ETH ETF 流量分析:预期净流出会在 2 周内减少,ETH 价格将获更多利好

链捕手Published on 2024-07-31Last updated on 2024-07-31

原文来源:Defi_Maestro X 账号

作者:Defi_Maestro

编译:深潮 TechFlow

 

$ETH ETF 流入看起来相当不错,最新净流出为 $9,790 万($ETHA 流入 $5,860 万尚未在表格中更新)

深潮注:

  • 表格顶部列出了不同的投资机构或产品,包括 Blackrock、Fidelity、Bitwise、21Shares、VanEck、Invesco、Franklin 以及两个 Grayscale 产品。
  • 第二行显示了每个产品的代码,如 ETHA、FETH、ETHW 等。
  • 第三行是各产品的管理费率,从 0.15% 到 2.50% 不等。
  • 第四行表示初始资金或种子资金,数值从 1.1 到 10,255 不等。
  • 接下来是从 7 月 23 日到 7 月 29 日的每日数据,可能代表资金流入或流出情况。
  • 值得注意的是,Grayscale ETHE 产品似乎出现了大量资金外流,几乎每天都是负值,总计 -1,723.5。
  • 相比之下,其他产品如 Blackrock 的 ETHA 和 Fidelity 的 FETH 在这段时间内显示了正向的资金流入。
  • 7 月 29 日(最后一行)被绿色高亮显示,可能表示这是最新的数据或特别需要关注的一天。
  • 总的来说,尽管有些产品出现资金流入,但整体来看,这段时间内似乎出现了净流出,总计为 -498.3。

$ETHE 的流出开始减缓,净流出为 $2.1 亿。

从初始资产管理规模(AUM) $92 亿中,总流出为 19.8%。

当前 $ETHE 的资产持有应接近 $74 亿。

自 $ETH ETF 开始以来,我们目睹了从初始价格 $3490 的 5% 下跌,总净流出为 $4.4 亿。

ETH 对 BTC 的图表似乎已经触底,$ETH 在特朗普关于 BTC 演讲之后从近期的下跌中恢复。

个人想法

鉴于 $ETHE 的初始流出速度快于 $GBTC,我们预计流出将在接下来的两周内开始减缓。

预计 $ETHE 的流出将在初始 $92 亿资产管理规模的 40-50% 附近稳定,约为 $45 亿到 $50 亿。

随着投资者注意到 $ETHE 的流出减缓,可以期待流入开始增加。

预计 ETH 的整体流动性将出现一些正流入,以与 $ETHE 的减缓流出相匹配。

总体感觉现在是设置 $ETH 买入订单的好时机,因为预计在接下来的两周内它会逐渐增强。

重申,这不是财务建议。

我个人将增加更多 $ETH 多头,并密切关注 ETF 流动性。

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