XRP – How 90% drop in Coinbase reserves fuels Q4 rally hopes

ambcrypto发布于2025-09-15更新于2025-09-16

Key Takeaways

How does XRP compare to other top-cap coins?

Ripple has been highly concentrated, while Solana sees steady growth with OI near ATHs, signaling XRP’s controlled setup could fuel a catch-up move.

Why is XRP attracting attention despite a weaker quarterly return?

Coinbase has shed 90% of its XRP reserves, smart money is stacking the dip, and structural support aligns with July’s 33% spike, setting up for a potential Q4 leg.


Ripple [XRP] is once again testing its HODLers’ patience.

Among the top 5 high-caps, Ripple has recorded the weakest quarterly return so far at 33.64%. Meanwhile, Solana [SOL], for instance, has delivered over 50% ROI. The gap is even bigger month-to-month.

Nearly 100% of XRP’s Q3 gains came in July alone, pushing it to a cyclical high of $3.60. By contrast, SOL has averaged 11% per month. In short, XRP’s recent rally has been highly concentrated.

XRPXRP

Source: TradingView (XRP/USDT)

However, AMBCrypto flags this could be a bullish setup.

On the derivatives side, SOL traders are piling in aggressively, driving Open Interest (OI) close to all-time highs. XRP, meanwhile, is chopping under $10 billion, signaling tighter, more controlled positioning.

Historically, these setups stretch HODLers’ patience, but explosive moves (like July’s 33% rally) can deliver huge payoffs. Ripple’s current structure mirrors that pattern, with more bullish factors stacking in.

Whale exodus from Coinbase tightens XRP supply

September is off to a charged start with ETF hype.

Both Dogecoin [DOGE] and Ripple are lining up for their first U.S.-based spot ETFs. On the charts, DOGE is already up 25% on the month. That’s more than 3x XRP’s gains, showing speculative capital is back in play.

However, Ripple is taking a more structural path. According to XRPwallets, Coinbase now holds just six cold wallets, totaling 99 million XRP. Back in June, it had 52 wallets controlling 970 million XRP.

Ripple CoinbaseRipple Coinbase

Source: X (XRPwallets)

Simply put, Coinbase has shed 90% of its XRP reserves in three months.

Technically, this aligns with Ripple’s 33% spike in July and the tight $2.70–$3.15 Q3 consolidation. In short, smart money is stacking XRP like they’re ahead of the rest of the market, deliberately keeping Ripple underexposed.

Hence, with underheated derivatives, ETF hype still in play, and structural support holding, Ripple looks set to reward HODLers again, laying the groundwork for a potential Q4 parabolic leg.

Share

你可能也喜欢

万亿养老资金入口?富兰克林比特币股息再投 ETF 自带抛压天花板

富兰克林邓普顿申请发行两只新型ETF,将比特币投资嵌入“默认配置”机制。该产品核心逻辑是利用投资者的惰性,使其在不主动操作的情况下被动持有比特币。基金初始配置为95%股票和5%比特币,股票产生的股息将自动用于购买比特币,但比特币持仓占比设有严格上限(最高20%),并实行季度再平衡机制——当比特币上涨导致占比超标时,会自动减持以维持比例。 分析指出,此类设计可能带来意想不到的抛压。由于股息再投资金额有限(宽基基金年化约1%资产,创新板块基金仅0.5%),且比特币上涨后会触发程序化卖出,因此在牛市中基金可能成为净卖家。其买入量对比特币日均交易规模影响甚微,但若同类产品规模扩大,可能形成持续的价格压制。 产品还包含多层设计意图:帮助理财顾问绕过机构内部对加密货币的投资限制;通过开曼群岛子公司持有比特币以符合监管;以及可能给投资者带来股息已用于购币但仍需额外现金缴税的税务问题。 尽管美国政策已允许养老金配置加密货币,但将其设为默认选项仍需时间。该产品的最终目标并非说服投资者主动购买比特币,而是通过利用行为惯性,将比特币悄然植入主流资产配置体系。

Foresight News59分钟前

万亿养老资金入口?富兰克林比特币股息再投 ETF 自带抛压天花板

Foresight News59分钟前

交易

现货
合约
活动图片