比特币:为什么跌破63800美元可能会给比特币交易者带来麻烦

币界网Published on 2024-07-26Last updated on 2024-07-26

币界网报道:
    最近的市场下跌不是由于Mt.Gox,而是由于ETF批准后的市场情绪。交易员们正在使用过度的杠杆来购买下跌,如果BTC跌至63800美元以下,将有3000万美元的清算池。

在7月25日的亚洲交易时段,整个加密货币市场经历了大幅下跌,最大资产比特币[BTC]跌至64000美元以下。

加密货币交易员似乎正在买入BTC下跌

在整个市场的抛售压力下,一位加密货币分析师在X(以前是推特)上发帖称,degens正在使用大量杠杆购买比特币下跌。

根据X上的帖子,这些交易员在63800美元附近创建了一个3000万美元的巨额清算池。这意味着,如果BTC价格跌至63800美元以下,这3000万美元将被清算。

除了这些交易员,比特币巨鲸似乎也有兴趣买入下跌。最近,一家链上分析公司Lookonchain在X上发布了一篇帖子,称一头聪明的鲸鱼购买了价值1600万美元的244个比特币。

此外,这头鲸鱼总共增加了921 BTC,价值6060万美元,平均价格为65821美元。

分析师和链上分析公司的这些帖子表明,尽管比特币在过去24小时内下跌了3.4%以上,但投资者和交易员对比特币表现出信心。

分析师对近期市场下跌的看法

看到这种持续的抛售压力,CryptoQuant的首席执行官兼创始人Ki Young-Ju在X上发帖称,在Mt.Gox债权人在全球所有时区的还款已经过去之后,加密货币交易所Krakens的比特币现货交易量和交易流量都是正常的。

此外,Young-Ju补充说,市场上的任何价格下跌都是因为市场情绪,而不是因为Mt.Gox。

首席执行官的这篇文章强调,最近的市场下跌可能是由于市场情绪以及现货以太坊ETF批准后鲸鱼和机构对BTC和以太坊(ETH)的持续抛售。

比特币技术分析和即将到来的水平

另一方面,另一位加密货币分析师发表了一篇帖子,分享了BTC反弹的潜力,因为技术指标在BTC小时图上闪烁着买入信号。

根据专家技术分析,BTC看起来仍然看涨,保持63350美元的支撑位,并在4小时的时间框架内继续在200指数移动平均线(EMA)上方移动。

BTC价格高于200 EMA,表明图表上看涨。

此外,另一个技术指标相对强弱指数(RSI)处于超卖状态,这也预示着价格可能复苏。

根据价格走势,如果市场情绪保持不变,BTC未能维持在200 EMA和63350美元的水平之上,那么我们可能会看到大规模的抛售,BTC价格将跌至60300美元的水平。


阅读比特币的[BTC]价格预测2024-25


在63350美元的水平之后,60300美元的水平是BTC在这次未能守住的情况下可能遇到的下一个支撑。

截至撰写本文时,BTC的交易价格接近64200美元,在过去24小时内下跌了3.4%。它也达到了63770美元的盘中低点。此外,交易量增长了10%,表明投资者和交易员的参与度有所提高。

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