【龙虎榜】767万枚BTC在链上成交,轻区块链MINA获追捧

火必研究院Published on 2022-04-07Last updated on 2022-04-07

Abstract

在4月5日和4月6日,BTC链上交易量回升到767万枚和630万枚BTC。

1、大盘走势:获利盘高企,主力异动

在4月5日和4月6日,BTC链上交易量回升到767万枚和630万枚BTC,BTC价格跌幅扩大至120日均线附近,调整力度增加。近期价格回撤提示有主力参与其中,链上数据显著回升,说明主力参与度较高。

形态上,日K线中BTC依然在底部反转形态上方,短线超跌,反转预期不变。

抛压方面,BTC的UTXO收益率可达84.8%,依然远远超过80%。从目前来看,BTC仍然为2021年BTC进入调整状态以后的收益率相对高的阶段。收益率相对80%的年内低位回升,意味着近3个月内投资者低位买入BTC,对价格支撑非常关键。一旦这部分投资者亏损,将推动BTC的UTXO收益率再次跌破80%。

主力持币方面,4月6日BTC持币数量在1000枚BTC以上的巨鲸地址数为2243,短线回撤,但仍然为年内的高位运行,意味着主力接下来或有更多操盘动作。

2、消息面解读:

 美国联邦储备委员会6日公布的3月货币政策会议纪要显示,面对通胀持续高企的局面,美联储官员认为在接下来的例会中可能会有数次50个基点的加息,并可能最早于5月开始以每月至多950亿美元的规模缩减资产负债表。

加息和缩表持续影响金融市场走向,美股3大指数回调,同时原油等商品价格回撤。美元指数回升到99.72的,这是2020年以来首次。紧缩预期提升,BTC短线跟随美股回撤,资金流出压力较大。

3、龙虎榜:

由于主流币多数短线调整,概念币调整预期明显提升。涨幅排名方面,24小时里上涨的币种有9个,USDT、DAI和TUSD、MIM3个稳定币上榜,表明当前行情走势较弱。短线赚钱机会以低吸买入为主,关注超跌币种的反弹机会。

涨幅居前的币种里,POS概念的公链MINA涨幅较大,NFT概念ENJ、波卡试验网KSM代币等涨幅居前。

MINA

3月18,Mina完成9200万美元融资,FTX Ventures和三箭资本领投。随后的3月24日,MINA宣布上线Coinbase。重磅的利好让MINA的价格也随之上涨,最近7天涨幅超过26.9%,一个月内累计涨幅达106%。

技术方面,Mina Protocol 是一个使用 zk-SNARK(零知识简洁无交互证明,一种零知识证明方案)技术的轻量级公链。

目前已上线主网,其主要亮点在于其区块大小可以控制在 22 KB,能够保证良好的可访问性,从而让更多用户参与链上数据的验证。

在架构千篇一律的公链中,区块大小仅为22KB的Mina脱颖而出。而由Mina所带来的元创新不仅能完美地解决“区块链不可能三角”的问题,而且可以为Defi甚至Defi以外的领域带去更多用例。

数据方面,从2021年到2022年4月,MINA分类账户增长到了10万级别以上,显示出较为强劲的增长趋势。

周涨幅方面,FXS、MINA和CVX涨幅居前。

FXS

每种稳定币之间的风险状况和使用情况都差别巨大。但即便如此,对于FRAX仍将是未来DeFi协议的一项基准这件事,我们还是很乐观的,因为它有三大杀手级应用——类似Curve的财产,挂钩机制、AMO。

2021年3月,Frax v2公布了其迄今为止最好的创新,算法市场操作(AMO)。同时,FRAX挂钩机制使其价格非常稳定等,使得FXS成为比较好的算法稳定币。

Frax协议实现了双代币系统:稳定币FRAX和协议治理代币FXS。

2021年第四季度,随着Frax v2的发布,FRAX获得了大规模采用及整个DeFi系统的联动。截至1月25日,Frax项目资金池通过该团队在2021年第四季度早期推出的AMO(算法做市程序), 平均每天赚取50万美元的收入(年化约1.8亿美元)。在同一时期,FRAX的供应量从不足5亿美元攀升至惊人的26亿美元。

价格方面,FXS跟随Terra算法稳定币的平台代币LUNA反弹上涨,24小时上涨达30.2%,波段放量上涨接近1倍。锁仓方面,FXS锁仓23亿美元,其中以太坊链上锁仓达到22亿美元。

跌幅榜

GameFI概念币HEART、以太坊二层网络CELO和Move to Earn概念STEPN跌幅居前。由于整体市场调整空间增加,热点币种多数回撤,关注短线持币风险。

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