[Key interpretation] The cost price of 1.1 million eth suggests rebound space, and BTC tests the pressure level

Huobi发布于2022-09-09更新于2022-09-13

文章摘要

BTC and eth rebounded one after another, predicting the growth potential in advance.

1. BTC volume rebound

The BTC price is still near the lowest value in one year, so the recent continuous increase in trading volume indicates that more investors are participating in the trading. Therefore, BTC will start to rebound after the closing low of $18790. After the short-term rebound strength increased, the price reached above $20249 corresponding to the middle rail of brin line. Judging from this, the market is at the node of technical rebound. Considering that the cost concentration is high, the rebound can focus on the performance of BTC relative to the recent transaction cost price of investors.

2. BTC transfer quantity rebounds

After the number of BTC transfers reached 17.68 million on June 15, the number of BTC transfers has remained stable in the near future. On September 6, the number of BTC transfers increased to 6.43 million, which was a high trading day. From the distribution of the transferred quantity, BTC's important cost price can be focused on the corresponding closing price of $22555 on June 15. The recent price fluctuation of BTC basically revolves around us $22555. Whether the price can be successfully broken through is one of the keys to confirm the growth potential.

3. The unrecognized loss of BTC is large

As the BTC price has been running at a low level for a longer time, the scale of unconfirmed losses has not fallen back, and there is still a large rebound space. Numerically, the proportion of unconfirmed loss scale of BTC represented by nul index can reach 0.48. Although it is lower than the previous peak of 0.56, the absolute value is still high. Therefore, it is difficult to increase the BTC technology in the rebound stage. There are many trapped orders. At present, the continuous accumulated trading volume in BTC spot is beneficial to reduce selling pressure. With the trading volume remaining at a high level, higher trading volume will likely drive the BTC price up.

4. Eth price rebounded slightly

As the trading volume remains stable, the ETH price has now reached near the brin online track, and the space for further increase is expected to be further released. At present, if eth can maintain its strength above US $1607, its short-term rebound space is expected to grow. In terms of pressure level, signs pay attention to the corresponding US $1910 of 61.8% of Fibonacci, which has a large selling pressure. It is not only the pressure level confirmed by the rebound in the early stage, but also the point that must be broken through this time.

5. Eth turnover rate increased

With the growth of the number of eth transfers in the short term, the turnover rate before the market change is also improving. Judging from the average number of eth transferred by eth, the value reached the peak of 1.099 million and 889 million on July 26 and August 4, respectively. Judging from the scale of the one-day numerical value, it clearly exceeds the peak that occurred in 2021. Therefore, the corresponding eth closing price of $1449 on July 26 is an important cost price in confirming the holding of coins after the change of hands of the main players. At the same time, the closing price of eth on August 4 of 1607 dollars is also very important. When judging the recent eth price trend, these two cost prices have a greater impact on the market.

In the short term, the number of eth transfers rebounded slightly, with limited impact on the cost of holding currency.

你可能也喜欢

赛场之外:围绕世界杯的逐利游戏

《赛场之外:围绕世界杯的逐利游戏》一文揭示了2026年世界杯如何成为一个巨大的全球投机窗口。文章指出,这项赛事不仅吸引了球迷,更催生出一套完整的投机生态。 文章从七个层面剖析了这一现象: 1. **预测市场崛起**:以Polymarket和Kalshi为代表的预测平台交易量暴增,其链上财富故事极具传播力,正挑战传统体育博彩。 2. **传统体育博彩**:尽管面临新兴市场冲击,传统博彩凭借成熟用户和庞大市场,仍是世界杯投机的最大基本盘,预计美国相关投注额将达数百亿美元。 3. **股市概念炒作**:球队战绩直接影响相关“概念股”股价,如韩国的炸鸡股、日本的直播平台和运动品牌股,股价随赛果剧烈波动,成为“情绪盘口”。 4. **门票转售套利**:门票在二级市场成为套利工具,价格因球队、球星、地点等因素差异巨大。甚至出现了类似“卖空”的操作,以及FIFA官方“购票权”(RTB)的“二阶投机”。 5. **藏品与周边投机**:Panini贴纸因稀缺性和收藏价值在二级市场可能身价暴涨;限量版或带有身份象征的球衣也被热炒,假货市场同样活跃以满足球迷的现场表达需求。 6. **加密货币狂热**:世界杯催生了大量未经授权的主题Meme币,它们在短期内可能制造惊人回报,但更多是暴涨暴跌的投机工具,风险极高。 7. **内容与信息服务**:有人通过开发门票比价工具、出售付费投注推荐等方式,为投机者提供信息和工具,从庞大的信息需求中获利。 文章总结,世界杯赛场之外,一个围绕注意力、情绪和稀缺资源的全球交易网络悄然运行,真正的赢家往往是那些最早洞察并利用这种注意力流动规则的人。

marsbit2小时前

赛场之外:围绕世界杯的逐利游戏

marsbit2小时前

Hyperliquid ETF资产声明引关注,HYPE叙事在X平台持续升温

一篇X平台推文声称,三只在2026年5月推出的Hyperliquid(HYPE)交易所交易基金(ETF)已合计积累了1.58亿美元的资产,从而引发了市场关注。 根据用户AlphaOnChain的帖子,其中Bitwise HYPE ETF据称拥有8800万美元资产,21Shares HYPE ETF则为6600万美元。然而,此数据来源于社交媒体,并非官方基金发行人的正式文件或数据看板,因此需要谨慎对待,更多应被视为市场情绪和话题热度的风向标。 这一话题的热度反映了当前加密市场的关注点可能正在从比特币、以太坊等主流资产向外扩散。Hyperliquid以其链上永续交易和交易所生态而闻名,如果相关ETF产品确实吸引了可观的资金流入,可能表明机构和散户投资者开始将目光投向更具潜力的山寨币领域。HYPE本身结合了去中心化金融(DeFi)、衍生品和交易所基础设施等多个叙事,使其在交易者转向高风险资产时成为一个自然的炒作标的。 对于交易者而言,关键在于区分社交媒体热度与基本面支撑。尽管社交讨论可能在短期内影响市场,但持续的价格上行通常需要经过验证的资金流入、充足的流动性以及生态系统的持续成长作为基础。 因此,虽然Hyperliquid ETF的叙事正在获得更多关注,但在获得官方数据证实前,投资者应保持审慎态度。

bitcoinist3小时前

Hyperliquid ETF资产声明引关注,HYPE叙事在X平台持续升温

bitcoinist3小时前

交易

现货
合约
活动图片