# Technical的所有文章

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Bitcoin eyes macro jump to $70K after drop below $60k – What’s next for BTC?

Bitcoin's price recently dipped below $60,000 but has since recovered to around $61,540. While technical indicators like the RSI and MACD show some bullish signs, they are not strongly convincing. On-chain data reveals a market reset, with asset managers' net long exposure at its lowest since U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF launches, though they remain net long. Leveraged funds have significantly reduced net short positions, and open interest has fallen sharply, indicating leverage is being unwound. Long-term holders are buying at lower prices, providing support. However, Bitcoin remains below its 30-day moving average, suggesting the overall trend is not yet fully bullish. Large transfers to exchanges like Coinbase Prime have occurred, potentially indicating future selling pressure. Analysts warn that downside risk remains as Bitcoin has not reached severely oversold levels typical of cycle bottoms. The market's next major move may depend on institutional activity.

ambcrypto10小时前

Bitcoin eyes macro jump to $70K after drop below $60k – What’s next for BTC?

ambcrypto10小时前

Bitcoin's Five-Wave Adjustment Nears End, Opportunities Emerge in HYPE Support Zone | Invited Analysis

**Bitcoin's Five-Wave Adjustment Nears End, HYPE Support Zone Presents Opportunity | Guest Analysis** This week, Bitcoin (BTC) is in the final stage of a five-wave corrective structure. The formation of 'Endpoint 44' is key: a level above $58,110 suggests a high probability of a technical rebound, leading likely to wide-range consolidation. A break below $58,110 without bullish divergence warrants caution for further downside. Mid-term bearish positions are maintained at 20%, with 30% of capital reserved for short-term scalping opportunities based on predefined support/resistance levels and three scenario-based plans (A/B/C). Simultaneously, HYPE has entered the 55-56 segment of its own five-wave correction from its $76.94 high. If 'Endpoint 56' forms above the prior low (Endpoint 54), creating a double-bottom pattern, a rebound is significantly likely. A light long position (under 30% allocation) can be considered upon stabilization in the support zone. Last week's BTC short-term strategy, guided by proprietary quantitative models, successfully executed two short trades (1x leverage), yielding a total return of approximately 6.21%. The market move validated the prior weekly forecast of a retest towards the $59,100 support. **Core Trading Views Summary:** * **BTC:** Focus on the formation of 'Endpoint 44'. A scenario above $58,110 allows for tentative longs. Key resistances: $60,900-$62,300, ~$65,500, $67,300-$69,500. Key supports: ~$58,100, ~$55,000. * **HYPE:** Monitor the final position of 'Endpoint 56'. Key resistances: ~$65.5, ~$71.5. Key supports: ~$58.5, $52-$54 zone. Strategy favors buying on dips upon stabilization in support areas with confirmed model signals, with strict position control. **Risk Disclaimer:** Financial markets are volatile. All analysis, models, and strategies herein are based on personal technical analysis for journaling purposes only, not investment advice. Trade at your own risk.

Odaily星球日报06/29 06:57

Bitcoin's Five-Wave Adjustment Nears End, Opportunities Emerge in HYPE Support Zone | Invited Analysis

Odaily星球日报06/29 06:57

Up by 385% after 84% correction – How should you decode VELVET’s price trends?

The AI-powered onchain trading platform Velvet (VELVET) experienced a significant bullish price surge following an announced partnership with Aerodrome Finance. This integration allows Velvet to route Base trades directly through Aerodrome, promising users better liquidity and pricing. The news fueled a 135% price rally in 24 hours, with trading volume spiking 382%. This recovery comes after a steep 84% correction over two days, which briefly pushed the price below a key technical level before it rebounded strongly. Technical indicators like the Awesome Oscillator suggest sustained bullish momentum. However, the article cautions traders due to the token's extreme volatility and potential market manipulation risks, advising careful consideration despite its recent relative strength against a generally bearish market.

ambcrypto06/28 01:02

Up by 385% after 84% correction – How should you decode VELVET’s price trends?

ambcrypto06/28 01:02

Bitcoin falls below $60K as ETF outflows and $1.48B liquidations fuel crypto selloff

Bitcoin dropped below the key $60,000 level, hitting near $59,400 and briefly touching $58,000, amid a broad crypto market selloff. The decline was fueled by significant outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, which saw $469.08 million in net withdrawals on June 24, reducing total ETF assets to $73.87 billion. Concurrently, over $1.48 billion worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, with long positions accounting for $1.21 billion of the losses. The selloff pushed Bitcoin's daily RSI to around 30, near oversold territory, indicating strong selling pressure and technical weakness, though such levels can sometimes precede a short-term rebound.

ambcrypto06/25 15:32

Bitcoin falls below $60K as ETF outflows and $1.48B liquidations fuel crypto selloff

ambcrypto06/25 15:32

Bitcoin Short-Term Bullish Structure Validated, HYPE Accumulation Window Opens | Guest Analysis

**Bitcoin and HYPE Market Analysis: Short-Term Outlook and Trading Strategies** This market analysis examines Bitcoin (BTC) and HYPE amid volatile conditions, providing short-term outlooks and specific trading strategies. **Key Outlooks:** * **Bitcoin (BTC):** Focus is on whether BTC's recent move above $65,000 holds. A successful breakout could lead to a test of the $69,500-$70,500 resistance zone, where medium-term short positions are considered. A failure, breaking below $65,000, may trigger a decline towards the $59,000-$60,000 support area. * **HYPE:** The token completed a four-wave correction and is now rebounding. The key resistance zone is $62.5-$64.57. The trading strategy is "buy on dips," looking for entry opportunities near the $52-$54.5 or deeper $47-$49 support zones, pending confirmation from proprietary models. **BTC Trading Strategy:** * **Medium-term:** Primarily looking to establish short positions (up to 60% allocated capital) if price rallies to the $69,500-$70,500 resistance area and shows signs of reversal. Alternative plans involve initiating shorts on a breakdown below $65,000. * **Short-term:** Allocate up to 30% capital for intraday "spread" trades based on support/resistance levels on 30/60-minute charts. **HYPE Trading Strategy:** * **Short-term:** Adopt a dip-buying approach. Consider light long positions (under 30% capital) when price tests key support levels ($52-$54.5 or $47-$49) and shows stabilization, confirmed by proprietary "Price Spread" and "Momentum Quant" models. **Trade Recap:** The analysis reviews a successful HYPE long trade from the previous week, executed at ~$54.39 and closed at ~$60.85 for an ~11.88% gain, based on signals from the aforementioned models. **Risk Management Emphasis:** The article stresses strict capital allocation (under 30-60%), immediate initial stop-loss placement, and a trailing stop-loss protocol to lock in profits as trades move favorably. ***Disclaimer:** All analysis, models, and strategies are for educational purposes based on technical analysis, not investment advice. Markets are volatile; trade with caution.*

marsbit06/15 06:24

Bitcoin Short-Term Bullish Structure Validated, HYPE Accumulation Window Opens | Guest Analysis

marsbit06/15 06:24

Bitcoin Liquidation Shakeout Leaves Traders Watching $66K Resistance And $61K Support

Bitcoin's recent volatility triggered a major liquidation event, wiping out roughly $980 million in leveraged positions within 24 hours as price swung from ~$64,100 down to $60,700 and back above $63,000. Traders are now watching key technical levels. Major pivot resistance is identified at $66,247, with reclaimed highs near $64,234 and next resistance at $65,890. Critical support zones lie between $63,127-$63,354, then $62,459, with broader downside targets around $59,150-$60,171. Liquidation heatmaps show significant liquidity clusters above ($63.5K-$66K) and below ($58.5K-$61K) spot price, creating a volatile corridor. The market is in a corrective phase; a clean break above resistance is needed for a bullish shift, while failure to hold low-$63K support risks a move toward lower liquidity zones.

bitcoinist06/13 08:06

Bitcoin Liquidation Shakeout Leaves Traders Watching $66K Resistance And $61K Support

bitcoinist06/13 08:06

Bitcoin's Weak Rebound Fails to Mask Adjustment Trend, HYPE's Top Signal Warns of Short-Term Risks | Invited Analysis

**Title:** Bitcoin's Weak Rebound Fails to Mask Downtrend; HYPE Top Signal Alerts of Short-Term Risks | Exclusive Analysis **Abstract:** This weekly market analysis examines the current technical structures of Bitcoin and HYPE, outlining key trading strategies. Bitcoin's daily chart shows it has broken below the median line of its primary ascending channel, indicating structural weakness. It is currently experiencing a weak rebound within a short-term descending channel, targeting resistance at $75,000-$76,000. Failure to break above this zone could lead to a resumption of the downtrend, testing support at $69,500-$70,500. Trading strategies include positioning for a rebound rejection (Plan A) or a breakdown below key support (Plan B) with controlled short positions. For HYPE, the 4-hour chart reveals a potential seven-wave advance from the May 14 low, now showing signs of exhaustion. A bearish divergence (momentum weakening) has been observed, coupled with a top signal from the proprietary "Spread Trading Model" at potential endpoint 47. The key this week is to monitor if a confirmed top forms here, especially upon a breach of the $62.5-$64.57 support area. If broken, a larger corrective move towards $54-$56.30 is anticipated. The short-term strategy for HYPE focuses on cautious long entries only upon confirmed stabilization within the support zone. The report also details a successful short BTC trade from the previous week, yielding a ~5.07% profit, executed based on model signals and price action. Strict risk management rules, including dynamic stop-loss adjustments, are emphasized.

marsbit06/01 05:53

Bitcoin's Weak Rebound Fails to Mask Adjustment Trend, HYPE's Top Signal Warns of Short-Term Risks | Invited Analysis

marsbit06/01 05:53

BTC Thrice Rejected at $80,000 Threshold, HYPE Reaches New Highs Signaling Opportunity | Guest Analysis

**Bitcoin (BTC) Struggles at $80k; HYPE Reaches New Highs | Key Analysis & Strategy** Bitcoin faces continued resistance in the $78.5k - $79.5k zone after failing to sustain a break above its daily chart rising channel. It has retreated to the channel's midline. A failure to hold here could see a test of the $73.5k - $75k support area. The 4-hour chart shows a complex corrective structure. The strategy is neutral for mid-term positions. For short-term trading, two scenarios are outlined: **A)** Selling on a failed rally into the $78.5k-$79.5k resistance, and **B)** Selling on a confirmed breakdown below the $73.5k-$75k support, both with tight risk management. Meanwhile, **HYPE** has posted consecutive highs. The 4-hour chart indicates its current uptrend may be weakening near $65, with models showing potential bearish divergence. The view is that a short-term top could be forming. The strategy advises against chasing the rally and instead looking for a potential long entry on a pullback to the $47.5 - $50 support zone, provided clear reversal signals appear. Last week, a disciplined short BTC trade based on model signals yielded a 2.78% profit. The article emphasizes that all analysis is for informational purposes only and not investment advice, highlighting the importance of strict stop-loss discipline and dynamic position management in a volatile market. *(Note: The text references proprietary models like the "Price Difference Trading Model" and "Momentum Quantification Model" for generating trade signals.)*

marsbit05/26 04:49

BTC Thrice Rejected at $80,000 Threshold, HYPE Reaches New Highs Signaling Opportunity | Guest Analysis

marsbit05/26 04:49

The Bitcoin Playbook To Know: Step 4 Says A Crash Is Coming, But Where’s The Bottom?

A crypto analyst's six-step framework, based on the 2021 market cycle, suggests Bitcoin is approaching a critical phase. According to Merlijn The Trader, BTC has already completed the distribution, small consolidation, and redistribution phases. The next projected step is a significant price crash into an accumulation range between $45,000 and $59,000, representing a potential decline of 24% to 42% from current levels near $77,500. However, a key condition exists: if Bitcoin can maintain a weekly close above the $78,000 level, this deeper correction phase could be skipped entirely, allowing the cycle to advance directly toward re-accumulation and a potential future rally.

bitcoinist05/21 01:31

The Bitcoin Playbook To Know: Step 4 Says A Crash Is Coming, But Where’s The Bottom?

bitcoinist05/21 01:31

BTC on a Roller Coaster, HYPE Hits New Highs | Guest Analysis

**Market Analysis: BTC Volatility and HYPE's New Highs** This week, markets experienced significant volatility. Macro pressures intensified with a bond market sell-off, rising rate hike expectations, and oil surpassing $110. Bitcoin (BTC) broke below $78K and is currently testing a critical range. The core debate centers on the nature of BTC's rally from its February low: Is it the start of a new uptrend (Path 1: bullish) or merely a B-wave rally within a larger monthly corrective structure (Path 2: bearish)? The outcome of the battle in the $78,500-$79,500 zone is key this week. * **For BTC:** * **Mid-term:** Maintain a neutral, cash position. * **Short-term:** Two contingency plans with ≤30% position size and strict stop-losses: * **Plan A (Bearish):** Sell if price rebounds but faces resistance in the $78,500-$79,500 zone. * **Plan B (Bearish):** Sell if price convincingly breaks below the $73,500-$75,000 support. * A break above $90,000-$93,100 would strongly favor the bullish Path 1 scenario. * **For HYPE:** HYPE continues its independent rally, hitting new highs with over 10% gains this week. The trend remains bullish as long as price holds above the key support at $38.41. * **Short-term Strategies (≤30% position):** * **Plan A (Bullish):** Buy on a confirmed break above $45.76. * **Plan B (Bearish):** Sell short on a confirmed break below $45.76. * **Plan C (Bullish):** Buy on a pullback finding support near $38.41. **Trade Review:** Last week, a disciplined 1x leveraged BTC long trade at $79,812, based on model signals, was closed at $81,426 for a ~2.02% profit. **Important:** Market conditions change rapidly. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trade with caution and proper risk management.

marsbit05/18 06:32

BTC on a Roller Coaster, HYPE Hits New Highs | Guest Analysis