Winklevoss-led Gemini rolls out prediction markets in 50 US states

cointelegraph发布于2025-12-16更新于2025-12-16

文章摘要

Gemini, the cryptocurrency exchange founded by the Winklevoss twins, has launched its prediction market platform, Gemini Predictions, across all 50 US states. This follows its affiliate, Gemini Titan, receiving a designated contract market license from the CFTC. The platform allows users to trade on real-world events with yes/no questions, featuring instant execution and transparency. This move is part of Gemini's strategy to build a comprehensive "super app" for crypto trading, staking, and other services, aligning with a broader industry trend. The launch occurs amid a warming US regulatory environment for prediction markets, with other major providers like Polymarket also resuming operations after past restrictions.

Gemini, the cryptocurrency exchange founded by billionaire twins Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, has rolled out prediction markets in the United States after securing key regulatory approval.

Gemini has launched its in-house prediction market, Gemini Predictions, rolling out the offering across all 50 US states, the exchange announced in an X post on Monday.

Provided via affiliate Gemini Titan, Gemini Predictions enables users to trade real-world events with yes or no questions with “near instant execution” and full transparency.

The launch came shortly after Gemini Titan obtained a designated contract market license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) last Wednesday, authorizing the company to offer prediction markets in the US.

Rising trend for building “everything apps”

The arrival of Gemini Predictions marks the company’s latest step in building a “one-stop super app,” allowing users to not only trade crypto, but also stake assets, earn rewards, buy tokenized stocks and participate in prediction markets.

The move aligns with a broader industry trend toward all-in-one platforms in crypto, with rival exchanges like Coinbase rushing to introduce a wide range of services, including trending prediction markets and tokenized stocks.

Gemini Prediction’s market on the price of Bitcoin on Dec. 31. Source: Gemini

The trend has also been picked up by self-custodial wallets like MetaMask and Trust Wallet, as well as major decentralized exchanges (DEX) like PancakeSwap, which released a new BNB Chain-based prediction platform Probable on Tuesday.

Related: Phantom taps Kalshi to offer regulated prediction markets in wallet

The project adds to a growing portfolio of prediction markets backed by YZi Labs, the venture capital firm founded by Binance co-founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, including Opinion, which has topped volume rankings in November.

Major providers had faced issues in the US

The industry’s push to launch prediction markets follows years of regulatory uncertainty in the United States, with major providers such as Polymarket resuming local operations after previously facing a ban in 2022.

The platform started rolling out its relaunch in the US in early December, announcing that waitlisted users will be the first to access its US app.

Source: Polymarket

In another sign of a warming US stance toward prediction markets, a group of providers including Kalshi, Robinhood and Crypto.com have recently received a temporary reprieve from enforcement after a judge intervened following cease and desist orders issued by the state of Connecticut in early December.



你可能也喜欢

韩国交易所“大战”监管机构,挑战执法、立法边界

韩国加密行业正与金融监管机构FIU(金融情报分析院)爆发正面冲突。过去FIU通过反洗钱法规对交易所严格处罚,但近期交易所开始通过法律诉讼和行业倡议系统性挑战其监管依据。 首尔行政法院在一审中撤销了FIU对Upbit运营公司Dunamu的部分营业停止处分,认为FIU对违规标准和处罚依据说明不足。法院强调,监管机构实施重罚必须证明交易所在明确规则下存在故意或重大过失。FIU已就此案提出上诉。同样,法院也暂停了FIU对Bithumb的六个月营业停止处分,以避免审理期间造成不可逆的损失。 在立法层面,韩国拟修订《特定金融信息法》,计划将1000万韩元以上加密资产转移一律纳入可疑交易报告范围。行业自律组织DAXA强烈反对,指出该“毒丸条款”可能违反法律保留原则,并将导致STR报告量暴增85倍,淹没真正的高风险信号,反而削弱反洗钱效率。 深层矛盾在于,韩国加密市场活跃但综合监管框架尚未成熟,目前主要依赖FIU的执法。交易所从被动接受转向通过司法和立法程序挑战监管,标志着韩国加密监管进入新阶段,监管规则本身的正当性将受到更严格审视。这场冲突短期内可能升级,但长期或有助于推动韩国建立更成熟、可持续的加密监管体系。

marsbit1小时前

韩国交易所“大战”监管机构,挑战执法、立法边界

marsbit1小时前

50倍存储后,孙宇晨永远在看下一个十年

孙宇晨以拍下巴菲特午餐、吃下天价香蕉等出位行为闻名,也面临SEC诉讼等争议,但其投资眼光常被忽略。早在2016年,他就建议年轻人投资比特币、英伟达、特斯拉等。以英伟达为例,若当时投资1万元,至2026年5月价值约240万元。 2025年底,他预言“存储是新的石油”,随后西部数据分拆的闪迪(SNDK)股价一年内大涨近50倍。当市场狂热追逐存储概念时,孙宇晨已将目光投向更具未来感的赛道:具身智能、无人机、空间计算和太空探索。 他认为,具身智能(如人形机器人)正从执行代码转向“看世界做事”,是AI在物理世界落地的关键。无人机已在军事、农业、物流等领域跑通商业闭环。空间计算(如苹果Vision Pro)旨在让AI理解物理空间,是机器人、自动驾驶等的基础。在太空领域,他本人于2025年乘坐蓝色起源飞船完成亚轨道飞行,并看好太空经济与区块链的结合。 他的投资逻辑是:押注确定性的赛道,两端布局,不赌单家公司。例如在机器人领域,既押注特斯拉(身体/制造),也押注英伟达(大脑/AI芯片);在无人机领域,看好其在军事应用中替代传统装备的趋势;在太空领域,关注即将IPO的SpaceX及其产业链。 孙宇晨将这些趋势串联起来,描绘出一幅“物理AI”改变现实世界运行方式的图景:从工厂机器人到自动驾驶,从无人机蜂群到星际探索。他认为,过去互联网改变了信息流动,而未来AI将重塑物理世界本身。

marsbit2小时前

50倍存储后,孙宇晨永远在看下一个十年

marsbit2小时前

交易

现货
合约

热门文章

如何购买US

欢迎来到HTX.com!我们已经让购买Talus Network(US)变得简单而便捷。跟随我们的逐步指南,放心开始您的加密货币之旅。第一步:创建您的HTX账户使用您的电子邮件、手机号码注册一个免费账户在HTX上。体验无忧的注册过程并解锁所有平台功能。立即注册第二步:前往买币页面,选择您的支付方式信用卡/借记卡购买:使用您的Visa或Mastercard即时购买Talus Network(US)。余额购买:使用您HTX账户余额中的资金进行无缝交易。第三方购买:探索诸如Google Pay或Apple Pay等流行支付方法以增加便利性。C2C购买:在HTX平台上直接与其他用户交易。HTX场外交易台(OTC)购买:为大量交易者提供个性化服务和竞争性汇率。第三步:存储您的Talus Network(US)购买完您的Talus Network(US)后,将其存储在您的HTX账户钱包中。您也可以通过区块链转账将其发送到其他地方或者用于交易其他加密货币。第四步:交易Talus Network(US)在HTX的现货市场轻松交易Talus Network(US)。访问您的账户,选择您的交易对,执行您的交易,并实时监控。HTX为初学者和经验丰富的交易者提供了友好的用户体验。

1.0k人学过发布于 2025.12.11更新于 2025.12.15

如何购买US

相关讨论

欢迎来到HTX社区。在这里,您可以了解最新的平台发展动态并获得专业的市场意见。以下是用户对US(US)币价的意见。

活动图片