Winklevoss-led Gemini rolls out prediction markets in 50 US states

cointelegraph发布于2025-12-16更新于2025-12-16

文章摘要

Gemini, the cryptocurrency exchange founded by the Winklevoss twins, has launched its prediction market platform, Gemini Predictions, across all 50 US states. This follows its affiliate, Gemini Titan, receiving a designated contract market license from the CFTC. The platform allows users to trade on real-world events with yes/no questions, featuring instant execution and transparency. This move is part of Gemini's strategy to build a comprehensive "super app" for crypto trading, staking, and other services, aligning with a broader industry trend. The launch occurs amid a warming US regulatory environment for prediction markets, with other major providers like Polymarket also resuming operations after past restrictions.

Gemini, the cryptocurrency exchange founded by billionaire twins Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, has rolled out prediction markets in the United States after securing key regulatory approval.

Gemini has launched its in-house prediction market, Gemini Predictions, rolling out the offering across all 50 US states, the exchange announced in an X post on Monday.

Provided via affiliate Gemini Titan, Gemini Predictions enables users to trade real-world events with yes or no questions with “near instant execution” and full transparency.

The launch came shortly after Gemini Titan obtained a designated contract market license from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) last Wednesday, authorizing the company to offer prediction markets in the US.

Rising trend for building “everything apps”

The arrival of Gemini Predictions marks the company’s latest step in building a “one-stop super app,” allowing users to not only trade crypto, but also stake assets, earn rewards, buy tokenized stocks and participate in prediction markets.

The move aligns with a broader industry trend toward all-in-one platforms in crypto, with rival exchanges like Coinbase rushing to introduce a wide range of services, including trending prediction markets and tokenized stocks.

Gemini Prediction’s market on the price of Bitcoin on Dec. 31. Source: Gemini

The trend has also been picked up by self-custodial wallets like MetaMask and Trust Wallet, as well as major decentralized exchanges (DEX) like PancakeSwap, which released a new BNB Chain-based prediction platform Probable on Tuesday.

Related: Phantom taps Kalshi to offer regulated prediction markets in wallet

The project adds to a growing portfolio of prediction markets backed by YZi Labs, the venture capital firm founded by Binance co-founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, including Opinion, which has topped volume rankings in November.

Major providers had faced issues in the US

The industry’s push to launch prediction markets follows years of regulatory uncertainty in the United States, with major providers such as Polymarket resuming local operations after previously facing a ban in 2022.

The platform started rolling out its relaunch in the US in early December, announcing that waitlisted users will be the first to access its US app.

Source: Polymarket

In another sign of a warming US stance toward prediction markets, a group of providers including Kalshi, Robinhood and Crypto.com have recently received a temporary reprieve from enforcement after a judge intervened following cease and desist orders issued by the state of Connecticut in early December.



你可能也喜欢

对话宏观分析师:AI 吸干美股全部流动性,比特币 4 万才是底部

美国宏观分析师Luke Groman认为,当前美股屡创新高主要由少数AI股票推动,实则市场流动性正被AI和大宗商品吸走。比特币作为“流动性烟雾警报器”已发出预警,近期表现疲软。他基于技术分析预测,比特币可能回踩40,000美元区间,因此虽在接近顶部时清仓了大部分比特币,但至今未大举买回。 Groman指出,AI公司通过会计手段前置收入、摊销费用,推高了账面盈利和估值,但消耗了大量现金,未来一旦建设放缓可能面临盈利反转。长期看,他预计股票以美元计价会上涨,但以黄金和比特币计价将下跌。 地缘政治方面,霍尔木兹海峡持续关闭可能导致石油供应紧张,引发滞胀式衰退。同时,美国正通过大量出口“非货币黄金”来缩减对华贸易逆差,这反映全球贸易结算可能转向“凭证即清算”的硬资产模式,黄金和比特币的价值因此凸显。 债务问题上,他引用历史数据称,债务/GDP比率超过130%的国家多数会违约,通常伴随高通胀。而AI若如其估值所示般革命性,将严重冲击白领就业,进而影响美国财政收入,加剧债务困境。 综上所述,Groman对市场持谨慎态度,认为需警惕流动性收缩、地缘风险及债务问题,并密切关注比特币可能的深度调整。

marsbit3小时前

对话宏观分析师:AI 吸干美股全部流动性,比特币 4 万才是底部

marsbit3小时前

交易

现货
合约

热门文章

如何购买US

欢迎来到HTX.com!我们已经让购买Talus Network(US)变得简单而便捷。跟随我们的逐步指南,放心开始您的加密货币之旅。第一步:创建您的HTX账户使用您的电子邮件、手机号码注册一个免费账户在HTX上。体验无忧的注册过程并解锁所有平台功能。立即注册第二步:前往买币页面,选择您的支付方式信用卡/借记卡购买:使用您的Visa或Mastercard即时购买Talus Network(US)。余额购买:使用您HTX账户余额中的资金进行无缝交易。第三方购买:探索诸如Google Pay或Apple Pay等流行支付方法以增加便利性。C2C购买:在HTX平台上直接与其他用户交易。HTX场外交易台(OTC)购买:为大量交易者提供个性化服务和竞争性汇率。第三步:存储您的Talus Network(US)购买完您的Talus Network(US)后,将其存储在您的HTX账户钱包中。您也可以通过区块链转账将其发送到其他地方或者用于交易其他加密货币。第四步:交易Talus Network(US)在HTX的现货市场轻松交易Talus Network(US)。访问您的账户,选择您的交易对,执行您的交易,并实时监控。HTX为初学者和经验丰富的交易者提供了友好的用户体验。

1.1k人学过发布于 2025.12.11更新于 2026.06.02

如何购买US

相关讨论

欢迎来到HTX社区。在这里,您可以了解最新的平台发展动态并获得专业的市场意见。以下是用户对US(US)币价的意见。

活动图片