【震荡不改方向】TRX短期反复横跳,看涨趋势仍在延续

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-06-13Last updated on 2025-06-13

Abstract

看涨阶段正在进行中,但过去几天的快速回撤可能会重置市场情绪。

  • 本周早些时候,TRON 呈现看涨势头,但在看跌的猛烈冲击下失去了势头。
  • TRX 已进入看涨阶段,但这并不意味着市场过度扩张。
  • TRON [TRX]成功突破了五个月区间高点 0.274 美元。6 月初的一份报告指出,TRON 缺乏动力和购买压力,可能难以突破。

比特币 [BTC] 的走势影响了该山寨币。本周早些时候,BTC 涨至 11 万美元,推动 TRX 上涨至 0.274 美元以上。

随后,BTC 在撰写本文时跌至 103.8 万美元,这意味着 TRX 多头的努力再次失败。

该代币目前在其先前的区间(紫色)内交易。6月10日,CMF读数为+0.08,这表明大量资金流入,购买压力加大。

过去几天的市场整体调整导致 CMF 跌破 0。A/D 指标缺乏强劲趋势,但自那时起确实显示出抛售量的增加。

0.267 美元的局部支撑位可能再次受到考验。TRON 多头能否守住这一需求区域,将取决于未来几天的市场情绪以及比特币能否维持在 10 万美元以上。

TRX 是否即将进入牛市阶段?

分析师Burak Kesmeci在CryptoQuant Insights的一篇文章中指出,夏普比率(可用于识别周期顶部)显示 TRX“仍然便宜”。夏普比率衡量的是风险调整后的回报。

该指标高于40表明市场过热。与此同时,1.00一直是关键点——当夏普比率高于1.00时,通常意味着牛市即将到来。

截至撰写本文时,该指标为 8.36。6 月 7 日,该指标跌破 1,但 6 月 11 日又回升至 1 以上。

因此,这表明可以预期 TRX 价格将呈现看涨走势,但市场并未过度扩张。

自 2024 年初以来,每日活跃地址一直在缓慢上升。尽管在 6 月 6 日和 7 日出现了急剧上升和同样大的重置,但它仍保持着上升趋势。

2025年的这一上升趋势表明采用率和需求均有所增长。新增地址数量一直稳定在20万至25万左右。

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