Major Coins Plummet + Speculative Coins Dance Wildly, ETH Breaks Below 3000, XRP Crashes to 1.9, RATS Buying Opportunity + MERL Shorting Opportunity Both Emerge

金色财经Published on 2025-12-16Last updated on 2025-12-16

Abstract

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a sharp divergence. Major coins like ETH and XRP are declining sharply, while some altcoins show volatile, mixed performances. ETH dropped over 5%, breaking below the key $3,000 support and falling to around $2,916. It faces resistance at $2,980, $3,050, and $3,080. If the downtrend continues, support levels to watch are $2,950, $2,920, $2,880, and $2,800. Technical indicators like MACD and RSI suggest bearish momentum remains. XRP broke below $1.95, with its price falling to around $1.855. Key resistance levels are at $1.90, $1.92, and $1.95. If it fails to rebound, further decline toward $1.82 or even $1.765 is possible. In contrast, RATS shows strength with three consecutive bullish daily candles, forming a W-pattern. A pullback to around $0.000035 may present a buying opportunity, with a potential rise toward $0.00005. MERL surged 17%, possibly due to low-liquidity manipulation. A short position around $0.46-$0.48 is suggested, with downside targets at $0.40 or even $0.35. ASTER dipped to $0.765 but quickly recovered. It may be forming a descending wedge—wait for a clearer bottom signal before entering. FOLKS shows a pump-and-dump pattern, with a gradual decline after a sharp rise. A low-leverage long-term short position could be profitable. Overall, major coins like ETH and XRP remain bearish short-term. RATS offers a potential long opportunity on dips, while MERL and FOLKS may be suited for short strategies. ASTER require...

The crypto space is experiencing "polar opposites" again! ETH and XRP are diving along with Bitcoin, while some altcoins are surging wildly and others are setting traps. Let's break it down one by one to avoid pitfalls and seize opportunities~Free group access +Q:3260353596

? ETH: Drops 5%, Breaks Below 3000! $2920 Becomes the Lifeline

Ethereum really couldn't hold up this time. After failing to defend $3150, it plunged straight down, breaking through the $3120, $3050, and $3000 support levels, hitting a low of $2916. It's now hovering below $3000 and has fallen below the 100-hour moving average. The bearish momentum is strong.

Want a rebound? It must first break through 3 hurdles:

First hurdle: $2980, any minor rise might face resistance here;

Second hurdle: $3050 (the 50% retracement level of the previous decline);

The tough one is $3080. Only a break above this could target $3120 and $3175.

If the rebound fails, watch these support levels closely: $2950→$2920→$2880→$2800. If $2920 doesn't hold, a deeper decline is highly probable. Technical indicators are also weak: MACD is strengthening in the bearish zone, RSI is below 50, and the downward momentum hasn't stopped.

? XRP: Crashes Through 1.95! $1.85 Hangs by a Thread

XRP just attempted a rebound at $2.02 but was immediately beaten back down, breaking below $2.00 and $1.95, hitting a low of $1.855. It now can't even hold $1.90 or the 100-hour moving average. A bearish trendline has formed on the hourly chart, with resistance pressing down at $1.980.

Key levels for a rebound are: $1.90→$1.92→$1.95. Only by stabilizing above $1.92 is there hope to charge towards $1.98 and $2.05. If it can't break above $1.90, watch the support level at $1.855 closely. A break below that targets $1.82 and $1.765. MACD is accelerating in the bearish zone, RSI is below 50, short-term bias remains bearish.Free group access +Q:3260353596

? RATS: 3 Consecutive Green Candles, Strong Rise! Buy Opportunity Around 0.000035

Contrary to the major coins, RATS has been strengthening against the trend recently, with 3 consecutive green daily candles and a W-bottom pattern forming. MACD is above the zero axis, and momentum is increasing. It's highly likely to fill the upper wick next and challenge the resistance around $0.00005.

Trading suggestion: On a short-term pullback to around $0.000035, those who like trading swings can buy spot with a small position. Take profit near $0.00005. Good risk-reward ratio~Free group access +Q:3260353596

⚠️ MERL: Hard Pump of 17% Luring Bulls! Short on Rallies at 0.46-0.48

MERL's move is too obvious – a 17% pump in 24 hours to $0.48, now struggling around $0.46-$0.47. This is purely the whales pumping in a low liquidity window to trap bulls.

I'm bearish! The likely script is "expected selling pressure → slow grinding bottom → panic dump". I suggest shorting on rallies near $0.46-$0.48 directly. Don't wait for the whales to paint a big green candle to lure the last batch of bulls. Short-term target first at $0.4, a drop to $0.35 is also possible.Free group access +Q:3260353596

? ASTER: Wicked Down to 0.765 and Recovered! Wait for Buying Opportunity

ASTER wicked down to $0.765 and immediately recovered,正好踩在 0.618 Fib level (though opening wicks have limited reference value). It now looks like it might be forming a falling wedge. Need to observe if the base is stable.

Those not in yet, don't rush. No need to chase the high. Wait to buy near the bottom before acting. Adjust strategy随时 as needed to avoid getting trapped by wicks.

? FOLKS: Pump then Grind Down! Low Leverage Long-term Short Opportunity

FOLKS is truly "heaven one moment, hell the next". After a sharp pump, it started grinding down relentlessly. Many new contract coins play this trick.

Trading suggestion: After the top appears, you can go short with low leverage for the long term. If you can hold, the returns could be high! Once this grinding downtrend forms, it's hard to reverse短期内. Don't worry about missing out.Free group access +Q:3260353596

Summary: ETH, XRP are short-term bearish, watch key support levels and don't blindly buy the dip; RATS can be bought on pullbacks, MERL is a suggested short, ASTER watch and wait, FOLKS suitable for low leverage long shorts. The crypto space is severely fragmented right now. Don't be greedy, focus on 1-2 targets~

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Related Questions

QWhat are the key resistance levels for ETH to watch for a potential rebound according to the article?

AThe key resistance levels for ETH are $2980 (first level), $3050 (50% retracement of the previous decline), and $3080. A break above $3080 could push the price toward $3120 and $3175.

QWhy does the article suggest a short opportunity for MERL around $0.46-$0.48?

AThe article suggests shorting MERL because it believes the 17% pump to $0.48 was a low-liquidity manipulation by whales to lure in buyers, and it expects a pattern of 'expected selling pressure → slow grinding bottom → panic sell-off' to follow.

QWhat pattern did RATS form that indicates a potential rise to $0.00005?

ARATS formed a 'W-bottom' pattern on the daily chart and showed three consecutive bullish candles, with the MACD moving above the zero axis, indicating strong momentum and a potential rise to the $0.00005 resistance level.

QWhat is the critical support level for XRP that, if broken, could lead to further decline?

AThe critical support level for XRP is $1.855. If this level is broken, the price could fall further toward $1.82 and then $1.765.

QWhat trading strategy does the article recommend for FOLKS after its pump and subsequent decline?

AThe article recommends a low-leverage, long-term short position for FOLKS after its pump, as it believes the consistent downtrend is unlikely to reverse quickly, making it a high-potential profit opportunity for patient traders.

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4.5k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2026.06.02

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