毕马威高管:比特币哈希率正成为有投资潜力的商品

币界网Published on 2024-08-15Last updated on 2024-08-15

币界网报道:

作者:Kunal Bhasin,CoinDesk;编译:邓通,

比特币的经济设计迫使矿工在每四年进行一次减半压力测试时尽量降低成本。矿工寻求廉价能源,因此采取了两种策略:在与电网相连前和在与发电机直接共置之后。

电网相连模式允许规模经济,因为大规模矿工可以根据他们带入电网的负载大小获得更便宜的能源费率,并参与“需求响应”和辅助服务,这是由这种类型的计算的可中断性质实现的。

共置模式以无谓损失和能源供需不匹配为生,针对间歇性可再生能源(例如太阳能和风能)和基载能源(例如水电、核能、地热能)。电表背后需要垂直整合、合作伙伴关系和合资企业等商业模式,使矿工能够参与能源套利并生成可再生能源证书 (REC)。

哈希率作为一种商品

比特币哈希率是保护比特币网络的计算能力,它正在成为一种具有引人注目的投资潜力的独特商品。它的可替代性、可分割性、耐用性和稀缺性使其成为一种具有吸引力的资产类别。

哈希率为个人提供了投资机会,使他们无需拥有硬件即可参与比特币挖矿。此外,衍生品可以对冲价格波动,为矿工和投资者提供风险管理工具。哈希率的价值与比特币挖矿的需求息息相关,受比特币价格和挖矿盈利能力的影响,但容易受到监管挑战。尽管面临这些挑战,但比特币哈希率作为一种具有独特投资和交易机会的新商品,仍是一个令人信服的案例。随着比特币生态系统的发展,哈希率作为可交易资产的作用和重要性可能会不断增长,从而吸引资本市场的进一步关注和创新。

哈希价格与哈希成本

哈希价格和哈希成本是影响比特币挖矿格局的关键指标。虽然经常混淆,但它们代表了挖矿盈利能力的不同方面。

哈希价格,即每单位哈希算力的价格,反映了挖矿算力的当前市场价值。它的计算方法是将每日挖矿总收入除以网络哈希率。哈希价格越高,矿工的盈利能力就越强。

哈希成本表示生产一单位哈希算力的成本,包括电力、硬件和维护等费用。较低的哈希成本意味着挖矿操作更高效、更有利可图。

哈希价格和哈希成本之间的差异决定了挖矿的盈利能力。当哈希价格超过哈希成本时,矿工可以获得利润。相反,当哈希成本超过哈希价格时,他们就会亏本经营。高哈希价格会吸引更多矿工,从而增加竞争并可能压低哈希价格。相反,低哈希价格可能会打击矿工的积极性,导致网络哈希率下降,并可能推高哈希价格。

ASIC 的可用性也会影响哈希价格和哈希成本之间的关系。这些采矿机和当前的 kW/h 批发电价推动了网络哈希算力,从而增加了挖矿难度。在 ASIC 不易获得的地方,哈希算力变得更有价值,因此哈希价格和哈希成本之间的差额应该会扩大,为矿工创造盈利机会。

了解哈希价格和哈希成本之间的关系对于矿工做出明智的决策至关重要。哈希价格和哈希成本之间的差额也会影响矿工筹集资金的能力。矿工的目标是降低哈希成本以提高盈利能力,从而影响他们的融资能力。哈希价格-哈希成本差距较小,使矿工容易受到比特币价格因素的影响,例如能源成本和挖矿难度。相反,差距较大表明韧性较强。评估贷款风险的贷方将仔细审查这一差距,对寻求资金的低效率矿工施加压力,因为他们倾向于低风险回报。

例如,Runes 是最近发布的一种用于创建不可替代代币的比特币方式,它暂时增加了比特币区块空间需求,导致交易费用增加和确认时间延长。在此期间,哈希价格期货与现货价格呈正价差交易,表明市场未来区块空间需求增加的可能性很高。

这种情况促使比特币矿工出售哈希价格期货,锁定未来收入;事实证明,这一决定是明智的,因为减半后区块空间需求有所降温。现在,与哈希率挂钩的产品的可用性也提供了更多的财务数据点来预测网络事件对区块空间需求和交易费用的影响。

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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