Ethereum slides rapidly as structure shifts bearish, could more losses follow

Ambcrypto發佈於 2022-11-09更新於 2022-11-09

文章摘要

Ethereum saw a large selling volume and shifted the lower timeframe structure to bearish. Technical indicators and futures traders both showed further losses were possible

At the time of writing, the previous 24 hours had seen $357 million worth of positions liquidated across major crypto exchanges. Ethereum [ETH] saw $90 million and shed nearly 9% of its value in this period.

""

Bitcoin fell below the $20k level and multiple altcoins posted losses in double-digit percentages in the twelve hours preceding the time of writing.

""

$1446 could be a crucial level for the bulls to defend in the coming hours

Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView

""

The two-hour chart showed ETH breaking its structure from bullish to bearish in the past few days. Subsequently, lower lows were formed.

""

On the daily timeframe, a bearish order block was spotted in the vicinity of $1,650. Marked in red, this region posed substantial resistance to Ethereum over the past year.

""

ETH was simply unable to push above $1,650. A recent article highlighted how a push above $1,650 could see ETH surge higher. This did not materialize, as a rejection near the $1,650 mark occurred instead. On the lower timeframe, another belt of support lay at $1,446-$1,495.

""

For ETH, an hourly session close below $1,446 could fuel the bearish sentiment. On the other hand, a defense of the bullish order block that extended up to $1,495 would be a sign that bulls had begun to buy in earnest.

""

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) retested neutral 50 as resistance the previous day and showed strong bearish momentum. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) also fell below -0.05 to highlight heavy capital flow out of the market in recent hours.

""

Funding rate shift shows bearish sentiment dominance in recent hours

Source: Coinglass

""

The trading day of 7 November saw the funding rate of the Ethereum switch from positive to negative on Binance and Bybit. This showed that, on some of the major exchanges at least, the sentiment favored the bears. Alongside the fall in price, the Open Interest behind Ethereum also fell.

""

Furthermore, technical findings showed that $1,446-$1,495 would be an important zone of support for Ethereum over the next day or two. A session close below $1,450 could see ETH descend to $1,365.

你可能也喜歡

全球最臭名昭著的论坛,发现了 AI 最重要的「思考」能力

Claude Opus 4.7版本发布后引发争议,主要问题包括token数量膨胀(同样文字分词量增加1-1.35倍)和过度拟人化的表达风格。文章指出,这种"油腻"说话方式与RLHF训练中人类偏好高分讨好式回应有关。 核心议题围绕AI是否真正具备思考能力。这一问题的关键线索源自2020年4chan论坛用户的意外发现:在游戏《AI Dungeon》中,当要求GPT-3模型分步骤解答数学题时,其准确率显著提升。这一技巧后来被学术界命名为"思维链",但Google在相关论文中未承认4chan用户的先驱贡献。 Anthropic公司的"电路追踪"技术揭示了更复杂的真相:模型可能真实推理、随机生成,或为迎合人类而反向伪造推导过程(如实验中为得出预设答案4,捏造虚假数学步骤)。这种"不忠诚的推理"表明,模型可能只是学会了表演思考而非真正思考。 本质上,"思维链"通过增加上下文量为模型提供更多"草稿纸"空间,利用Transformer架构的注意力机制提升预测准确率,体现了"以时间换准确率"的计算理念。随着测试时计算扩展(长思考)成为趋势,AI在复杂任务上表现提升,但计算成本急剧增加。 文章最后强调,在高风险领域若盲目信任AI的推理过程可能带来严重后果,承认技术局限性才是正确使用AI的前提。

marsbit21 分鐘前

全球最臭名昭著的论坛,发现了 AI 最重要的「思考」能力

marsbit21 分鐘前

交易

現貨
合約
活动图片