Bitcoin (BTC) Faces Resistance at 200-Week Moving Average, Further Downside Possible?

Coingape發佈於 2022-06-22更新於 2022-06-22

文章摘要

For Bitcoin to sustain the upward momentum, it has to reclaim its 200-week moving average of $22,500 and turn it into support.

After a brutal crash last weekend, the Bitcoin (BTC) price bounced back surging past $20,000. On Tuesday, as BTC attempted to march forward above $21,500, it faced resistance and has retraced since.

As of press time, Bitcoin is trading at $20,474 with a market cap of $390 billion. For Bitcoin to sustain the upward momentum, it has to reclaim its 200-week moving average of $22,500 and turn it into support.

Crypto market analyst Rekt Capital further explains: “If BTC can’t reclaim the 200-week MA as support… Then one of the scenarios of what could happen would involve downside to new lows before the formation of an Accumulation Range for the first time below the 200-week MA”.

Bitcoin miner capitulation at its peak. Last week, Bitcoin miners sold nearly 9000 BTC to cover their operational costs. there was a huge spike in the miner to exchange flow. Popular Twitter handle @OnChainCollege notes: “Miners capitulating is a sign that you want to see in bear markets. It could still take months, and more decline, to find that bottom”.

Bitcoin Supply at Exchanges

Looking at the positive side of things, Bitcoin supply at the exchanges is at a 3.5-year low as per on-chain data provider Santiment. The data provider adds: “The ratio of #Bitcoin‘s supply continues to stay low at levels last seen in November, 2018. This is a good signal of limited future selloff risk. In the meantime, supply continues skyrocketing on to exchanges, indicating greater buying power”.

Courtesy: Santiment

The fact that Bitcoin (BTC) is already trading at a 70% discount from its all-time high is a good signal for long-term players to accumulate. Instead of spotting the exact bottom, long-term investors can start Dollar Cost Averaging at this point to reap healthy profits four years from now. It will be interesting to watch how long Bitcoin continues to hold its $20,000 support levels.

你可能也喜歡

比特币将涨至40万美元?分析师用黄金走势叠加做出2026年大胆预测

一位名为Vivek Sen的分析师近日发布图表分析,提出大胆预测:如果比特币(BTC)能够复制黄金历史上的突破结构,其价格可能在2026年达到40万美元。这一论断的核心依据是将比特币当前的市场走势图与黄金过去的长期突破形态进行叠加比较。 分析师认为,随着现货比特币ETF的推出,比特币作为一种数字价值储存手段,与黄金的类比更加常见,两者在投资组合配置中的角色日益接近。图表叠加展示了一种相似的宏观上升趋势。 然而,文章明确指出,这种基于图表视觉对比的预测存在重大局限。比特币和黄金在市场深度、流动性、波动性以及投资者构成上存在根本差异。黄金的历史走势并非比特币未来的可靠蓝图。比特币价格受到衍生品持仓、ETF资金流、交易所流动性和加密货币领域特有的高杠杆影响,其波动更为剧烈和敏感。 要实现如此高的价格目标,市场需要一系列条件的支持,包括持续强劲的机构资金流入、改善的流动性、有利于硬资产需求的宏观经济环境,以及整体的加密货币风险偏好上升。此外,比特币必须维持其宏观上升趋势。 因此,这篇报道强调,40万美元的目标应被视为一种基于社交媒体分析的看涨情景设想,而非严谨的概率加权预测。它更像是提供了一个讨论上行空间的框架,其实现需要实际市场资金流和价格行为的进一步确认。投资者在参考此类乐观类比时,应同时关注更实际的价格水平、资金流动数据等基本面信息。

bitcoinist7 小時前

比特币将涨至40万美元?分析师用黄金走势叠加做出2026年大胆预测

bitcoinist7 小時前

交易

現貨
合約
活动图片