TRX看涨势头延续，即将突破 0.40 美元

投研日志Published on 2025-07-30Last updated on 2025-07-30

Abstract

如果 TRX 维持在 0.32 美元至 0.34 美元区间上方，下一个主要阻力位可能在 0.40 美元附近。如果周线收盘价清晰地高于当前水平，则可能为第三季度的进一步上涨打开大门，尤其是在整体市场环境保持有利的情况下。

波场（Tron）继续主导稳定币市场，昨日又增发了价值 10 亿美元的 USDT，使 2025 年波场网络的 USDT 总发行量达到惊人的 230 亿美元。这是自 2021 年周期高峰以来，波场 USDT 供应扩张最为强劲的一年。加上此次增发，波场的 USDT 总供应量现已达到 817 亿美元，进一步巩固了其作为 Tether 发行领先区块链的地位。

历史上，大规模 USDT 增发一直被视为加密货币市场整体上涨的利好信号。这些事件通常发生在流动性增加之前，表明交易员和机构正在为战略部署储备新的资金。由于 USDT 是进入加密货币市场的主要通道，其增发量备受关注，被视为未来需求的指标。

此次增发的时机尤为重要，因为比特币正在历史高点附近盘整，而山寨币的波动性则日益加剧。由于场外资金已准备就绪，许多分析师认为市场可能正处于新一轮扩张阶段的边缘。以史为鉴，Tron最新发行的10亿美元USDT可能标志着数字资产生态系统新一轮资金流入的开始。

Tron发行的10亿美元USDT标志着向金融整合的大胆转变

顶级分析师Darkfost表示，Tron最新发行的10亿美元USDT与以往不同，可能标志着生态系统的一个转折点。与标准USDT发行不同，此次发行的10亿美元USDT尚未上链。根据交易哈希值，这些资金被转移到一个多重签名钱包，在那里处于非活动状态，等待进一步授权。

没有支付任何交易费，这强烈表明这是一个由Tether授权的库存补充型USDT发行，但尚未投入流通。目前，这尚未反映在链上供应指标中，但其背后的意图却具有更深层次的含义。

累计TRC20 USDT发行量 |来源：Darkfost on X

此次铸币厂的成立时机尤为重要。就在几天前，Tron.inc 在纳斯达克上市，孙宇晨确认已向美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 提交了 S-3 文件。该文件包括拟发行总额恰好 10 亿美元的混合证券，与铸币厂的规模相同。这些证券可以采取普通股、优先股或债务工具的形式。

时机和价值的重合表明了一种协同战略：Tron 可能正准备将传统金融工具与稳定币融合，形成一种资本高效、合规的结构。如果属实，这将为加密货币领域开创先河，使 Tron 不仅成为转账区块链，更成为一个完全集成的金融平台。

尽管该铸币厂尚未上线，但它可能是连接传统金融 (TradFi) 和去中心化金融 (DeFi) 的更广阔愿景的第一步——利用稳定币的流动性作为受监管的融资和资本管理工具。对于波场 (Tron) 而言，这可能是其成立以来最重要的进展。

波场 (TRON) 突破走高，周线图显示看涨势头延续

TRX 在周线图上展现出强劲的看涨势头，目前交易价为 0.3476 美元，上一交易日上涨 8.66%。这一走势推动 TRX 创下 2022 年初以来的最高周收盘价，突破局部阻力位，接近周期高点。价格走势反映了始于 2023 年初的结构良好的上涨趋势，受成交量上升和一系列明显的高点和低点抬高的支撑。

波场 (TRON) 测试自 12 月底以来的最高水平 | 来源：TradingView 上的 TRXUSDT 图表

50 周 SMA（0.2330 美元）、100 周 SMA（0.1735 美元）和 200 周 SMA（0.1220 美元）均呈上升趋势，目前远低于当前价格——证实了该趋势的强度和成熟度。 TRX 仍稳固地高于所有主要支撑位，图表上没有立即出现疲软迹象。

如果 TRX 维持在 0.32 美元至 0.34 美元区间上方，下一个主要阻力位可能在 0.40 美元附近。如果周线收盘价清晰地高于当前水平，则可能为第三季度的进一步上涨打开大门，尤其是在整体市场环境保持有利的情况下。

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