Ethereum’s BPO fork: How it will shape ETH’s 2026 prediction

ambcrypto发布于2026-01-08更新于2026-01-08

文章摘要

Ethereum's BPO fork increases the blob limit per block from 15 to 21, a key upgrade for its Layer 2 scaling strategy. This provides L2s like Arbitrum with more data capacity, which enhances scalability and reduces transaction costs for users. Crucially, it strengthens Ethereum's economic model by creating a feedback loop: increased L2 activity generates more fee revenue that flows back to the Ethereum mainnet, offsetting previous revenue declines from lower fees. This strategic move supports growing on-chain adoption and solidifies Ethereum's fundamentals, positioning it strongly for 2026.

As L1s evolve, the pressure on decentralization naturally increases.

No doubt, that’s the main reason “scalability” has become a top priority for developers, as chains compete to handle more data without compromising security. To make that work, adding an extra layer becomes essential.

For Ethereum [ETH], this comes through L2s like Arbitrum [ARB], which developers use to build dApps without dealing with high fees. Against this backdrop, Ethereum’s latest BPO fork stands out as a meaningful upgrade.

According to the official announcement, the fork raised the blob limit from 15 to 21, giving Ethereum-based L2s more room to post data each block. In simple terms, this means better scalability and lower costs for L2 users.

Why does this matter? L2s don’t just scale Ethereum. Instead, they also feed into Ethereum’s economic model. Put simply, as L2 usage grows, a portion of the fees they pay for settlement flows back to the Ethereum mainnet.

In that sense, this upgrade isn’t just a scaling change.

Instead, it reinforces Ethereum’s strategy of pushing activity to L2s while still capturing value at the base layer. More importantly, looking at on-chain activity, this latest fork really does feel like a strategic masterstroke.

Scaling L2s without sacrificing Ethereum’s economics

The short-term impact of Ethereum’s 2025 upgrades was a bit bearish.

Take the fee structure, for example: The back-to-back upgrades lowered network fees, which hit ETH’s revenue by around $100 million, as L2 earnings dropped roughly 53%. And yet, Ethereum keeps rolling out forks.

The key reason? Network usage. As the chart below shows, L1 application TVL has now crossed $300 billion, showing that activity and adoption are still growing, offsetting lost revenue and keeping devs incentivized.

Notably, this is where the recent BPO fork comes in.

With Ethereum already seeing solid usage, the higher blob limit gives L2s more space to post data per block, supporting even more activity. The result? More data processed means Ethereum can recover lost revenue.

In short, this is a smart strategic move: it lets L2s scale without hurting Ethereum’s economic model, creating a strong feedback loop. More data leads to more revenue, which in turn drives even more developer activity.

Hence, this puts Ethereum’s fundamentals front and center for this cycle.


Final Thoughts

  • Raising the blob limit from 15 to 21 gives ETH-based L2s more room per block, improving scalability and supporting higher on-chain activity.
  • Increased L2 usage feeds revenue back to ETH’s base layer, positioning ETH strongly for 2026.

相关问答

QWhat is the main purpose of Ethereum's recent BPO fork upgrade?

AThe main purpose of the BPO fork is to increase the blob limit from 15 to 21, which gives Ethereum-based L2s more space to post data per block, thereby improving scalability and reducing costs for users.

QHow does increased L2 activity ultimately benefit the Ethereum mainnet?

AIncreased L2 activity benefits the Ethereum mainnet because a portion of the fees paid by L2s for settlement flows back to the base layer, feeding into Ethereum's economic model and helping to recover revenue.

QDespite lowering fees, why do developers continue to push for Ethereum upgrades like the BPO fork?

ADevelopers continue to push for upgrades because the growth in network usage and Total Value Locked (TVL) offsets the short-term revenue loss from lower fees, and the upgrades create a feedback loop that supports long-term scalability and economic strength.

QWhat was a short-term bearish impact of Ethereum's 2025 upgrades mentioned in the article?

AA short-term bearish impact was that the back-to-back upgrades lowered network fees, which reduced ETH's revenue by approximately $100 million as L2 earnings dropped by roughly 53%.

QHow does the article suggest the BPO fork positions Ethereum for the year 2026?

AThe article suggests that by enabling greater L2 usage which feeds revenue back to the base layer, the BPO fork strengthens Ethereum's fundamental economics and strategically positions it strongly for 2026.

你可能也喜欢

告别传统牛熊,解读当下泡沫轮动的市场逻辑

本文以气象学类比,分析了当前金融市场与传统市场的根本性变化。过去市场如同层状天气系统,牛市、熊市周期漫长,主线清晰;如今市场则像对流风暴链,热点板块(如AI、生物科技、加密货币等)轮番快速涌现、形成泡沫然后消退,如同接连发生的风暴。 作者指出这一转变由八大结构性变革驱动: 1. 散户投机全民化:零佣金交易、期权普及使散户交易量大增,成为市场重要波动源。 2. 永续买盘形成:养老储蓄模式转向缴费确定型计划,导致资金定期、被动流入股市。 3. 被动投资盛行:指数基金无视估值的买入机制强化了动量效应和头部集中。 4. 多策略基金与高频交易主导:市场微观结构脆弱,容易引发连锁式同步抛售。 5. 波动率被压制:低波动常态与尾部风险的剧烈爆发并存。 6. 指数成分变革:指数权重向科技和叙事驱动型公司集中,估值波动性更大。 7. 信息延迟消失:实时信息传播加剧了攀比和焦虑情绪。 8. 财政与货币环境:长期低利率、宽松政策和高赤字推高了资产价格。 这些变化相互强化,使得市场形成了“蛰伏-启动-叙事成型-认知分化-行情破裂-资金流向新热点”的循环模式。作者认为这种“泡沫轮动”的新常态是永久性的,而非暂时现象。 对于投资者,作者建议:一是成为特定领域的深度研究者,理解真实的技术与商业逻辑;二是学会观察趋势,判断专业资金的动向。散户因灵活、无短期赎回压力而具优势,但需做好风控。关键在于跳出单一热点的情绪裹挟,从更高视角看清热点轮动的整体链条,保持定力,适应新的市场逻辑。

Foresight News4分钟前

告别传统牛熊,解读当下泡沫轮动的市场逻辑

Foresight News4分钟前

《冒险岛宇宙》开放 MSU Space 并启动全球 Game Jam 比赛,作为 MSU 2.0 扩展的一部分

**《冒险岛宇宙》推出MSU Space并启动全球Game Jam比赛,作为MSU 2.0扩张的一部分** 2026年6月8日,链上驱动的《冒险岛》扩展宇宙(MapleStory Universe,简称MSU)宣布推出 **“MSU Space”** 构建者中心,并启动全球性的 **“冒险岛氛围营”** 游戏创作比赛。这标志着其 **MSU 2.0** 扩张计划的首次重大公开活动。 **核心内容:** 1. **MSU Space上线**:这是一个与AI游戏创作平台Verse8合作开发的专属构建者中心。创作者可在此使用官方的《冒险岛》资产、资源与开发工具,结合Verse8的AI辅助功能,通过自然语言提示等低门槛方式创作并发布基于《冒险岛》IP的原创游戏和体验。 2. **全球Game Jam比赛**:同步启动的“冒险岛氛围营”比赛于6月8日至29日举行,面向全球构建者,总奖池为 **6万美元的NXPC(生态代币)**。优秀项目将获得奖励及未来参与生态建设的潜在机会。 3. **MSU 2.0愿景**:此举旨在将《冒险岛》从一个封闭的游戏IP,转变为一个 **“可编程的生态系统”** 。通过结合链上基础设施、AI创作工具和社区驱动参与,降低基于经典IP进行创作的传统壁垒,让玩家和构建者都能围绕IP进行创造。 4. **合作背景**:选择Verse8平台是为了利用其AI原生创作能力,为更广泛的开发者及AI原生构建者提供易于访问的入口,吸引新群体参与MSU生态建设。 5. **生态现状**:公告提及MSU在过去一年的运营中,已累计完成超过1.5亿笔链上交易,并产生了约4910万NXPC(相当于3100万美元)的生态系统收入。 此举被视为《冒险岛宇宙》从单一游戏环境向支持创作、分发和货币化的更广阔平台扩展的关键一步。

TheNewsCrypto46分钟前

《冒险岛宇宙》开放 MSU Space 并启动全球 Game Jam 比赛,作为 MSU 2.0 扩展的一部分

TheNewsCrypto46分钟前

Reddit 一周热议美股观察:RKLB/LUNR/ASTS 集体下挫,太空板块还值得考虑吗?

Reddit股票社区上周热议集中在太空板块,SPCE、RKLB、LUNR和ASTS四只股票讨论量飙升。然而除SPCE因竞争对手Blue Origin火箭爆炸等因素单日大涨22%外,RKLB、LUNR和ASTS均出现显著下跌。 下跌主要受三大利空叠加影响:Blue Origin的New Glenn火箭测试爆炸,直接影响其发射合作伙伴ASTS的计划;SpaceX即将进行大规模IPO,引发资金从现有“替代品”中流出;部分公司内部人士在高位附近减持。 这四家公司业务实质差异巨大: - **RKLB(Rocket Lab)**:拥有实质性且加速增长的收入,业务覆盖发射服务和卫星制造,手握大量订单。但其估值较高(远期市销率约80倍),且依赖正在研发的Neutron火箭的成功。分析师认为其接近$96-$102区间时风险收益比更佳。 - **LUNR(Intuitive Machines)**:营收增长主要来自收购并表,自身业务增长不及预期,未来取决于关键的IM-3月球着陆任务结果。 - **ASTS(AST SpaceMobile)**:拥有搭建太空直连手机网络的宏大故事,但Blue Origin停飞严重打乱了其卫星发射计划,执行风险高,估值昂贵。 - **SPCE(Virgin Galactic)**:营收规模极小,近期暴涨主要由逼空交易和散户情绪驱动,缺乏基本面支撑,风险极高。 **结论**:板块长期逻辑未变,但短期定价已透支基本面。目前并非“黄金坑”,若继续下跌,RKLB因其扎实的业务基础和订单,可能最先进入合理估值区间。投资者需警惕SPCE的纯粹情绪炒作,并对LUNR和ASTS等待更明确的催化剂。

marsbit51分钟前

Reddit 一周热议美股观察:RKLB/LUNR/ASTS 集体下挫,太空板块还值得考虑吗?

marsbit51分钟前

Crypto 为什么总在造「赌场」,却很少造出「离不开的产品」?

本文探讨了加密货币为何难以创造如主流互联网平台那样让用户产生深度依赖(文中称为“沙发瘫”或“沙发锁”现象)的日常产品,而多与投机和赌博机制相关联。 作者借由“沙发奇点”的概念,指出成功平台通过提供极致便利,使用户因切换成本过高而被“锁定”。加密货币虽然通过价格波动等“可变奖励机制”吸引了大量投机行为,但这种兴奋感并未转化为实用的、高频的日常应用依赖。 核心问题在于,加密货币旨在解决的大多是普通人感知不强的底层金融效率问题(如跨境汇款中的代理银行系统),而非像互联网那样直接解决明显的日常痛点。因此,它缺乏让大众产生“顿悟时刻”的直观体验,采用门槛高,仍需大量解释。 此外,文章对比了加密货币与大型科技公司在数据资产上的差距。后者通过海量用户行为数据构建精准预测模型,而区块链主要记录金融交易,缺乏对行为动机的洞察,难以形成同等商业价值。 文章也审视了加密货币在基础设施层面的依赖问题,以及其在现实世界资产(如房地产)Token化中的矛盾角色:技术本身中立,可能反而赋能大型机构,加剧市场垄断而非促进普惠。 最终,作者认为加密货币或许更适合作为底层结算轨道等企业级基础设施存在,这虽与打造消费级“超级应用”的梦想不同,但仍是一项重大成就。其真正的潜力在于提供脱离中心化控制的工具,帮助构建对抗剥削性平台模式的新系统。

marsbit52分钟前

Crypto 为什么总在造「赌场」,却很少造出「离不开的产品」?

marsbit52分钟前

交易

现货
合约

热门文章

如何购买S

欢迎来到HTX.com!我们已经让购买Sonic(S)变得简单而便捷。跟随我们的逐步指南,放心开始您的加密货币之旅。第一步:创建您的HTX账户使用您的电子邮件、手机号码注册一个免费账户在HTX上。体验无忧的注册过程并解锁所有平台功能。立即注册第二步:前往买币页面,选择您的支付方式信用卡/借记卡购买:使用您的Visa或Mastercard即时购买Sonic(S)。余额购买:使用您HTX账户余额中的资金进行无缝交易。第三方购买:探索诸如Google Pay或Apple Pay等流行支付方法以增加便利性。C2C购买:在HTX平台上直接与其他用户交易。HTX场外交易台(OTC)购买:为大量交易者提供个性化服务和竞争性汇率。第三步:存储您的Sonic(S)购买完您的Sonic(S)后,将其存储在您的HTX账户钱包中。您也可以通过区块链转账将其发送到其他地方或者用于交易其他加密货币。第四步:交易Sonic(S)在HTX的现货市场轻松交易Sonic(S)。访问您的账户,选择您的交易对,执行您的交易,并实时监控。HTX为初学者和经验丰富的交易者提供了友好的用户体验。

2.5k人学过发布于 2025.01.15更新于 2026.06.02

如何购买S

相关讨论

欢迎来到HTX社区。在这里,您可以了解最新的平台发展动态并获得专业的市场意见。以下是用户对S(S)币价的意见。

活动图片