Bitcoin Price Will Hit All-Time High in 2026, Bitwise Predicts, Will Be ‘Less Volatile’ Than Nvidia

ccn.com发布于2025-12-19更新于2025-12-19

文章摘要

Bitwise predicts Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high in 2026 and become less volatile than high-growth tech stocks like Nvidia, citing growing institutional adoption and regulatory clarity. The firm expects Bitcoin's volatility to decline further due to a maturing market structure and increased participation from long-term investors. Additionally, Ethereum and Solana are also forecasted to hit new record highs, especially if the U.S. passes the CLARITY Act. Bitwise highlights stablecoins and tokenized financial assets as key trends driving this growth. However, near-term risks remain, with technical analysis suggesting a potential short-term correction for Bitcoin to the $70,000–$72,000 range before a possible rebound.

Key Takeaways
  • Bitcoin volatility may fall further in 2026, according to Bitwise.
  • The firm said Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana are all expected to reach new all-time highs in the new year.
  • Short-term risks remain for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin could become less volatile than high-growth U.S. technology stocks, such as Nvidia, by 2026, while both Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to reach new record highs, according to crypto asset manager Bitwise, which cited growing institutional adoption and regulatory clarity.

In a series of predictions released this week, Bitwise stated that a maturing market structure and broader participation from long-term investors could significantly strengthen the cryptocurrency industry.

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Bitcoin Volatility Below Nvidia’s?

Bitwise said Bitcoin’s volatility is expected to decline further in 2026, potentially dropping below that of Nvidia, one of the most actively traded and volatile stocks in the U.S. equity market.

The firm argued that Bitcoin’s investor base is evolving, with a rising share of ownership held by institutions and long-term allocators rather than retail traders.

That shift, Bitwise said, could dampen the sharp price swings that have historically defined the cryptocurrency.

Bitwise has released its 2026 predictions. | Source: Bitwise

“For all of 2025, Bitcoin has been less volatile than Nvidia,” Bitwise wrote. “Zoom out, and you’ll find that Bitcoin’s volatility has steadily declined over the past 10 years.”

Bitwise also said Bitcoin’s correlation with equities is likely to weaken.

Using rolling 30-day correlations, the firm noted Bitcoin’s correlation with the S&P 500 has rarely exceeded 0.50.

“We expect crypto-specific factors like regulatory progress and institutional adoption to drive performance,” Bitwise said, adding that this could allow Bitcoin to rise even if equity markets face pressure.

Ethereum, Solana and Institutional Adoption

Beyond Bitcoin, Bitwise predicted that Ethereum and Solana will set new all-time highs in 2026, provided U.S. lawmakers pass the proposed CLARITY Act.

The firm said stablecoins and tokenized financial assets are “megatrends,” with Ethereum and Solana positioned as major beneficiaries.

This is expected to coincide with U.S. regulators approving a wave of new products.

Bitwise projected that more than 100 crypto-linked exchange-traded funds could launch in the U.S. after the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) published generic listing standards in late 2025.

Bitcoin Price Outlook

Despite Bitwise’s longer-term optimism, some analysts remain cautious in the near term.

Valdrin Tahiri, an analyst at CCN, said Bitcoin’s technical structure remains bearish.

According to Tahiri, Bitcoin has entered the fifth and final wave of a corrective decline after breaking down from an ascending parallel channel.

BTC/USD Daily Chart Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

“If the count is accurate, the Bitcoin price will fall to the $70,000–$72,000 range to complete its correction,” Tahiri said, adding that a significant bounce could follow once that move is complete.

At the time of reporting, Bitcoin was trading at around $87,950, down nearly 5% over the past week.

However, please note that market conditions remain volatile, and price projections are subject to change.

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相关问答

QWhat does Bitwise predict about Bitcoin's volatility in 2026 compared to Nvidia?

ABitwise predicts that Bitcoin's volatility is expected to decline further in 2026, potentially dropping below that of Nvidia, one of the most volatile U.S. stocks.

QWhich cryptocurrencies does Bitwise expect to reach new all-time highs in 2026?

ABitwise expects Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana to reach new all-time highs in 2026.

QWhat are the key factors Bitwise's prediction for Bitcoin's reduced volatility and price growth?

ABitwise cites growing institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, a maturing market structure, and broader participation from long-term investors as key factors.

QWhat near-term risk for Bitcoin's price does analyst Valdrin Tahiri mention?

AValdrin Tahiri states that Bitcoin's technical structure remains bearish and could fall to the $70,000–$72,000 range to complete its correction.

QWhat legislative act does Bitwise say could help Ethereum and Solana reach new highs?

ABitwise said that provided U.S. lawmakers pass the proposed CLARITY Act, Ethereum and Solana are positioned to set new all-time highs.

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