# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Valuation

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Valuation", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Before the Bull Market Returns: Lessons I Learned in the Crypto World with Millions

Investment Lessons from the Crypto Market: A Reflection Before the Bull Run This article shares hard-earned lessons from losing millions in the crypto space, offering a sobering perspective on market behavior and personal psychology. The author begins by distinguishing between investment and speculation, noting that crypto is primarily driven by sentiment and tokenomics, not fundamentals. In bull markets, emotion dictates 60% of pricing, token distribution 30%, and fundamentals only 10%. This makes speculation far more profitable than value investing, which often leads to significant losses as holders refuse to cut losses, hoping for a recovery that never comes. A critical mistake is poor timing and position sizing. The author emphasizes the importance of maximizing risk exposure early in a trend's reversal—when uncertainty is high but odds are favorable—rather than during the euphoric peak when downside risk is severe. Examples from the AI meme season and the BSC rally illustrate how late entries often lead to missed opportunities or forced, high-risk bets. The piece also warns against traditional valuation metrics like P/E ratios and token buybacks, which assume sustainable earnings—a rarity in crypto where few projects survive long-term. Market leaders often change, and entire sectors are disproven. Ultimately, the author concludes that theoretical knowledge isn't enough; true understanding comes from painful, personal experience. The market's cyclical nature means many are doomed to repeat errors, but self-awareness and disciplined strategy are essential for survival and success.

marsbit12/12 13:21

Before the Bull Market Returns: Lessons I Learned in the Crypto World with Millions

marsbit12/12 13:21

Digital Asset Vaults Lose Their Luster: Twenty One's Stock Plunges 20% on First Trading Day

Twenty One Capital, a Bitcoin-focused treasury company backed by Tether and SoftBank, saw its shares plunge approximately 20% on its first day of trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The sharp decline reflects investor skepticism toward the valuation and business model of Bitcoin treasury companies amid a significant cryptocurrency market downturn. The company, led by 31-year-old CEO Jack Mallers, holds around 43,500 BTC. However, Bitcoin holdings have fallen over 25% since October’s all-time high near $126,000, putting pressure on the "digital asset treasury" (DAT) model. Despite its large Bitcoin reserve and strong backers, investors remain cautious due to unclear revenue paths and heavy reliance on Bitcoin’s volatile price. Twenty One went public via a merger with SPAC Cantor Equity. Unlike traditional companies, its valuation is almost entirely tied to its Bitcoin holdings, using metrics like "Bitcoin per Share" (BPS). Yet, the firm has not detailed how it will generate sustainable profits beyond holding Bitcoin. The sell-off reflects broader pressures on crypto-linked stocks. Other Bitcoin-heavy companies like Metaplanet, Trump Media, and Empery Digital also face millions in unrealized losses and falling share prices as Bitcoin corrects. The debut underscores high volatility and valuation risks in crypto investing. Despite innovation and institutional support, long-term viability requires transparent business models and clear profitability strategies—lessons even high-profile crypto firms must heed.

cointelegraph_中文12/11 23:16

Digital Asset Vaults Lose Their Luster: Twenty One's Stock Plunges 20% on First Trading Day

cointelegraph_中文12/11 23:16

World's Richest Man, 'Silicon Valley Iron Man' Musk, to Take SpaceX Public in 2026!

Elon Musk, the world's richest person and CEO of SpaceX, plans to take the company public in 2026 with a target valuation of approximately $1.5 trillion. The IPO is expected to raise "significantly more than $30 billion," potentially making it the largest in history, surpassing Saudi Aramco's 2019 offering. A key driver of this ambitious valuation is a new narrative: **space-based AI computing**. Musk introduced the concept of "space AI compute" at a recent investor conference, arguing that within five years, running AI training and inference in space could become the lowest-cost solution. The core advantages include near-uninterrupted solar power and the vacuum of space acting as an ultimate heat sink. Additionally, with its reusable Starship rockets, SpaceX aims to drastically reduce launch costs to as low as $200–300 per kilogram. This vision, however, faces significant technical hurdles. Challenges include managing extreme heat radiation in direct sunlight, protecting hardware from cosmic radiation, and the economic risks associated with potential launch failures. Competitors are also entering the arena, including Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin, which is developing its own orbital data centers, and Sam Altman’s OpenAI, which is reportedly considering acquiring a rocket company. Despite the challenges, Wall Street has responded positively. Firms like Ark Invest are now valuing SpaceX as a high-growth AI infrastructure company rather than a traditional aerospace firm, projecting that its space-based compute business could generate $80–120 billion in high-margin revenue by 2030. The success of this new "space dream" hinges on the continued development of Starship, overcoming technical barriers, and navigating future regulatory landscapes.

marsbit12/11 07:08

World's Richest Man, 'Silicon Valley Iron Man' Musk, to Take SpaceX Public in 2026!

marsbit12/11 07:08

From 'Stablecoin First Stock' to 'Ankle Cut' in Stock Price: Why Circle Quickly Fell from the Spotlight into a Revaluation Cycle

From "Stablecoin Unicorn" to "Ankle-Cut" Stock Price: Why Circle Quickly Fell from Its Peak into a Revaluation Cycle Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, experienced a dramatic stock price decline shortly after its IPO in June, dropping from an initial peak of around $260 to approximately $88. This reflects a broader market shift from hype-driven optimism to a more rational reassessment of the stablecoin industry. Multiple factors contributed to this sharp correction. Initially, the stock was significantly overvalued due to market enthusiasm for the "first stablecoin stock" and the high-interest environment that boosted the appeal of its reserve-backed revenue model. As early investors took profits and sentiment cooled, a price correction was inevitable. Increased competition is also pressuring Circle. While USDC is the world's second-largest dollar stablecoin, it faces growing challenges from new stablecoin projects and digital dollar initiatives from traditional financial institutions. The sector is shifting from an oligopoly to intense competition, raising investor concerns about USDC's future growth certainty. Furthermore, macroeconomic interest rate trends pose a fundamental risk to Circle's business model. Its core revenue comes from interest earned on the cash and short-term U.S. Treasuries backing USDC. Expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin a rate-cutting cycle could directly compress this income. Rising operational and distribution costs further squeeze profitability. Analysts hold divergent views on Circle's future. Firms like Mizuho have turned bullish, upgrading the stock and suggesting the sell-off related to its post-IPO lockup expiration may have created a buying opportunity. They point to USDC's continued adoption by mainstream financial institutions. Conversely, analysts at firms like Susquehanna remain pessimistic, maintaining an "Underperform" rating. They warn that lower future interest rates and potential underperformance in USDC growth could continue to pressure the stock price and have lowered their price target. The upcoming end of the post-IPO lockup period, which restricts insiders from selling shares, has added near-term selling pressure, but this is viewed by some as a temporary overhang. Circle's recent Q3 earnings report, which beat expectations for both revenue and profit, shows that these fundamental concerns have not yet materialized, leaving the company's trajectory highly dependent on future interest rates and its ability to maintain and grow USDC's market share amidst fierce competition.

cointelegraph_中文12/10 10:18

From 'Stablecoin First Stock' to 'Ankle Cut' in Stock Price: Why Circle Quickly Fell from the Spotlight into a Revaluation Cycle

cointelegraph_中文12/10 10:18

Valuation of $1 Billion, After Five Years of Exploration, Why Did It "Admit Defeat"?

Farcaster, a once-promising decentralized social protocol that raised $180 million and reached a near-$1 billion valuation, has officially pivoted away from its Web3 social networking strategy after 4.5 years of effort. Co-founder Dan Romero announced the shift toward a wallet-first approach, acknowledging that the original vision of a decentralized Twitter alternative did not achieve product-market fit. Despite initial excitement and growth—with monthly active users (MAU) briefly surging to around 80,000 in mid-2024—Farcaster failed to break out beyond the crypto-native user base. Its MAU later declined to under 20,000 by late 2025, revealing structural challenges: high onboarding barriers, highly insular content, and an inability to compete with established platforms like X or Instagram. The protocol’s wallet feature, initially introduced as a supplementary tool, demonstrated stronger retention and usage patterns, leading the team to refocus on wallet-based growth. The recent acquisition of token launch tool Clanker further signals this strategic turn toward financial utility rather than social interaction. The shift has sparked community debate, with long-time users expressing concern over the platform’s cultural change from social networking to transaction-oriented interactions. Nonetheless, Farcaster’s move underscores a broader realization in Web3: that social needs may not be the primary entry point for users, whereas practical tools like wallets offer clearer paths to adoption and value.

marsbit12/09 05:02

Valuation of $1 Billion, After Five Years of Exploration, Why Did It "Admit Defeat"?

marsbit12/09 05:02

After a Valuation of $1 Billion and Five Years of Exploration, Why Did It 'Admit Defeat'?

After five years of development and raising $180 million at a near $1 billion valuation, Farcaster has officially conceded that its Web3 social strategy did not succeed. The platform, initially designed as a decentralized alternative to Twitter, aimed to address issues like platform monopoly, user data ownership, and creator monetization through an on-chain, protocol-based approach. Despite a brief surge in early 2024—when monthly active users (MAU) peaked at around 80,000—growth quickly stalled. MAU has since declined to under 20,000 by late 2025. Farcaster’s user base remained heavily concentrated within the crypto-native community, failing to attract mainstream users due to high barriers to entry, niche content, and inferior user experience compared to established platforms like X or Instagram. Co-founder Dan Romero announced a strategic pivot from social-first to a wallet-focused product, acknowledging that social alone wasn’t driving sustainable growth. Internal data showed that wallet features—used for transactions, trading, and interacting with dApps—consistently outperformed social modules in user retention and frequency. The shift reflects a broader realization: It’s easier to add social features to a wallet than to build a social product around crypto. While the move has sparked some community discontent, Farcaster is betting that deeper integration with on-chain utilities represents a more viable path to product-market fit.

深潮12/09 03:51

After a Valuation of $1 Billion and Five Years of Exploration, Why Did It 'Admit Defeat'?

深潮12/09 03:51

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