# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Volatility

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Volatility", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Can Ethereum Reach $25,000 in 2026? Bullish Executives Told To ‘Pay Up’ After Missing Prediction Bets

Ethereum investors are debating ambitious price targets after a high-profile bet by Infinex founder Kain Warwick expired unfulfilled. Warwick had wagered $50,000 that ETH would reach $25,000 by the end of 2025, but the price fell short by over 700%, currently trading around $3,047. The bet, made against Multicoin Capital’s Kyle Samani, has reignited discussions about Ethereum’s potential to reach such levels by 2026. ChatGPT suggested that a move to $25,000 would require a fundamental repricing of Ethereum’s value, driven by sustained on-chain growth, institutional adoption, and a supportive macro environment. In contrast, Grok was more skeptical, arguing that Ethereum’s already mature and that catalysts like ETFs and upgrades may not justify a 7-8x price increase. Technical analysis also indicates near-term downside risk, with potential declines toward $2,500 due to rising exchange reserves.

ccn.com01/04 10:24

Can Ethereum Reach $25,000 in 2026? Bullish Executives Told To ‘Pay Up’ After Missing Prediction Bets

ccn.com01/04 10:24

Matrixport Research: 2026 May Be the Year of High Volatility Pricing, Event Windows Determine Outcomes

Matrixport Research: 2026 is projected to be a year of high volatility pricing, driven by a convergence of macro and crypto-specific catalysts. Key factors include the U.S. Federal Reserve leadership transition, weakening employment trends, election-year policy uncertainty, and recurring government shutdown risks. These will amplify cross-asset volatility, particularly around monthly CPI and jobs data, FOMC meetings with updated economic projections (SEP), and fiscal deadlines. Concurrently, the crypto market will face its own high-impact events: the full implementation of the EU’s MiCA regulatory framework, major protocol upgrades (such as Ethereum’s “Glamsterdam”), the Mt. Gox repayment deadline (October 31, 2026), and the approaching Bitcoin halving (approx. 15 months later). These events may trigger significant short-term price movements. The market is expected to experience range-bound, event-driven dynamics rather than sustained directional trends. Success will depend on active risk and exposure management around critical event windows rather than passive positioning. Structural opportunities may emerge, especially late in the year, as multiple variables converge, creating potential repricing opportunities.

marsbit01/04 07:59

Matrixport Research: 2026 May Be the Year of High Volatility Pricing, Event Windows Determine Outcomes

marsbit01/04 07:59

Should We Turn to the Stock Market in 2026? An Analyst's New Year Strategy

In his 2026 strategy, analyst Kyle from DeFiance Capital argues that the crypto market has become a structural bear market dominated by traders, not long-term holders. He highlights that most cryptocurrencies, including major ones like Solana, are highly volatile, lack sustainable value, and are unlikely to reach previous all-time highs again. Kyle advocates for investors to shift focus towards traditional equity markets, which are becoming more "crypto-esque" due to increased retail participation and narrative-driven trading. He emphasizes the importance of being a generalist, identifying strong narratives early, and adapting to high-volatility environments. Kyle also shares his personal move to small-cap stocks, which offer asymmetric returns similar to earlier crypto opportunities. His predictions include gold reaching $5,000, a potential Bitcoin bottom around $70,000, and continued outperformance of non-US equities. The piece concludes with a review of his mixed 2025 predictions and a call for adaptability in a rapidly changing investment landscape.

marsbit01/04 06:36

Should We Turn to the Stock Market in 2026? An Analyst's New Year Strategy

marsbit01/04 06:36

Why Ethereum’s fundamentals could outweigh ETH prices in 2026

Ethereum's 2025 performance highlighted a divergence between its strong fundamentals and weak price action. While the network achieved record transaction volumes, maintained over 50% DeFi market share, and saw a 212% surge in real-world asset (RWA) value, it faced a 53% drop in L2 earnings and nearly $100 million in lost revenue due to lower gas fees. This compressed revenue model puts Vitalik Buterin's increased focus on decentralization under scrutiny. Despite ETH ending 2025 with an 11% loss, fundamentals like reduced exchange reserves and major developments such as JPMorgan's tokenization suggest a shift toward long-term value over speculation. The 2026 roadmap, emphasizing decentralization and utility, aims to offset volatility and support future growth.

ambcrypto01/03 19:08

Why Ethereum’s fundamentals could outweigh ETH prices in 2026

ambcrypto01/03 19:08

Crypto Market Oracle: The Whale Who Nailed Every Top Makes 3 Bold Predictions For This Year

A crypto whale with a historically accurate track record of predicting market tops since 2015 has made three major price predictions for 2026: Bitcoin reaching $250,000, Ethereum hitting $20,000, and Solana climbing to $1,500. The whale emphasizes that the market is currently in an infrastructure-building phase involving ETFs, regulation, and institutional adoption, which will lead to a period of price decline and consolidation. This "pressure phase" will shake out weak investors, liquidate leveraged positions, and remove speculation, paving the way for steady, structural growth. The analysis suggests Bitcoin could correct to around $50,000 before entering a new accumulation and bull run phase, with macroeconomic trends supporting a methodical crypto market recovery in 2026.

bitcoinist01/03 16:59

Crypto Market Oracle: The Whale Who Nailed Every Top Makes 3 Bold Predictions For This Year

bitcoinist01/03 16:59

No Bitcoin breakout in sight: Why 2026 still lacks direction

Bitcoin remains range-bound in early 2026, trading between $85,000 and $92,000 after a sharp decline from its October 2025 peak above $126,000. Exchange netflows have been mostly negative, indicating distribution during strength and forced selling in declines rather than sustained accumulation. Short-term holders face unrealized losses of about 15%, signaling elevated stress, though the market shows absorption rather than panic. The lack of consistent positive netflows and steady reserve growth suggests continued sideways movement. A sustained trend depends on renewed demand and price stabilization above the short-term holder cost basis of $103,000; otherwise, volatility within the current range is expected.

ambcrypto01/03 15:36

No Bitcoin breakout in sight: Why 2026 still lacks direction

ambcrypto01/03 15:36

Bitcoin Turns 17 Years Old

Bitcoin celebrated its 17th anniversary on January 3, 2026, marking the date in 2009 when its genesis block was mined in Helsinki, rewarding its creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, with 50 BTC. This first block famously contained a headline from The Times referencing the 2008 financial crisis, signaling Bitcoin's purpose as an alternative to the traditional financial system. The first transaction occurred over a week later when Nakamoto sent 10 BTC to developer Hal Finney. Initially worthless, Bitcoin's first known commercial sale was in October 2009, valued at roughly $0.001 per coin. From that point, its value grew astronomically, reaching parity with the US dollar in 2011 and overcoming significant milestones: $100 in 2013, $1,000 later that year, $10,000 in 2017, and $50,000 in early 2021. The asset experienced extreme volatility, with dramatic crashes following its peaks, such as an 87% drop in 2013 and a 67% fall after the 2021 bull run. A new cycle culminated in a historic peak of $126,200 in October 2025, driven by factors including institutional adoption of Bitcoin ETFs and the US presidential election. As of the article's writing, the price was around $89,000 with a market cap of $1.77 trillion. Once a niche asset, Bitcoin is now seriously considered by major financial institutions like JPMorgan, BlackRock, and Vanguard, as well as nation-states including El Salvador and the US, which have established national Bitcoin reserves. In Russia, Sberbank has conducted its first crypto-collateralized loan, and the central bank views Bitcoin mining as a potential factor in strengthening the national currency.

RBK-crypto01/03 08:48

RBK-crypto01/03 08:48

XRP exchange supply hits 8-year low – Rally setup or false hope?

XRP exchange supply has dropped to 1.6 billion tokens, an 8-year low, reducing immediate sell pressure and signaling a shift toward long-term holding. Despite routine escrow releases, Ripple consistently re-locks most tokens, minimizing net new supply. This structural change supports price stability below $2 and reduces downside risk, but a sustained rally requires increased demand, regulatory clarity, and favorable market conditions. Key factors like the CLARITY Act, ETF speculation, and broader crypto trends will influence XRP's direction in the coming weeks.

ambcrypto01/03 08:12

XRP exchange supply hits 8-year low – Rally setup or false hope?

ambcrypto01/03 08:12

Dogecoin surges 12% amid rising liquidity – Breakout or bull trap?

Dogecoin (DOGE) surged 12%, breaking a descending trendline after weeks of low volatility. While technical indicators like RSI and MACD showed strong bullish momentum, conflicting on-chain data revealed a significant rise in exchange-held supply, potentially increasing sell-side pressure. Additionally, derivatives data showed a heavy skew toward long positions ($850M longs vs. $22M shorts), indicating high leverage and elevated liquidation risk if momentum stalls. The sustainability of the rally depends on whether demand can continue absorbing the increased supply without triggering a leverage-driven reversal. The current setup presents opportunity but with higher risk.

ambcrypto01/03 07:04

Dogecoin surges 12% amid rising liquidity – Breakout or bull trap?

ambcrypto01/03 07:04

Bitcoin enters historic low-risk zone – Is a BTC rebound in sight?

Bitcoin's price remains range-bound between $85,000 and $90,000, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers. Key indicators suggest a potential rebound is near. The Sharpe Ratio has turned negative, historically signaling an accumulation phase, while long-term holder selling pressure has decreased significantly. The MVRV-Z score indicates Bitcoin may be approaching a market bottom, a level that has previously coincided with recoveries. Additionally, exchange reserves continue to decline, reducing immediate sell-side pressure. Bitcoin maintains strong market dominance at 58-60% of total crypto market cap, indicating relative strength compared to altcoins. These factors collectively point to a possible price rebound, though a sharp upward move may require broader market expansion.

ambcrypto01/03 06:03