# USD的所有文章

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The Artificial Intelligence Economy Could Accelerate the Establishment of Dominance for Dollar-Pegged Stablecoins

Economists from the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) suggest that the winner in the artificial intelligence (AI) race may not be the country developing the most powerful AI model, but the one whose currency underpins these models and their infrastructure. Their thesis outlines a potential cycle where AI-related costs—such as energy for data centers, infrastructure, and usage fees—are denominated in U.S. dollars. As AI grows into a massive industry, this could significantly increase global demand for U.S. dollar liquidity (first channel of dollar dominance). A second channel involves the currency used for payments between AI agents, expected to become widespread in logistics, inventory, and treasury management. Dollar-pegged stablecoins could provide the programmable settlements required for such agent commerce. These two channels may converge, creating a self-reinforcing "dollar loop" where AI computational payments are settled in stablecoins. Stablecoins could gain an early advantage over alternatives like CBDCs due to existing network effects, further entrenching dollar dominance. This would also boost demand for U.S. Treasury bonds used as collateral for stablecoin reserves. The report warns ASEAN+3 nations of over-reliance on this dollar loop and suggests developing regional data centers and tokenized money based on local currencies to participate in the AI economy without reinforcing dollar dependency.

cryptonews.ru07/31 09:24

The Artificial Intelligence Economy Could Accelerate the Establishment of Dominance for Dollar-Pegged Stablecoins

cryptonews.ru07/31 09:24

Bitcoin Rebounds to $64k as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Plummet?

Bitcoin rebounded strongly this week, climbing back above $60,000 and briefly touching $64,000. This recovery followed a significant drop after the U.S. presidential election, with the market now closely watching Federal Reserve policy signals. The key trigger was a weaker-than-expected June U.S. jobs report, showing only 57,000 new jobs versus an expected 115,000. While the unemployment rate fell, analysts noted concerning details like declining labor force participation. However, wage growth accelerated to 3.5% year-over-year, sustaining inflation concerns. Market focus has shifted to the upcoming July Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Analysts expect a monthly decline in overall prices, partly due to falling gasoline costs. This has led traders to reduce bets on further Fed rate hikes this year, with markets now pricing in a high probability of rates holding steady at the July meeting. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's recent comments about easing inflation risks have further supported this dovish shift. The anticipation of lower borrowing costs and a weaker dollar is seen as supportive for risk-sensitive assets like Bitcoin. Some investors are positioning for a potential Fed policy pivot to easing later this year, which could benefit "devaluation trades" including cryptocurrencies. Looking ahead, Bitcoin's price trajectory remains highly sensitive to U.S. economic data—particularly jobs and inflation reports—and evolving Fed policy expectations. Other critical factors include institutional ETF flows and geopolitical developments. Analysts suggest that if these factors improve, the recent sell-off could be seen as a buying opportunity; otherwise, high volatility may persist until a solid price floor is established.

marsbit07/07 02:16

Bitcoin Rebounds to $64k as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Plummet?

marsbit07/07 02:16

Stablecoins Becoming the Next Policy Challenge for the Fed's Walsh Version

Fed Governor Christopher Waller's speech at the June 22 conference on the U.S. dollar's international role signifies a notable policy shift: stablecoins like USDT and USDC are now being formally considered as potential channels for transmitting U.S. dollar liquidity globally. With their combined market cap surpassing $250 billion and high transaction volumes, these digital assets are moving from the periphery of crypto policy to the core of monetary system research. The key concern for policymakers is how stablecoin flows interact with traditional dollar infrastructure. Their growth could affect bank deposits, demand for short-term Treasury securities (like T-bills), and global access to dollars, depending on whether demand originates overseas or substitutes for domestic bank balances. Issuers' reserve management—holding assets in banks, money market funds, or Treasuries—links stablecoin activity directly to these core markets. The Fed's research agenda now examines whether stablecoins, by combining payment and balance-holding functions on digital rails, could complicate monetary policy implementation or transmit liquidity stress to banks. While current Treasury holdings by issuers are under 1% of the total market, their concentrated demand could marginally impact yields, especially during periods of stress. Consequently, stablecoins are evolving from mere crypto trading tools into a private-layer dollar transmission system with public policy implications, prompting closer regulatory scrutiny of their reserve robustness, redemption mechanisms, and systemic integration.

marsbit06/26 04:50

Stablecoins Becoming the Next Policy Challenge for the Fed's Walsh Version

marsbit06/26 04:50

Warsh Deals a Heavy Blow to the 'Dollar Devaluation Trade'! Gold Crashes, Bitcoin Slumps, How Long Can the Chip Frenzy Hold?

The "dollar devaluation trade" that dominated Wall Street this year is rapidly unraveling, driven by a hawkish pivot from Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh and a surging U.S. dollar. This double pressure has triggered a sharp sell-off in non-yielding assets. Gold broke below $4,000 an ounce, silver tumbled below $60, and Bitcoin fell under $60,000, with all retreating significantly from their earlier 2025 peaks. The dollar index hit a 14-month high. Warsh's emphasis on price stability has solidified market expectations for aggressive rate hikes, increasing the opportunity cost of holding assets like precious metals. Concurrently, massive fund flows are rotating out of metals and cryptocurrencies into the semiconductor sector, providing a temporary boost to stocks like Micron and SK Hynix. However, analysts warn this chip rally shows signs of a speculative top. Extreme volatility, with semiconductor stocks seeing trillion-dollar swings, is historically characteristic of major market turning points. Factors like month-end rebalancing, a flood of new equity issuance, and insider selling further signal potential exhaustion. While Micron's strong earnings briefly stemmed selling, it may offer a favorable exit point for remaining chip bulls. The sustainability of the semiconductor frenzy is now in serious doubt as the broader market reprices assets around a stronger dollar and tighter monetary policy.

华尔街日报06/25 05:49

Warsh Deals a Heavy Blow to the 'Dollar Devaluation Trade'! Gold Crashes, Bitcoin Slumps, How Long Can the Chip Frenzy Hold?

华尔街日报06/25 05:49

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