# Technical Analysis的所有文章

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Fairlead Strategies: Bitcoin May Have Reached Its Major Low

Fairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton suggests Bitcoin may have reached its primary low, as long-term technical indicators show extreme oversold conditions that historically precede major trend reversals. She notes improving long-term momentum despite ongoing price pressure, using support levels, Fibonacci retracements, and Ichimoku Cloud analysis to identify potential demand zones. Stockton extends this view to Ethereum, arguing both assets could be simultaneously bottoming, which would signal a broader market cycle turn rather than a short-lived bounce. This comes amidst a challenging August for Bitcoin, trading below key moving averages amid regulatory uncertainty and persistent fear in market sentiment. While the long-term outlook appears constructive, Stockton cautions that converting these signals into a sustained uptrend may take weeks or months, with short-term volatility likely to continue.

cryptonews.ru13 小時前

Fairlead Strategies: Bitcoin May Have Reached Its Major Low

cryptonews.ru13 小時前

Gold Plunges 26%, No Queues for Gold Bars, Yet Central Banks Quietly Return to Buying

Gold Surges After 26% Drop as Central Banks Stealthily Return to Buying Following a significant 26% correction from its February 2026 peak of $5,300, gold has recently staged a sharp breakout. This rally is attributed to a key shift: major central banks, having paused purchases in Q1, have quietly resumed buying, providing fundamental support. The market backdrop is favorable. Retail speculative frenzy, evident in early-year queues at gold shops, has dissipated as attention turned to equities like semiconductor stocks. This has left sentiment cool and positioning light. Technically, the breakout is robust, with gold reclaiming its crucial 50-day and 200-day moving averages and breaking a clear downtrend line. The weekly RSI also exited near-oversold territory, a historically reliable bullish signal. Key macro drivers reinforcing the long-term bullish case include global de-dollarization trends post-Russia sanctions and concerns over U.S. debt sustainability. While a short-term pullback is possible (noted by a Bollinger Band sell signal), the article views the current setup as an asymmetric opportunity. The suggested strategy is to accumulate on dips toward the $4,341-$4,191 support zone, with a failure level below $4,170.

marsbit08/13 08:08

Gold Plunges 26%, No Queues for Gold Bars, Yet Central Banks Quietly Return to Buying

marsbit08/13 08:08

Analysts Warn: 'Bitcoin is Repeating Historical Patterns of the Final Stages of a Bear Market!' Here are the Details

Analysts warn that Bitcoin is showing patterns reminiscent of the final stages of past bear markets. According to cryptoanalyst Murphy, Bitcoin has struggled for the past two months to sustain a breakout above the key technical resistance level of $67,900. This level represents the average acquisition cost for investors who have held Bitcoin for less than three months, and the inability to break above it suggests continued selling pressure from short-term holders. Murphy notes that during the late phases of a bear market, activity from short-term investors typically diminishes, leading to a flattening of the cost curve. A similar pattern is being observed now, as Bitcoin's prolonged consolidation within a range has kept investor cost changes limited. The analyst draws parallels to the final stages of the 2018 and 2022 bear markets, where prices exhibited comparable behavior for about three months before major events triggered high volatility—the Bitcoin Cash hash war in 2018 and the FTX collapse in 2022. Murphy suggests the current outlook indicates a similar phase of uncertainty, likely to persist until Bitcoin can decisively break its critical resistance. The market is in a sensitive period where volatility could spike rapidly in either direction due to significant external events. Investors are advised to monitor both macroeconomic developments and industry-specific risks closely.

cryptonews.ru08/13 08:06

Analysts Warn: 'Bitcoin is Repeating Historical Patterns of the Final Stages of a Bear Market!' Here are the Details

cryptonews.ru08/13 08:06

On August 1, an indicator predicting a stock market crash was triggered

A rare stock market crash signal, known as the Hindenburg Omen, has been triggered on the S&P 500. This technical indicator, designed to detect underlying market weakness during rising prices, has activated 13 times in the past three months. It flags periods where a high number of stocks simultaneously reach new 52-week highs and lows while the overall market trend remains upward, suggesting hidden fragmentation. Historical analysis shows only three previous instances of such a high concentration of signals within three months on the S&P 500. The first, in January 1980, preceded a 13.4% decline with a max drawdown of 14.8%. The second, in September 2018, was followed by a maximum drawdown of 13.1%. The latest signal was recorded on August 1, 2026. While the sample size is small, these periods have historically been associated with increased volatility and significant market pullbacks, though the indicator has a history of false positives. The current market outlook is mixed. The S&P 500 continues to set new highs in 2026, with some analysts forecasting a record above 8000 by year-end, fueled by strong tech earnings. However, market concentration remains extreme, heavily weighted towards technology and communication services sectors.

cryptonews.ru08/12 20:46

On August 1, an indicator predicting a stock market crash was triggered

cryptonews.ru08/12 20:46

Katie Stockton's Bitcoin Forecast! 'Downtrend Has Reached Exhaustion Point'

Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies and a Chartered Market Technician (CMT), discussed Bitcoin's technical outlook. She states that BTC's long-term downtrend has reached an exhaustion point, with strong signals suggesting a durable market bottom is forming. Stockton's analysis of multi-timeframe indicators shows Bitcoin has reached clear oversold conditions on monthly charts. She notes an upward move in long-term momentum oscillators and emphasizes the psychological importance of price action near previously anticipated support levels. This situation, she argues, increases Bitcoin's chances of forming a long-term, sustainable bottom compared to other assets like gold. Addressing macro trends, Stockton notes the correlation between gold and Bitcoin is cyclical and not a direct trading signal. While gold's recovery may be an interim bounce, she highlights that Bitcoin is technically showing signs of emerging from a much deeper oversold zone.

cryptonews.ru08/11 21:01

Katie Stockton's Bitcoin Forecast! 'Downtrend Has Reached Exhaustion Point'

cryptonews.ru08/11 21:01

Chainlink Price Forecast: Standard Chartered Sets $200 Target for LINK, Oracles Secure $33.43 Trillion

Chainlink (LINK) price is testing a key descending trend line at $8.41, with a close above the 100-day EMA at $8.51 signaling a potential technical breakout. Standard Chartered initiated coverage with a long-term $200 price target by 2030, citing projected growth in tokenized assets and DeFi, and set nearer-term targets of $13 by end-2026, $41 (2027), $82 (2028), and $133 (2029). The bank's thesis hinges on LINK capturing fees from data feeds and cross-chain transfers as major institutions like Swift and JPMorgan adopt its services. Fundamentally, Chainlink oracles have secured over $33.43 trillion in total transaction value, dominating the oracle market on three of the top four blockchains (Ethereum, BNB Chain, Base). Its Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) volume also saw significant quarterly growth. Key technical levels are identified: resistance at $8.51 (100-day EMA) and $9.55 (200-day EMA), with support at $8.27 (20-day EMA) and the SuperTrend at $7.80. The bullish scenario targets a move to $9.55, while a bearish breakdown could see a test of the $7.80 support. The conclusion emphasizes that while fundamentals are strong, a daily close above $8.51 is needed to confirm a breakout.

cryptonews.ru08/11 10:33

Chainlink Price Forecast: Standard Chartered Sets $200 Target for LINK, Oracles Secure $33.43 Trillion

cryptonews.ru08/11 10:33

XRP Price Forecast: Can the Rarest Monthly XRP Buy Signal Overcome Declining ETF Flows?

XRP Price Forecast: Can a Rare Buy Signal Overcome Declining ETF Flows? Analyst Ali Charts highlights a rare Tom Demark Sequential buy signal on the monthly XRP chart, which previously preceded massive rallies of 1,074% in 2020 and 973% in 2022. Currently, XRP is consolidating near the lower Bollinger Band at $1.01, with immediate resistance at the 20-day EMA of $1.0628. A monthly close above the key $1.06 level, where nearly 3 billion XRP changed hands, could pave the way for a bullish move toward $1.35 and then $1.64. On-chain data shows whales have accumulated over 380 million XRP in the past week, signaling confidence. However, XRP spot ETF inflows have slowed dramatically, hitting a yearly low of just $1.01 million for the week ending August 7th. In derivatives, long positions are absorbing most of the liquidation pain, though top traders remain net long. The bullish case requires holding $1.01 and a monthly close above $1.06 to validate the Demark signal. The bearish risk is a break below the psychological $1.00 level, which would invalidate the setup. The outcome hinges on whether the rare technical signal and whale accumulation can overcome the clear weakening in institutional ETF demand.

cryptonews.ru08/10 20:15

XRP Price Forecast: Can the Rarest Monthly XRP Buy Signal Overcome Declining ETF Flows?

cryptonews.ru08/10 20:15

Expert Predicts Bitcoin Could Reach $70K by Mid-August

Bitcoin continues its recovery from recent declines and could test the $70,000 mark soon, though a full return to sustained growth is not yet assured, according to Bitbanker's Director of Strategic Communications, Kirill Komalenkov. As of midday August 10, Bitcoin was trading around $65,200, having been range-bound between $63,000 and $66,000 for several weeks after a drop to $57,800. Komalenkov identified the $64,000-$67,500 range as the immediate key zone. A break below $64,000 could lead to a decline toward $62,000-$63,000, while a confident move above $67,500 could target $68,000-$70,000. The $68,000-$70,000 zone remains a major technical resistance; reaching it could trigger profit-taking and a sharp correction. Komalenkov's baseline scenario for mid-August is moderately positive, expecting a test of $67,000-$70,000, but views the current uptick as a recovery, not confirmation of a new bull cycle. A decisive break above $70,000 would be a key signal to reconsider expectations and potentially end the bearish scenario. The summary also notes a recent Russian regulatory development allowing non-qualified investors to buy Bitcoin, Ether, and major stablecoins, with an annual limit of 300,000 rubles per intermediary.

cryptonews.ru08/10 20:06

Expert Predicts Bitcoin Could Reach $70K by Mid-August

cryptonews.ru08/10 20:06

Прогноз цены Cardano: Grayscale отказывается от плана Cardano ETF, пока ADA борется с $0.20

Cardano (ADA) faces renewed pressure as Grayscale withdraws its planned Cardano ETF filing, eliminating a potential near-term catalyst. ADA struggles to break above the psychological $0.20 resistance, trading near $0.1985 but holding above key four-hour EMAs. The technical structure remains cautiously bullish, but a break below $0.1926 could target $0.1893 and $0.1850. Market sentiment shows caution with declining open interest in derivatives (down to ~$472 million) and mixed, low spot flows, indicating reduced speculative participation. Key resistance levels are at $0.2000 and $0.2115, with $0.1975 and $0.1926 serving as immediate support. The price outlook hinges on ADA's ability to hold support and gather momentum for a sustained move above $0.20, while a breakdown could weaken the bullish structure.

cryptonews.ru08/10 19:57

Прогноз цены Cardano: Grayscale отказывается от плана Cardano ETF, пока ADA борется с $0.20

cryptonews.ru08/10 19:57

Прогноз цены биткоина: Даёт ли задержка CLARITY Act учреждениям время загрузиться до $73,000

**Bitcoin Price Forecast: Technical Consolidation Amidst Institutional Catalysts** Bitcoin (BTC) has broken out above a cup-and-handle pattern near $65,000 and is now consolidating in the $64,000-$65,500 range, a typical post-breakout behavior. Key support lies at the 20-day and 50-day EMAs ($64,336 and $64,649), while major resistance is seen at the 100-day EMA ($66,825), the 200-day EMA ($72,195), and a measured move target of $73,000. Derivatives data shows increased activity, with options volume surging 65.88% and short liquidations dominating, indicating underlying pressure on bearish bets. Top traders maintain a solid net-long position. Fundamental analysis centers on two catalysts. Analyst Ash Crypto compares the delay of the CLARITY Act to BlackRock's 2022-2024 ETF playbook, suggesting institutions may use the regulatory postponement to accumulate at lower prices before potential massive capital inflows. Separately, Michael Saylor's recent hint could signal MicroStrategy may resume its Bitcoin purchasing program. An independent analyst notes Bitcoin concentration has risen to 14.8%, signaling increased volatility risk. In the current context of an uptrend, this is viewed more as a volatility warning than a bearish signal. **Bullish Case (Target: $73,000):** Holds consolidation above key EMAs, institutional accumulation narrative gains traction, and short squeezes propel price toward resistance levels. **Bearish Case (Risk Level: $62,000):** Breakout structure fails if price closes below the 50-day EMA ($64,649), potentially triggering a volatile move down to test the $62,000 handle support, with a deeper fall to $55,000 possible.

cryptonews.ru08/10 11:15

Прогноз цены биткоина: Даёт ли задержка CLARITY Act учреждениям время загрузиться до $73,000