25 亿美元 FDV 的冷思考:Monad 公募文件揭开「透明但克制」的真面目

marsbitPublished on 2025-11-11Last updated on 2025-11-11

随着 Monad(MON)代币登陆 Coinbase 公开销售进入倒计时,其发布的 18 页披露文件成为市场焦点。

这份文件由 Monad 基金会子公司 MF Services (BVI), Ltd. 提供,全面揭示了 Monad 的全貌,从项目架构到融资情况,从代币分配到销售规则,再到透明的做市商信息以及安全风险提示,为投资者提供了做出知情决策所必需的关键信息,也体现了项目方透明运营的态度。

除了已被媒体广泛引用的「25 亿美元 FDV」、「单价 0.025 美元」、「7.5% 的公开销售比例」等关键数据外,这份文件还系统披露了法律价格、代币释放节奏、做市安排与风险提示等大量不容忽视的细节。

尤为值得关注的是,文档用相当大的篇幅系统地列举了与代币销售、Monad 基金会、MON 代币、Monad 项目及其底层技术相关的多维度风险。对于有意参与 MONAD 代币投资的用户而言,建议深入研读这份文档,作出理性投资选择。

法律架构

  • Monad 基金会通过其子公司 MF Services (BVI) Ltd. 在 Coinbase 上公开销售。
  • MF Services (BVI) Ltd. 是 Monad 基金会在英属维京群岛注册的全资子公司,是本次代币销售的卖方。
  • Monad 基金会是 MF Services (BVI) 的唯一董事。

核心开发实体与 2.62 亿美元融资细节

  • Monad 的核心贡献方为 Monad 基金会和 Category Labs, Inc.(前身为 Monad Labs, Inc.)。
  • Monad 基金会是一家开曼群岛基金会公司,致力于通过提供社区参与、业务拓展、开发者及用户教育、营销服务等一系列服务,支持 Monad 网络的开发、去中心化、安全保障及推广应用。Category Labs 总部位于纽约,为 Monad 客户端提供核心开发服务。
  • Monad 的三位联合创始人分别是 James Hunsaker(Category Labs 的首席执行官)、Keone Hon 和 Eunice Giarta。后面两位是 Monad 基金会 co-GM。
  • Monad 基金会由董事会监督,三位董事为:Petrus Basson、Keone Hon、Marc Piano。
  • 融资时间线:
  1. Pre-Seed:2022 年 6-12 月筹集 1960 万美元;
  2. 种子轮:2024 年 1-3 月筹集 2260 万美元;
  3. A 轮:2024 年 3-8 月筹集 2.205 亿美元;
  • 2024 年 Monad 基金会收到 Category Labs 提供的 9000 万美元捐赠,用于覆盖 2024-2026 年运营开支。此捐赠是 Monad Labs 各轮融资所获 2.62 亿美元资金的一部分。

销售条款关键信息

  • 代币销售时间: 2025 年 11 月 17 日 22:00 至 11 月 23 日 10:00。
  • 代币销售比例:最多 75 亿枚 MON(占初始总供应量 7.5%)。
  • 销售价格:每枚 MON 0.025 美元。若全部销售,将筹集 1.875 亿美元。
  • 最小认购 100 美元,最大 10 万美元(Coinbase One 会员可根据平台条款享有更高额度)。
  • FDV:25 亿美元
  • 采用「从底向上」超额认购分配:为确保广泛分配并防止大户垄断,文件披露了名为「从底部向上填充」的机制。若超募,将采用自下而上填充分配机制来尽可能实现销售参与者的广泛分配,同时限制大额购买者的资产集中度。
  • 示例说明:若在 1000 个代币的销售中:三位用户(小额 / 中额 / 高额)分别申请 100/500/1000 枚,首轮分配中,每人获得 100 枚(剩余 700 枚,低额度用户完全满足)。第二轮分配中,剩余 700 枚由中 / 高用户均分,各得 350 枚。最终分配:小额分配 100 枚,中额分配 450 枚,高额分配 450 枚。

代币分配和释放情况

MON 代币经济模型如下图所示:

 Category Labs

下图展示了预期的代币释放情况:

 Category Labs

总体而言,Monad 主网公开启动首日,约 494 亿枚 MON 代币(占 49.4%)处于未锁定状态。其中,Monad 主网公开启动时,预计约有 108 亿枚 MON 代币(占初始总供应量的 10.8%)通过公开销售和空投分配进入公开流通,约 385 亿枚 MON 代币(占 38.5%)将分配给生态系统发展,这些代币虽处于未锁定状态,但会由 Monad 基金会管理,会在未来几年内在战略层面提供赠款或激励,并根据基金会的验证者委托计划进行委托。

而所有投资方、团队成员以及 Category Labs 财库的代币,在 Monad 主网公开启动首日均处于锁定状态,并遵循明确的解锁和释放时间表。这些代币将至少锁定一年。初始代币供应中所有锁定的代币,预计将在 Monad 主网公开启动四周年(2029 年第四季度)前完全解锁。锁定的代币无法进行质押。

值得一提的是,文件显示,未来,在启动网络后,Monad 基金会可能会继续空投,以激励 Monad 网络及生态系统内应用和协议的探索与使用。

未来供应:每年 2% 通胀 + 手续费通缩

  • 通胀:每个区块新生成 25 MON 作为验证者 / 质押者奖励,年化通胀约 20 亿枚(为初始总供应量的 2%),旨在激励网络参与者,确保网络安全。
  • 通缩:基础交易费(Base Fee)全部销毁。这一机制通过减少流通供应量来抵消部分通胀压力。

Monad 做市和流动性安排

为确保代币上市后具备良好的流动性,以及实现公开透明,MF Services (BVI) Ltd. 详细披露了做市商合作与流动性支持方案。

MF Services (BVI) Ltd. 已与 CyantArb、Auros、Galaxy、GSR、Wintermute 五家做市商签订贷款协议,累计借出 1.6 亿枚 MON 代币。其中,CyantArb、Auros、Galaxy、GSR 四家的贷款期限为 1 个月(可按月续期);Wintermute 的贷款期限为 1 年。同时,项目引入第三方机构 Coinwatch 对借出代币的使用情况进行监控,确保资金用于提升市场流动性,而非违规操作。

 Category Labs

除此之外,MF Services (BVI) 还可能部署初始 MON 代币供应量的最多 0.2% 作为 DEX 池的初始流动性。

如何看待 Monad 做市安排?

公开透明

在 Web3 领域,做市安排的透明度与合理性一直是市场关注的核心议题,传统项目常因做市商信息不公开引发投资者信任危机。而 Monad 在 Coinbase ICO 中披露的做市细节,以透明为核心,打破了行业惯例。

除此之外,由 Coinwatch 监控将最大程度确保确保贷款的代币真实用于做市,表明项目对规范运营的重视。

结构设计的谨慎性

4 家做市商的贷款为 1 个月期限、按月续约制,仅 Wintermute 提供 1 年期承诺。这种结构体现了 Monad 的谨慎态度:

  • 灵活性:短期合约允许项目根据市场情况灵活调整做市安排,如果某家做市商表现不佳,可在月底不续约。
  • 风险对冲:Wintermute 的 1 年期承诺为市场流动性提供了稳定的长期基础。

这种搭配显示项目既想保证初期流动性,又不想过度依赖某一做市商或承诺过长期限。

做市贷款规模的克制

相对于 1000 亿总供应量,1.6 亿代币的做市贷款仅占 0.16%。这个比例非常小,原因可能包括:

  • 避免过度市场干预
  • 控制代币稀释
  • 市场化考量:依靠真实交易需求而非过度做市来维持价格稳定。

另外,基金会最多会拿 0.2%(2 亿枚)去做初始 DEX 流动性,进一步印证了这种审慎。

潜在风险点

然而,我们从 Monad 18 页销售文件中可以看出,项目方在「初期价格发现」与「长期去中心化」之间取了一个非常保守、甚至略显谨慎的平衡点。

按照当前 0.0517 美元盘前价格,这些做市借出资金仅价值 827 万美元。相比不少项目动辄 2–3% 的「做市额度」,这可能不足以在面对较大卖压支撑起流动性。

另外,基金会最多拿 0.2%(2 亿枚)去做初始 DEX 流动性,且写明「可能」而非「必须」。这种量级只能保证开盘瞬间不会无量空砸,无法支撑持续深度。同时官方也提示了 DEX 和 CEX 流动性等风险,等于提前免责。

对投资者而言,这意味着 MON 代币在开盘后若没有足够的自然交易深度和有机买盘支撑,价格可能会出现较高波动性。因此,在参与投资时,除了关注项目的基本面和长期愿景外,对市场初期的流动性状况和价格发现机制保持警惕,将是明智之举。

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