported by strong network usage and ETF inflows, could propel SOL towards $110. * **Bearish Risk (Support: $93-$95):** A rejection at resistance and a breakdown from the rising wedge's support could see the price retreat to the $93-$95 zone, especially if the whale's exit signals broader caution. In conclusion, the outlook is balanced between strong fundamental demand and emerging caution from...

The forecast for $SOL price remains cautiously bullish as the price puts pressure on the resistance band that has capped each recent rally attempt, while an ascending wedge pattern signals either a breakout or a sharper pullback. Record network activity and strong ETF demand support the upside risk, though notable whale outflows add caution.

Solana Price Analysis: Will $SOL Price Break Out of Its Ascending Wedge?

$SOL rallied sharply from August 18th, breaking above a steep upward trend line and entering the resistance zone roughly between $98 and $100, which has already rejected the price twice, most recently on August 22nd. The price is currently trading at $101.36, having slightly moved above this zone before pulling back.

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The Parabolic SAR is significantly below the price at $94.16, keeping the short-term trend bullish. The MACD shows the MACD line crossing above the signal line again after cooling off earlier in the week, the histogram is turning green once more, and indicator momentum is picking up with this latest push towards resistance.

$SOL Support and Resistance Levels, August 25, 2026

Type Price Level
Resistance $102–$103 Wedge Resistance Zone
Resistance $98 to $100 Prior Rejection Zone
Support $94.16 Parabolic SAR
Support $93 to $95 Ascending Wedge Support

Solana News: Network Hits Record 1.31 Billion Weekly Transactions

NEWS: @Solana continues to process over 1 billion transactions for the 4th consecutive week, with a new ATH of 1.31 billion transactions last week. pic.twitter.com/lSfUS2RdNl

— SolanaFloor (@SolanaFloor) August 24, 2026

According to SolanaFloor, Solana processed over 1 billion transactions for the fourth consecutive week, setting a new all-time high record of 1.31 billion transactions last week.

Sustained activity above the 1 billion mark indicates steady, high-volume network usage, not a single short-term spike.

Solana News: Whale Offloads 40K+ $SOL, Realizes $3.3M Loss

🚨 $SOL WHALE DUMPS AFTER $3.3M LOSS

A major $SOL whale unstaked 40K+ $SOL and moved 45.6K $SOL to Wintermute after realizing a $3.3M loss.

Meanwhile, $SOL volume exploded to $88.5M/hour, while funding surged but long-dated futures are still trading at a discount.

Bullish rally... pic.twitter.com/xhgMEW37S0

— Coin Edition: Your Crypto News Edge ️ (@CoinEdition) August 25, 2026

A major $SOL holder unstaked over 40,000 $SOL and transferred 45,600 $SOL to market maker Wintermute after realizing a $3.3 million loss, according to a post by Coin Edition on X.

This move came as $SOL trading volume surged to $88.5 million per hour and funding rates increased, though longer-term futures contracts are still trading at a discount to the spot price, indicating some traders remain cautious in the long term despite short-term strength. Whether this reflects a bullish rally with normal profit-taking or an early warning signal from a major holder remains an open question.

Solana News: BSOL Posts Record Trading Volume

NEW: @Bitwise's Solana ETF $BSOL recorded its highest trading volume ever today, surpassing $108 million, with over $261 million traded across the past 4 sessions. pic.twitter.com/QU53iAUc5s

— SolanaFloor (@SolanaFloor) August 25, 2026

Bitwise's Solana ETF, BSOL, recorded its highest-ever trading volume on August 24th, surpassing $108 million in a single day, according to SolanaFloor. Over $261 million was traded in the fund over the past four sessions, reflecting a sharp increase in investor interest.

This volume is mirrored in broader ETF inflow data. $SOL ETFs attracted $33.49 million on August 24th alone, led by Bitwise's BSOL with $24.99 million, marking one of the strongest single-day inflows since these funds launched, according to SoSoValue. The cumulative net inflow for all $SOL ETFs now stands at $1.22 billion, with total net assets reaching $1.21 billion.

Date Daily Net Inflow of $SOL ETFs
August 24, 2026 $33.49 Million
August 21, 2026 $10.07 Million
August 20, 2026 $14.58 Million
August 19, 2026 $2.10 Million
August 18, 2026 $1.58 Million

$SOL Price Forecast: Upside and Downside Targets

Bull Case, Target: $110

$SOL breaks decisively above wedge resistance at $102–$103 on a daily close, confirming Crypto With Gopal's bullish scenario. Ongoing record network activity and strong ETF inflows amplify demand, while whale departures prove to be isolated events, not the start of broader selling. A confirmed breakout clears the path to $110 and beyond.

Bear Risk, Risk Level: $93 to $95 (Wedge Support)

$SOL fails to overcome resistance, and the ascending wedge breaks down—a common outcome for this pattern even in uptrends. The whale exit and long-term futures discount turn out to be early signals of fading conviction, and the price breaks below the wedge's rising support, falling towards the $93–$95 zone.

Conclusion

This setup is unusual in that its bullish and cautious signals are positioned directly alongside each other, rather than pointing clearly in one direction. Record network transactions and record ETF demand are both precise, data-driven arguments for a bullish outcome, not just sentiment.

However, the whale exit is also real, and the discount on long-term futures suggests some traders share this caution rather than dismiss it. The $102–$103 resistance zone is where this issue is truly decided: a clean break above it would mean the bullish data wins out, while a third rejection here would lend much more credibility to the whale exit and futures discount.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Related Questions

QAccording to the technical analysis in the article, what are the key support and resistance levels for Solana (SOL) price as of August 25, 2026?

AKey resistance is between $102 and $103 (the wedge resistance zone) and between $98 and $100 (the previous rejection zone). Key support is at $94.16 (the Parabolic SAR) and between $93 and $95 (the rising wedge support).

QWhat record did the Solana network achieve for the week ending August 24, 2026, and what is its significance according to the article?

AThe Solana network processed a record 1.31 billion transactions that week, marking the fourth consecutive week of over 1 billion transactions. This indicates stable, high-volume network usage rather than a temporary spike, providing fundamental support for a bullish outlook.

QWhat is the bullish price target for SOL and what condition must be met for it to be confirmed?

AThe bullish price target is $110. For this target to be confirmed, SOL must achieve a daily close above the wedge resistance zone of $102 to $103, signaling a breakout.

QWhat bearish risk level is mentioned for SOL, and what event could trigger a move to that level?

AThe bearish risk level is the wedge support zone between $93 and $95. A move to this level could be triggered if SOL fails to break above the $102-$103 resistance and the rising wedge pattern breaks to the downside.

QWhat milestone did Bitwise's Solana ETF (BSOL) achieve on August 24, 2026, and what broader trend does it reflect?

ABitwise's Solana ETF (BSOL) recorded its highest-ever single-day trading volume, surpassing $108 million. This reflects a sharp increase in investor interest, with total SOL ETF inflows reaching $33.49 million on that day and cumulative net inflows across all SOL ETFs hitting $1.22 billion.

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