# RMB的所有文章

在 HTX 新聞中心流覽與「RMB」相關的最新資訊與深度分析。潘蓋市場趨勢、專案動態、技術進展及監管政策，提供權威的加密行業洞察。

MVC Market View Express (3.9-3.15)

Recent tensions in the Middle East have heightened market sensitivity to geopolitical risks, particularly concerning Iran. The assessment is that the U.S. is unlikely to deploy ground troops, while Iran may use external pressure to legitimize internal political restructuring. A 20% rise in oil prices could trigger a U.S. policy response, keeping the situation broadly manageable. Geopolitical premiums will continue to influence market sentiment until oil falls below $100 per barrel. Long-term trends, especially in commodities and precious metals, remain upward, with new capital being deployed opportunistically on dips. Three key themes are emphasized: 1. Commodities and Resources: Geopolitical risks and the restructuring of the credit system support elevated gold prices. Exposure to gold mining equities is being increased. Copper is viewed as a medium- to long-term allocation, benefiting from future liquidity expansion. 2. Digital Assets: Bitcoin has recently outperformed equities but lacks a clear trend reversal signal. A cautious stance is maintained, prioritizing drawdown control while awaiting confirmation of a turning point in U.S. dollar liquidity. 3. AI and Technology: Current valuations of AI leaders appear full, with limited short-term upside consensus. Future performance will heavily depend on changes in global liquidity conditions. Overall, the strategy remains centered on the themes of “traditional credit system restructuring” and “East-facing allocation,” with a focus on RMB-denominated resource assets to balance certainty and upside potential.

marsbit03/09 11:14

MVC Market View Express (3.9-3.15)

marsbit03/09 11:14

The Door to Offshore Stablecoins Quietly Closes Amid the Vision of RMB Internationalization

China's recent regulatory crackdown has effectively closed the door on offshore issuance of yuan-pegged stablecoins, dealing a significant blow to Hong Kong’s ambitions to become a digital asset hub. The new rules, announced on February 7, explicitly prohibit domestic institutions from issuing digital tokens overseas without approval, citing concerns over monetary sovereignty. This move dashes earlier market expectations of a policy thaw in China’s stance toward digital assets, particularly after PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng’s earlier comments about the yuan challenging dollar dominance. Industry observers note that the tightening was foreshadowed as early as August 2024, when Chinese authorities began restricting stablecoin-related research and promotional events. The latest policy removes any ambiguity around private yuan stablecoin issuance and reinforces capital control priorities. As a result, firms that had planned to apply for stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong—including Ant Group and JD.com—are now expected to focus solely on Hong Kong dollar-pegged stablecoins, if they proceed at all. Market data reflects the dampening effect: open interest in Bitcoin perpetual futures has fallen roughly 50% since October, and investors have withdrawn approximately $3.3 billion from U.S. Ethereum ETFs since last fall. The regulatory shift underscores the fundamental tension between China’s capital controls and the borderless nature of crypto innovation, forcing industry players to consolidate around more permissible areas like stablecoin infrastructure and prediction markets.

比推02/12 14:09

The Door to Offshore Stablecoins Quietly Closes Amid the Vision of RMB Internationalization

比推02/12 14:09

Bloomberg: The Recovery Is Just an Illusion, China's Crypto Regulation Enters a Deep Winter

Bloomberg reports that China's cryptocurrency regulatory environment has entered a "deep winter," despite earlier speculation of a potential thaw. Last year, optimism grew after the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) suggested the yuan could challenge the U.S. dollar's dominance. However, on February 7, China tightened restrictions, banning domestic entities from issuing digital tokens overseas and prohibiting unauthorized offshore issuance of yuan-pegged stablecoins, citing risks to monetary sovereignty. This move is a significant setback for Hong Kong, which has been striving to become a digital asset hub. The PBOC’s stance effectively ends hopes for offshore yuan-backed stablecoins, even in Hong Kong. Companies like Ant Group and JD.com had reportedly considered stablecoin plans but halted them following Beijing's intervention. Industry experts note that the restrictions clarify regulatory red lines but also highlight fundamental incompatibilities between capital controls and stablecoin freedom. Market sentiment remains weak, with Bitcoin perpetual open interest down roughly 50% from its October peak. Meanwhile, investors have withdrawn approximately $3.3 billion from U.S. Ethereum spot ETFs since October, reflecting broader caution. Crypto-native venture capital is shifting focus toward areas like stablecoin infrastructure and prediction markets, as other sectors struggle to attract attention.

marsbit02/11 12:12

Bloomberg: The Recovery Is Just an Illusion, China's Crypto Regulation Enters a Deep Winter

marsbit02/11 12:12

Renminbi Exchange Rate Returns to the '6' Era

The Chinese yuan (CNH) has appreciated against the US dollar, breaking through the key 7.0 threshold to re-enter the "6-era" for the first time in 15 months. This shift is attributed to seasonal year-end corporate dollar-to-yuan conversions, a weaker US dollar due to Federal Reserve rate cuts, and strong export performance—with China’s trade surplus exceeding $1 trillion for the first 11 months of 2025. Structural upgrades in exports, such as growth in integrated circuits and electric vehicles, have also strengthened the currency. Analysts from Goldman Sachs suggest the yuan was undervalued by nearly 30%, comparing current conditions to the mid-2000s—a period of sustained yuan strength. The appreciation may benefit import-reliant sectors and firms with dollar-denominated debt, while potentially pressuring traditional exporters. For investors, a stronger yuan could support A-share market performance and reduce overseas consumption costs, though currency speculation remains risky. Looking ahead, institutions like Goldman Sachs and Yuekai Securities expect gradual, managed yuan appreciation to continue into 2026, possibly reaching 6.8 against the dollar. However, the yuan has depreciated against a basket of other major currencies this year. Policy emphasis remains on maintaining exchange rate stability within a reasonable range.

marsbit12/26 02:35

Renminbi Exchange Rate Returns to the '6' Era

marsbit12/26 02:35

Crypto Morning Brief: Offshore RMB Breaks Through 7.0 Against USD Again, Trust Wallet Users' Funds Stolen

China's offshore yuan strengthened past 7.0 against the U.S. dollar, reaching its highest level since September 2024. Bitcoin mining difficulty saw a slight increase to 148.26 T. In regulatory developments, Hong Kong is advancing legislation for OTC digital asset trading and custody services to enhance compliance and combat fraud. A significant security breach affected Trust Wallet users, with at least $6 million stolen due to a vulnerability in its browser extension. Meanwhile, an analyst confirmed that Trend Research’s Ethereum holdings are facing approximately $143 million in unrealized losses. In political news, the Wall Street Journal reported that Changpeng Zhao benefited from an emerging "informal pardon" system during Trump’s presidency, where lobbying for clemency reportedly involved multi-million dollar fees. The AI-related cryptocurrency sector experienced a sharp decline, losing 75% of its market value—approximately $53 billion—in 2025, with several major tokens dropping over 70%. Infinex reduced the valuation for its INX token sale to $99.99 million following market feedback. Pantera Capital’s Jay Yu shared 12 predictions for 2026, including the rise of tokenized gold, AI-integrated crypto interfaces, and consolidation among digital asset trading platforms. An annual CoinGlass report highlighted Binance, OKX, and Bitget as leaders in BTC and ETH liquidity and derivatives trading volume. Finally, Caixin warned about legal risks associated with the use of "U Cards" in China—offshore bank cards that facilitate payments using USDT.

marsbit12/26 01:45

Crypto Morning Brief: Offshore RMB Breaks Through 7.0 Against USD Again, Trust Wallet Users' Funds Stolen

marsbit12/26 01:45

Renminbi Exchange Rate Returns to the '6' Era

Renminbi (RMB) re-entered the "6-era" against the U.S. dollar on December 25, marking a 15-month high for the offshore exchange rate. This shift follows a prolonged expectation of RMB appreciation, bolstered by a Goldman Sachs report indicating the currency is undervalued by nearly 30% relative to the dollar—a level comparable to the mid-2000s, which preceded a decade-long appreciation cycle. Key drivers include seasonal year-end forex settlement by exporters, a record trade surplus exceeding $1 trillion in the first 11 months, and a weaker dollar due to Federal Reserve rate cuts. Geopolitical factors, such as U.S. trade policy uncertainty and credit rating downgrades, also diverted global capital toward RMB assets. Economists note the appreciation is supported by China’s economic resilience, with upgraded GDP growth forecasts and a shift toward high-value exports like integrated circuits and electric vehicles. While the rally may benefit import-dependent sectors and firms with dollar debt, it pressures traditional exporters. For investors, RMB strength correlates with potential A股 gains but cautions against speculative forex moves. Analysts expect gradual, managed appreciation ahead, with stability emphasized by policymakers.

深潮12/26 01:43

Renminbi Exchange Rate Returns to the '6' Era

深潮12/26 01:43

Crypto Morning Brief: He Yi Denies Rumors of Binance Alpha Shutdown, Bittensor Completes First Halving

Crypto Exchange Binance's co-founder He Yi has denied rumors about the closure of Binance Alpha. Meanwhile, Bittensor has undergone its first halving, reducing daily TAO issuance from 7,200 to 3,600 tokens. In broader market news, the onshore and offshore RMB hit a 14-month high against the US dollar. Federal Reserve official Williams stated that slowing job growth and easing inflation risks supported the recent decision to cut interest rates. Several significant developments were announced: Aster opened claims for its third-phase airdrop, Ripple plans to expand its stablecoin RLUSD to Ethereum Layer 2 networks, and Ondo Finance will launch the largest tokenized stock and ETF platform on Solana in early 2026. Furthermore, JPMorgan is set to introduce its first tokenized money market fund on Ethereum with a $100 million initial investment, and Visa has launched a stablecoin advisory service. Major institutional reports from Grayscale and Hashdex offered bullish predictions. Grayscale forecasts new Bitcoin highs by mid-2026 and the end of the four-year market cycle, citing institutional adoption and improved regulation. Hashdex predicts the stablecoin market will double, tokenized real-world assets will grow tenfold, and the AI-crypto sector will reach $10 billion.

深潮12/16 01:25

Crypto Morning Brief: He Yi Denies Rumors of Binance Alpha Shutdown, Bittensor Completes First Halving

深潮12/16 01:25

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