Bitcoin Sets Itself Across Zero Line, Analyst

newsbtc发布于2022-09-15更新于2022-09-15

文章摘要

Dave the Wave, the analyst who accurately foretold the collapse of Bitcoin in 2021, is back with another market forecast. The prominent crypto trader shared some charts on a Twitter...

Dave the Wave, the analyst who accurately foretold the collapse of Bitcoin in 2021, is back with another market forecast. The prominent crypto trader shared some charts on a Twitter Thread this Monday. Dave claims that the world’s foremost cryptocurrency is about to flip bullish, judging from previous cycles. 
The pseudonymous crypto analyst took to Twitter to share MACD charts that prove his predictions with over 100,000 followers. According to the Tweet, Bitcoin has hit its bottom and is ready to start its journey upward once again. Dave is basing his predictions on the past years’ trends depicted on the chart (2012, 2015, and 2019).
BTC is About To Swing Into An Upward Movement According to MACD Chart
MACD is a market movement tracker that shows how two in-motion averages relate to one another. It operates based on trends and allows traders to calculate the points at which market momentum is likely to reverse.
Based on Dave’s wave, Bitcoin’s MACD has swung below the zero line and is over-sold in a similar movement to 2019. Hence “there is a good chance that we will also see the first contracting Histogram on the Bitcoin monthly chart.” Judging by previous trends, the king of crypto is about to go on a bull run.

BTCUSD

Bitcoin’s price is currently trading around $20,000. | Source: BTCUSD price chart from TradingView.com Another Crypto Analyst Disagrees With Dave
Interestingly, not everyone shares Dave the Wave’s bullish sentiments as regards Bitcoin. Another popular crypto analyst, Bluntz, shared his own chart describing it as ugly. He affirms that he does not desire to purchase Bitcoin anytime soon unless it drops below $17000. 
Bluntz, the smart contractor on Twitter, is the analyst who successfully forecasted Bitcoin’s bearish low in 2018. If his chart is anything to go by, BTC still has a few more lows to weather before any relief arrives. This is according to a thread the crypto analyst shared on Twitter in mid-August.
Bitcoin’s Current Price Movements
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading below $21,000, down about over 8% within the last 24 hours. Although BTC price has again lost its gains of above $22K, it has gained a 10% upward swing from the foremost cryptocurrency’s $19,000 position of the previous week. However, these movements are still far from Bitcoin’s all-time high of 61,000, a 65% difference.
Dave the Wave believes now is the time to buy, not sell BTC, while the Smart Contractor wants to wait. Each of them has a record of making a correct prediction concerning the crypto market. It remains to be seen who is right this time as their predictions seem to clash.

你可能也喜欢

谷歌AI人才接连流失,是压力测试还是“讣告”前奏?

谷歌接连失去三位顶级AI人才:工程副总裁、Transformer架构提出者之一Noam Shazeer加入OpenAI;DeepMind副总裁、AlphaFold核心人物John Jumper加入Anthropic;对话式AI先驱Daniel De Freitas的动向也引人关注。这些流失触及了Transformer、对话式AI和科学AI等关键领域,引发市场对谷歌竞争力的担忧。 然而,将此事视为谷歌的“讣告”可能为时过早。这更应被看作一次压力测试。人才流失本身反映了谷歌仍是AI顶级人才的核心储备库,正因其重要才成为竞争对手IPO前夜的重点挖掘对象。 谷歌的优势在于其远超单一模型的“全栈”能力:拥有自研TPU、云基础设施、Gemini等模型矩阵,以及搜索、YouTube、安卓等覆盖数十亿用户的终端产品,构成了强大的集成生态和分发网络。此外,谷歌通过巨额投资和云服务与Anthropic等对手形成深度绑定,在“AI淘金热”中同时扮演“掘金者”和“卖水人”的角色。 尽管面临创新者困境,核心搜索业务转型挑战以及大公司决策迟缓等问题,但谷歌正通过积极整合Gemini、重塑搜索体验、战略性收购(如Character.AI)等方式应对。AI竞赛是长期游戏,谷歌凭借其技术栈、资源与生态,仍是少数有能力在多层面参与竞争的公司。当前的动荡是一次严峻考验,但并非终局。

marsbit7分钟前

谷歌AI人才接连流失,是压力测试还是“讣告”前奏?

marsbit7分钟前

Vitalik算法稳定币设想:从期权视角解读机制与挑战

Vitalik Buterin 近期提出了一种新颖的算法稳定币设想,该方案从期权视角出发,试图规避传统抵押债务头寸(CDP)稳定币的清算风险。其核心设计是将1单位ETH拆分为两类权益:稳定侧(P)和上涨侧(N)。稳定侧类似一个深度实值的合成备兑看涨期权,旨在获得低于某一执行价的“稳定”价值;上涨侧则获得执行价以上的全部上涨收益。两部分权益之和始终等于1 ETH,因此系统无需债务、保证金或清算机制。 然而,该设计面临显著挑战。为实现稳定,稳定侧资产需持续滚动(展期)深度实值期权,这会带来交易滑点、固定交易路径被抢跑以及流动性不足等问题。更根本的难点在于,每一份稳定资产的创造,都需要有参与者持续持有对应的上涨侧资产——这本质上是一种无资金费率、无清算风险的杠杆ETH多头。该需求能否长期、规模化存在,是系统成功扩张的关键。 作者结合其DeFi期权协议Rysk的经验指出,期权过去难以在DeFi中成为主流交易产品,因其过于复杂。但若转变思路,将期权作为底层金融基础模块,用于构建稳定币、结构化收益产品等更复杂的资产,则可能展现出巨大潜力。期权的未来机会或许不在于成为下一个永续合约,而在于成为下一代链上金融产品的定价与风险分配引擎。

marsbit1小时前

Vitalik算法稳定币设想:从期权视角解读机制与挑战

marsbit1小时前

交易

现货
合约
活动图片